Thursday, September 20, 2012

Spotted Ratings, Wednesday 9/19/12

  • CBS opened its 2012-13 season with the 90-minute 25th season premiere of Survivor, which finished up a tick from the most recent premiere (spring 2012) but down 6% from the year-ago fall premiere. Pretty much as expected. Then came the Big Brother finale, which was down 14% from last year's similarly post-Survivor finale. That's actually an above-average year-to-year result in what was a generally -20%ish BB season. (It was also the best Wednesday number all season.)
  • Fox got the best of the second Wednesday of reality war as The X Factor joined The Voice in having a surprisingly positive week two. (Though it didn't grow quite as much as The Voice, only two ticks after finals.) In the preliminaries, X and Survivor actually tied in the 8:00 hour (2.9 at 8:00, 3.2 at 8:30), but X pulled way ahead in the 9:00 half-hour (3.9 to 3.3) and then benefited from having a high-rated 9:30 half-hour (4.1).
  • Elsewhere, the tune-up for the fall continues as Modern Family had its best repeat of the summer and NBC got pretty good repeat results from The Voice, Law and Order: SVU and Revolution.


Viewers A18-49 Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
The Middle (SR) 4.36 1.1 +22% -8% 1.07
Suburgatory (SR) 3.43 1.0 +11% -23% 1.16
Modern Family (SR) 4.61 1.6 +23% -11% 1.87
Suburgatory (SR) 3.45 1.2 +20% -33% 1.26
Revenge (SR) 2.76 0.7 +8% -42% 0.78
Survivor 11.37 3.2 n/an/a 1/1 -6% +85% -6% 3.40
Big Brother Wed 7.39 2.5 +19%n/a 1/10 -14% +97% -16% 2.24
The Voice (R) 5.53 1.7 -50% -48% 1.96
Law and Order: SVU (SR) 4.70 1.2 -59% -70% 1.28
Revolution (R) 4.41 1.2 -31% -59% 1.27
The X Factor Wed 9.54 3.6 +6%n/a 1/2 n/a +7% +336% 3.72
Oh Sit! 0.89 0.4 +0%n/a 2/8 n/a +14% -27% 0.48
Supernatural (SR) 0.96 0.3 +0% -65% 0.33

KEY (click to expand)
Viewers - The total number of viewers (age 2+, in millions) that watched the program.
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Last - A18-49 percent difference from previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 percent difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes that have aired so far this season.
y2y - The show's A18-49 rating compared to its rating a year ago.
TLa - The show's A18-49 rating compared to the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - The show's A18-49 rating compared to the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True2 - The second edition of True Strength, a metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.


Spot said...

The X factor is not having positive week two, it's only having less disastrous week than first one was. The show is 20% down from (already underwhelming) Season 1, if trend continues it will average around 3.0 for the season. Supposed to be hit, but could be on-the-bubble show already in Season 2.
Similar, The Voice is having OK week after having bad first week.

Spot said...

Sure, but I was referring to positive more relative to week one than to the preseason expectations. Relative to my own preseason expectations, I'd say The Voice is not that far off. X still certainly well below.

Spot said...

I get it now, you meant more like week to week.
Then for me it's like X-Factor week 1 grade 'F', week 2 'D'. And The Voice week 1 'D-', now 'C'. I think we can agree on it.

I went way ahead to season predictions. Which so far I have The Voice at 4.0 average best case. Sure renewal, but 2013-2014 could be shaky. Not kidding, reason: if they stick with 2 cycles a year, by spring 2014 show will accumulate 4 more seasons, it'll have wear and tear of a 6 years veteran.

TXF at 3.0, renewal after budget cuts, might be in real trouble during 2013-14.

Spot said...

I have to wonder what's going on right now at FOX TV HQ. They poured a hell of a lot of money into this show, and it's only doing about half as well as they must have thought. Mondays look shot. Tuesdays like they will be a struggle. Fridays are a dumping ground. Sundays are solid, but weakening. No real successful dramas to speak of. This can't last.

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