Wednesday, October 3, 2012

The True Top 25, Week Ending 9/30/12 (2012-13 Week One)

Sunday Night Football won premiere week in the True Top 25. If you were following these last year, it's a bit of a surprise to see Modern Family back on top of The Big Bang Theory for top entertainment program, because BBT was crushing it late last season. To be determined in the coming weeks: was it just an Emmy bounce for Modern Family, or can it consistently stay ahead in that race?

Just two new shows made it onto the list, the seemingly still legit Revolution and CBS' drama Elementary. Somewhat surprisingly, Elementary was actually the #2 drama on CBS this week, so that's a very promising start. The Neighbors was the biggest raw numbers premiere of the week, but it took a hit because it had a huge lead-in and just barely missed the cut here at #26. Other new shows in the bottom half of the top 50: Last Resort (2.34, #29), Partners (2.14, #37), Go On (2.11, #38), Vegas (2.03, #43), The Mindy Project (1.99, #44), Ben and Kate (1.95, #46) and 666 Park Ave (1.86, #48). Overall, it does not look like a very promising crop of newbies. (Then again, just three new shows were on last year's premiere week list, but many of the strong fall shows premiered after premiere week last year.)

Rank Name True2 A18-49 ARank
1Sunday Night Football6.439.01
2Modern Family5.145.52
3The Big Bang Theory4.985.03
4Grey's Anatomy4.434.44
5The Voice Tue4.174.26
7The Voice Mon4.044.44
8The X Factor Wed3.383.413
9The X Factor Thu3.333.217
11Once Upon a Time3.333.98
122 Broke Girls3.303.710
13How I Met Your Mother3.273.611
15Two and a Half Men3.023.512
17New Girl (8pm)2.982.826
18Criminal Minds2.933.120
19The Middle2.882.924
20Family Guy2.883.316
21Person of Interest2.832.924
22Mike and Molly2.733.120
23NCIS: Los Angeles2.713.413
24New Girl (9pm)2.642.826

Missing the True Top 25 but in the A18-49 list: The Neighbors (t-#17 in A18-49, #26 in True2) and The Simpsons (#9 in A18-49, #31 in True2).

For more on the True Top 25, click to expand.
I created the True Strength number so I could have an objective way of comparing shows across vastly different situations. One of the most fun comparisons to be made is among the biggest shows on TV. What's really the strongest show in a vacuum? Hence my new weekly feature the True Top 25. This will compare shows while accounting for everything so we can see who Truly comes out on top. I include both the A18-49 and the weekly ranking in A18-49 so you can see the changes within the rankings that True Strength makes.

The A18-49 rankings aren't based on Nielsen's "official" broadcast top 25. They're derived from my own spreadsheet just using the big-five networks, so none of the big players on Univision are included. I've also weeded out some weird programming like NFL overruns and sports pre-game shows. Most of that stuff airs largely out of primetime or is strangely split apart, so I don't want to muddle the list with that.

As mentioned on the sports SpotVault pages, True Strengths for sporting events are based on the primetime portion only. Perhaps in future editions I'll try to get the primetime portion only A18-49 into the A18-49 rankings so it'll be a totally fair comparison. 

Here's last week's True Top 25!

1 comment:

Spot said...

There are so many shows for TV junkies like me to catch this
fall season. A few friends that work with me at DISH all think that this fall
lineup will prove to be one of the best. My Hopper will be the only way I can
catch the shows that I need to watch this season; thankfully it has enough
memory to save it all, too. Cheers to the rest of the year’s shows and my
sweatpants and DVR days.

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