Tuesday, October 21, 2014

Spotted Ratings, Monday 10/20/14


WHAT MATTERS:
  • FINALS UPDATE: Finals made things even worse for The Millers (2.1), down to its second-worst retention ever out of Big Bang (4.6). Good luck next week. Castle (1.5) also got uglier, now down a fairly bizarre 0.4 week-to-week. And the CW took a hit as well, with Jane the Virgin (0.5) down two tenths from the prelims to finish a tenth behind last week's premiere. But, like last week, it remained within a tenth of The Originals (0.6). The only particularly notable uptick belonged to Gotham (2.3); it was still down week-to-week, but by just a tenth now.
  • On CBS' final The Big Bang Theory-fueled Monday, The Millers (2.2) proved why CBS was in no hurry to bring it back. It returned at just 50% retention of Big Bang (4.4), and it's likely to be less after finals. The good news is that (at least for this week) it didn't seem to hurt the rest of the lineup. Scorpion (2.4) was even despite an 0.6 decline in lead-in and NCIS: Los Angeles (1.7) inched up. But Big Bang will be out of the picture completely next Monday.
  • In the second week after the blind auditions, viewers left The Voice (3.3) in droves, and The Blacklist (2.4) also suffered. We'll see if the absence of Big Bang helps in future weeks. Fox saw Gotham (2.2) decline for a fourth straight week, but Sleepy Hollow (1.8) recovered a bit.
  • ABC and the CW both had Monday Night Football pre-emptions. The preliminary looks potentially promising for week two of Jane the Virgin (0.7), and not so much for Castle (1.6), which took a big dip even before adjustments. More after finals.

War of 18-49 Update, America's Got Talent (Summer 2014)


Let's take a look at the summer 2014 season (the ninth overall) of America's Got Talent on NBC.

Monday, October 20, 2014

First Two Weeks, The Flash


WEEK ONE 
Rating: 1.9
Lead-in: local programming
Competition: Selfie/Manhattan Love Story (1.2/0.9), NCIS (2.6), The Voice recap (2.5 overall, 2.4 in 8:00 hour), Family Guy (R) (0.9).


Spotted Ratings, Sunday 10/19/14


WHAT MATTERS:
  • In week four, the bleeding mostly stopped for ABC Sunday. Once Upon a Time (2.7) was steady and Revenge (1.3) was up a tenth. Resurrection (1.4) did lose another tenth in its second try against The Walking Dead, though it might adjust up (as it did last week).
  • On Fox, The Simpsons (3.5) Treehouse of Horror episode was up week-to-week even as its football lead-in appears to have declined. Brooklyn Nine-Nine (2.5) seemed pretty indistinguishable from what a second-tier animated series would do with that lead-in, which is a good thing. Family Guy (2.5) also benefited from the lead-in heat. Mulaney (1.1) did not, dropping well over half of its lead-in. Considering how well the animated series repeat, this is a clear situation where Fox could easily do much better, so it may not be back here after the lineup takes a week off for the World Series.
  • CBS was basically even week-to-week as every drama hit 1.4. NBC's football grew week-to-week on Peyton Manning's record-setting night, but another blowout probably limited the rating somewhat. More after finals!
 Above based on preliminary adults 18-49 ratings unless otherwise noted. Full table forthcoming!

    War of 18-49 Update, Big Brother (Summer 2014)


    Let's take a look at the summer 2014 season (the sixteenth overall) of Big Brother on CBS.

    Saturday, October 18, 2014

    Spotted Ratings, Friday 10/17/14


    WHAT MATTERS:
    • It was another good week for ABC's new sitcom Cristela (1.2), which dropped just a tenth from its premiere. This 1.2 was better than anything The Neighbors did in the post-premiere weeks last season. The hour was even week-to-week for ABC as Last Man Standing (1.3) was up a tenth. 20/20 (1.1) had another bad result at 10/9c, but at least Dateline will be out of the way after this week.
    • On CBS, The Amazing Race (1.4) finally flexed a little Friday muscle, rising well above its first three deliveries to win the 8/7c hour. This is more like what CBS was probably hoping for out of this move, but let's see if it can be repeated. The Race rise was of no real help to Hawaii Five-0 (1.2) and Blue Bloods (1.2). The World Series and NBC's drama premieres loom next week.
     Above based on preliminary adults 18-49 ratings unless otherwise noted. Full table forthcoming!

    Friday, October 17, 2014

    First Two Weeks, Mulaney


    WEEK ONE
    Rating: 1.0
    Lead-in: Family Guy (1.9)
    Competition: Resurrection (2.0 before Nielsen revision, 1.9 at 9:30), The Good Wife (1.4 overall, 1.5 at 9:30) Sunday Night Football (7.4 overall, 8.2 at 9:30).


    Spotted Ratings, Thursday 10/16/14


    WHAT MATTERS:
    • FINALS UPDATE: A finals uptick reduced the drop for How to Get Away with Murder (2.8), though it still remained narrowly behind Scandal. Bones (1.7) actually went up to a new season high, while Reign (0.4) returned to its usual low level. Thursday Night Football (5.4) was exactly even week-to-week.
    • After a surprise turn as the top drama on ABC Thursday, How to Get Away with Murder (2.7) fell back behind Scandal (2.9) in week four. Grey's Anatomy (2.4) steadied at 8/7c.
    • NBC's Bad Judge (1.2) was down a tenth in week three, but the show remains quite close to its 1.3 premiere number, while Fox's Gracepoint (0.8) got even uglier. The CW got some relief after a couple bad Thursdays to open its season; The Vampire Diaries (0.9) rebounded to the premiere number, while Reign was up to its first 0.5 of the season.
    • All of this came against what should've been one of CBS' better Thursday Night Football games, combining a tight game with a higher-end matchup. But surprisingly, the preliminary numbers are very close to even week-to-week. We'll see how the finals look.

    The Question Results Through 10/14/14


    Here are the standings through October 14 for the ratings prediction game The Question:

    The 2014-15 Climate Center: Days/Times


    The Climate Center is the latest way to keep up with some of this site's bigger-picture numbers on a week-to-week basis. It'll provide a running track of trends across the broadcasters, including individual networks, genres, and days of week/time of day. These will include the numbers that have gone into the A18-49+ theme posts, plus some new ones.

    The "Days/Times" post breaks apart big four programming based on the clock and the calendar, examining which nights of the week and which half-hours of primetime are most crowded. At the moment, I'm just putting up tables that look at the big four non-sports originals in each slot, but this section will probably be expanded shortly with tables that widen the lens to overall viewing/overall broadcast viewing tendencies.

    These numbers are up to date through Sunday, October 12.

    Please note: all week one and three originals have been updated with the corrected numbers from Nielsen. Week two currently uses the incorrect numbers. Depending on what becomes available, the week two numbers will be revised in the same fashion.

    In the "time of day" chart, I'm using the incorrect half-hour breakdowns for the first three weeks. I prefer the broad sense of how shows behave in half-hour breakdowns, even if some of the program ratings are slightly off.

    More Climate Center: Basics | Networks | Genres | Days/Times

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