8:00 on Saturday is the ultimate TV graveyard, but 9:00 is pretty close. Third-least viewed, second-least competition.
|Saturday Night Football||Slot Average|
|Premieres September 1||1.68|
|Best Case: ABC lands another thrilling slate of games and handily beats down the competing offerings on Fox (and the ESPN's). Up another percent to 2.25.|
Worst Case: The games just aren't quite as incredible as last year's, plus Fox's games take out a legit chunk. Down 15% to 1.90.
Likeliest: I do think ABC was somewhat lucky with last year's games, including the epic Stanford/USC and USC/Oregon games as well as other intriguing matchups like Oklahoma/FSU. It probably comes back down a bit to a 2.05.
|Slot Orig Avg|
|Saturday Night Football|
|CFB on Fox (NEW!)||Slot Average|
|Slot Orig Avg|
|Premieres September 1||0.84|
|Best Case: Many of the biggest games on ABC last season were Pac-12 matchups, and if ever there were a year to pick up the Pac-12, it's this one, with USC back atop the rankings. Very competitive with ABC at a 1.70 average.|
Worst Case: The Fox slate of possibilities is simply not as diverse as ABC/ESPN's, and they end up getting stuck with a bunch of blowouts and unimpressive matchups. 1.00.
Likeliest: I'm not 100% sure on what each network has the rights to, but the sense I get is that the incumbent ABC will ultimately have the much better choices. So I'm giving Fox a 1.20.
|America's Most Wanted|
Network to Watch: I guess I'll go with Fox since they're the relative newbie in the sports realm. How close will they be with a likely stronger slate of ABC offerings? Can they stay squarely ahead of the year-ago Cops average?
My Picks: College football!