Thursday, October 16, 2014

Spotted Ratings, Wednesday 10/15/14


WHAT MATTERS:
  • FINALS UPDATE: Combining a week three dip in revised finals (3.5) with a week four finals uptick, Modern Family (3.4) ended up down just a tenth week-to-week leading out of the holiday specials. The Mysteries of Laura (1.4) and Red Band Society (1.0) each ended up on the week-to-week upside.
  • ABC got pretty good numbers out of holiday specials Toy Story of TERROR! (1.8) and It's the Great Pumpkin, Charlie Brown (2.1). The latter was close to even with last year's telecast on Halloween night last year (2.2). Still, these shows did about 10% worse than the usual comedy results from The Middle and The Goldbergs, and they were of no help to the rest of ABC's lineup. Modern Family (3.3), Black-ish (2.5) and Nashville (1.3) were all down by multiple ticks.
  • There were several season lows in the 8/7c hour; Survivor (2.3), Hell's Kitchen (1.2) and Arrow (0.8) were all down multiple tenths, at least in the prelims. But almost everything not yet mentioned was close to even. CBS' Stalker (1.7) stabilized in week three and remained narrowly ahead of Chicago PD (1.6).

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
Toy Story of TERROR! 1.8 37% -42% -14% -42% 1.9
It's the Great Pumpkin, Charlie Brown 2.2 45% +0% -4% +16% 2.3
Modern Family 3.4 44% -3%-0.1+0.0 4/4 -17% -6% -17% 3.0
Black-ish 2.5 46% -11%-0.3-0.1 4/4 n/a -14% +19% 2.0
Nashville 1.3 33% -7%-0.1-0.3 4/4 -19% -10% -21% 1.4
ABC:-9%-14%
Survivor 2.3 31% -8%-0.2n/a 4/4 -12% -6% -10% 2.4
Criminal Minds 2.4 28% +4%+0.1-0.2 2/3 -11% +4% -13% 2.3
Stalker 1.7 27% +0%+0.0+0.1 2/3 n/a -3% -13% 1.6
CBS:-2%-12%
The Mysteries of Laura 1.4 21% +8%+0.1n/a 4/5 n/a +8% -3% 1.6
Law and Order: SVU 1.7 30% +0%+0.0+0.1 3/4 -6% +3% -3% 1.8
Chicago PD 1.6 30% +7%+0.1+0.0 2/4 n/a +7% +60% 1.6
NBC:+6%+12%
Hell's Kitchen 1.2 42% -14%-0.2n/a 7/7 n/a -11% -44% 1.4
Red Band Society 1.0 40% +11%+0.1-0.2 4/5 n/a +11% -61% 1.1
Fox:-2%-53%
Arrow 0.8 44% -20%-0.2n/a 2/2 -27% -20% -27% 0.9
The Flash (R) 0.5 38% -23% -41% 0.5
CW:-21%-33%
Big5:-4%-21%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

8 comments:

Spot said...

Interesting they aired the holiday specials on October 15th. It's where Toy Story aired last year, but they have two other Wednesdays before Halloween. Either way, looks like Toy Story is a lock as a tradition

Spot said...

And that's why you don't preempt half of a comedy block that's working. Either preempt it whole or don't preempt it. The specials did very good numbers for repeats of course, but they would have been better used replacing low rated originals of Selfie and MLS on Tuesdays than replacing Middle and Goldbergs repeats (which is what they are effectively doing here). Meanwhile, Modern Family was down 19% last night despite having been -7%, -12% and -8% so far. It may change in finals but it looks a bit ugly. Blackish continues to be an improvement over Fun Night though and that's with reduced MF, so double plus.



Stalker looks decent but that's only a product of its competitors being weak (despite some recovery by Chicago PD). It was 16% down from CSI's year numbers, the worst trend in CBS' Wednesday, which for a newbie with promotion is bad. Survivor though is quietly having a great season.


Arrow had a bad night. Maybe it's a bit more disappointing than normal because of all the flash heat which appears to be doing nothing for it, but well. The CW needs the 100 to do really well to be able to post some year to year Wednesday gains.


SVU and PD did well for NBC, but Laura continues to be unable to improve from Revolution's year ago numbers. It was down 10% from what it did here last year. PD however is an enough of an improvement over Ironside for the night to be up year to year.

Spot said...

Probably has to do something with Halloween specials on ABC Family: Pretty Little Liars airs special on Thursday October 23, and "Melissa & Joey" / "Baby Daddy" one day earlier, Wednesday 22th.
Synergy, or whatever corporative-babble.

Spot said...

The thing is that Middle/Goldbergs viewers are the same viewers who watch the holiday specials. Selfie/MLS viewers are small and not the same group. The Middle got preempted for Toy Story last year and Charlie 2 years ago, it's nothing new

Spot said...

Yes, Laura is constantly tick or two behind (pretty low) Revolution numbers year ago. Dead show walking.
Forever is 100% dead too, but at least it improves its timeslot y2y, and thus makes bean counters at ABC headquarters happy. Laura isn't able to manage even that.

Spot said...

Stalker stabilized, but Scorpion and NCIS: New Orleans also stabilized... at more than 20% better ratings. I think they will replace it in January with CSI: Cyber. Unless its launching is involving some crossover with motherboard. In that case, with Battle Creek. Maybe even before January, but I doubt it, because of following two reasons combined:
1. Holidays season is close, probably CBS doesn't want new show to go into repeats after only few episodes.
2. Stalker's 1.7 is not so awful, it's more that it wastes great lead-in.

Spot said...

Yeah, CSI: Cyber makes the most sense. The question is if Madam Secretary can scrape a full season. If they aren't going to have a full season, there's no reason to keep CSI at 10. But launching something new after 60 Minutes. So I could see a Good Wife/CSI/Mentalist midseason Sunday. Batle Creek seems like a waste after Criminal Minds. Vince Gillian fans aren't Criminal Minds watchers. It has no syndication potential, but can probably self start. Battle Creek baffles me scheduling wise as it seems to big to waste on Sunday, but too different to throw after a procedural

Spot said...

Spot,
It's a

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