|Comparable CW Series Premieres|
|0.5 (Emily Owens M.D., 10/16/12) (0.6 Hart of Dixie lead-in) |
0.6 (The Carrie Diaries, 1/14/13)
0.3 (Cult, 2/19/13) (0.3 Hart of Dixie lead-in)
0.8 (Reign, 10/17/13) (1.3 The Vampire Diaries lead-in)
0.4 (Star-Crossed, 2/17/14)
The CW actually put most of its newbies in pretty good situations last season, so it's worth returning to 2012-13 to see just how low this network can go with lower-tier premieres. The best comparison for Jane is probably Emily Owens M.D., which launched out of Hart two autumns ago. And yet, I think Jane is in an even worse position, especially if The Originals drops from last week's 0.7. Emily at least seemed compatible with the lead-in, and its premiere only had to compete with a big four-simulcast debate.
So my pick is 0.4. I don't really feel comfortable going all the way up to 0.45, so I'm taking this out to the hundredths as a one-time deal. If it actually hits 0.4 exactly, we'll be at the mercy of the second number after the decimal.
TO CLARIFY: "Over" wins at 0.42 or higher. "Under" wins at 0.41 or lower.
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