Wednesday, September 19, 2012

Spotted Ratings, Monday 9/17/12: You Want a Revolution


WHAT MATTERS:
  • The last pre-premiere Monday was all about NBC, with The Voice taking a surprising season one-esque upward turn in week two. Where was this rating last week when I almost predicted that exactly? I guess last week's Gordon Ramsay finales hurt it?
  • And they rounded off opening Monday with the premiere of Revolution, which is the biggest drama premiere for anyone since V back in fall 2009 and the biggest on NBC since Bionic Woman in fall 2007. (Cue the chorus: "And look how that turned out!") Either way, for this one week it is undeniably a pretty sensational start, even better than February's Smash debut when its lead-in was over two points larger.
  • Meanwhile, Fox had a pretty modest return from Bones, but things really soured in the 9:00 hour with the debut of The Mob Doctor. That's... well, a little better than Fox's huge flop in the hour two years ago Lone Star, but at that point we're just splitting hairs. It's pretty clear this show is not going to be with us for long.
  • A few other tidbits: ABC's CMA Music Festival was a couple ticks behind previous recent results (thank you The Voice!) while The LA Complex hit its first 0.4 ever...! (Then it reverted to a 0.2 at 9:00, again illustrating the apparent value of the CW local programming lead-in) And the apparently huge Peyton Manning Effect was in full force on ESPN, where Monday Night Football (6.4) did far better in week two than in week one.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue2
Viewers A18-49 Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
CMA Music Festival 5.66 1.5 -12% +34% -22% 1.50
How I Met Your Mother (SR) 4.18 1.4 +0% +33% 1.57
2 Broke Girls (SR) 4.89 1.6 +100% +33% 1.77
Hawaii Five-0 (SR) 4.44 0.9 +13% -5% 0.99
The Voice Mon 13.57 4.7 +12%n/a 1/2 n/a +11% +262% 4.48
Revolution 11.65 4.1 n/an/a 1/1 n/a +91% +141% 3.58
Bones 7.98 2.3 n/an/a 1/1 -30% -8% +92% 2.34
The Mob Doctor 5.11 1.5 n/an/a 1/1 n/a -43% -39% 1.53
The LA Complex (S) 0.74 0.4 +33%n/a 1/10 n/a +60% -20% 0.45
The LA Complex (S) 0.52 0.2 -50%n/a 7/11 n/a -20% -20% 0.23

Added Monday Night Football (6.4) as competition from 8:30 to 11:00.

KEY (click to expand)
Viewers - The total number of viewers (age 2+, in millions) that watched the program.
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Last - A18-49 percent difference from previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 percent difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes that have aired so far this season.
y2y - The show's A18-49 rating compared to its rating a year ago.
TLa - The show's A18-49 rating compared to the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - The show's A18-49 rating compared to the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True2 - The second edition of True Strength, a metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

4 comments:

Spot said...

I gotta say, I wasn't expecting Revolution to actually break a 4 at 10pm. Kudos to the genre hype machine for another big start. That said, the pilot was kinda meh.

But at least it was better than The Mob Doctor. And with that rating, I think we have our first cancellation of fall 2012.

Spot said...

Wow. Once again, I am completely off. Although, part of the reason I downgraded my guess from high 3s was The Voice's initial weakness. It makes sense that when Voice bounced back, Revolution would get a boost. Of course, the first test is Episode One, but what will get it renewed will be its numbers for Episode Ten. If that is above a 2.7, they're in business.


I am amazed at how weak Mob Doctor was. I thought I was a being a bit pessimistic at 2.0. But to me, the real story is Bones. It was pulling low 2s after Daylight Savings started when everything fell, so I was expecting something stronger than 2.3. This is going to be a looooooong season for FOX, unless their comedies really shoot out of the gate.

Spot said...

Finally a good night for NBC. It definitely proves people are willing to give network a chance, they didn't abandoned it. It's the other way around, NBC fails to offer mass appealing programs.

The Voice numbers are just OK, after disappointing last week it merely bounced back to expected level. But still it did a huge job by giving Revolution excellent lead-in. NBC is willing to flame out The Voice fast with 2 cycles a year - but they really have no other choice, only other high rated show they have is SNF (no lead-out). Until last night, such a strategy was a mixed bag, but fantastic Revolution ratings makes it fully justified. Though Revolution is bound to go sub-3 by 3rd episode, it could average over 2.5 which would be tremendous success, given NBC standards.

Revolution is creatively every bit of post-apocalyptic cliche that there is. Only fun was guessing what next happens. Sad things being: I guessed it 9 out of 10 times. Bad thing being: authors not aware that wheels must spin much faster with thin material like one they have here - don't allow viewers guess like me. Hell, prevent any kind of thinking about what's happening. For NBC sake I hope younger, lower-mileage audience is not having such Been There, Done That overall feeling as me, NBC surely needs every demo point they can get.

Spot said...

wow, honestly of all the shows it never crossed my mind that the mob doctor would be the first to be cancelled, actually it never crossed my mind at all, which is probably why the rating is so poor

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