Monday, October 6, 2014

First Two Weeks, Scorpion


WEEK ONE
Rating: 3.2
Lead-in: The Big Bang Theory (5.4)
Competition: Dancing with the Stars (2.2 overall, 2.4/2.5 in 9:00 hour), The Voice (3.9 overall, 4.2/4.4 in 9:00 hour), Sleepy Hollow (2.0), America's Next Top Model (0.3).

WEEK TWO
Rating: 3.1 (-3%)
Lead-in: The Big Bang Theory (R) (3.2)
Competition: Dancing with the Stars (1.8 overall), The Voice (4.0 overall), Sleepy Hollow (1.7), iHeartRadio Music Festival (0.3).

Will this show get a second season? You make the call!

To play the game, here are your submission choices:
1) "Renew (Not Confident)" or "Cancel (Not Confident)": +1 point for a win, 0 points for a loss.
2) "Renew (Confident)" or "Cancel (Confident)": +2 points for a win, -2 points for a loss.

These choices must be locked by Tuesday, October 7 at 6:00 am ET.

3) You may also guess "Renew" or "Cancel" after the deadline, up to exactly one week later. ALL guesses in this period will be worth +1 point for a win and -1 point for a loss. You can NOT change a guess after the deadline if you submitted before the deadline.

32 comments:

Spot said...

Renew(Confident). Its a procedural on CBS that lost only a tenth even though its lead in was 2.2 points weaker.

Spot said...

Bionic Woman. FlashForward.
It's not impossible to happen, it's just that it is unlikely.

If only choices were "renew" and "cancel", I'd vote renew too, of course.
But with Spot's points system, we have a game of percentages here. So I'll wait for one more spin, as it might change percentages significantly.

Spot said...

Renew (confident).

Spot said...

I think his point is that if it drops 0.5 today despite the low 3s that TBBT reruns lead-in provide, then it could potentially drop much more with The Millers, which is a fair point I must say.

Spot said...

Renew (Confident)

Spot said...

Renew (confident), but the closest call so far.

Spot said...

Renew

Spot said...

Renew (confident)

Spot said...

Renew (Confident)

Spot said...

Renew (confident).

Spot said...

Renew (Not Confident). There are far too many long-term issues with Millers and 2 Broke Girls, but the clear love the Eye's giving does show a chance.

Spot said...

Renew (confident)


CBS is pushing this one and it's their most promising newbie so far. They've got to renew something.

Spot said...

Renew (confident). CBS has got to renew something, and the results from other newbies are already underwhelming

Spot said...

Renew (confident)

Spot said...

Bionic Woman and Flashforward were both serials. Being procedural in nature will help

Spot said...

Renew (confident)

Spot said...

Renew (Confident)

Spot said...

Renew (confident)

Spot said...

I was going to go with not confident, but this is true...Of course it's possible that it could collapse, but I think even a steep decline would let it live. And it is distributed/produced by CBS...


Renew (Confident)

Spot said...

Renew confident.

Spot said...

renew (confident)

Spot said...

I would really like another data point. I can't see this sustaining itself after TBBT moves, but that may just be my wishful thinking. Seriously, when 2BG kicks off the night with a 1.8 (generous?), this show won't get a 1.5 - on a CBS week night at 9pm, good luck with that renewal. The only reasons I can't go confident is (a) Week 2 didn't really drop, discounting my theory (b) CBS will rejig the schedule to protect it from catastrophe, they seem invested in its success.

Cancel (Not Confident)

Spot said...

Renew (Confident)

Spot said...

Renew (Confident). I'm not so sure about the long term longetitivity of this show, but I can't see CBS cutting all three freshman dramas.

Spot said...

Renew (confident)

Spot said...

Renew (not confident).


CBS mondays will change a lot and right now is under a very compatible blanket, it'll lead-out 2BG and underperforming Millers from nov-jan, then Mom.

Spot said...

Cancel (confident)

Spot said...

Renew (Confident). I think that Scorpion isn't so lead in dependant, it will fall with the shift of lead in but is going to be still good for the CBS (good enough to score a renew at least)

Spot said...

Renew

Spot said...

Renew

Spot said...

renew confident

Spot said...

Renew

Two of three things went in my favor. But, unfortunately, that's not good enough.

1. Scorpion did drop more than half a point in 3rd episode.
2. NCIS: New Orleans did hold well in Week 3, and soon it should beat Scorpion on weekly basis.
3. But Stalker went down to 1.7 already in Week 2.

Stalker is currently big 8 tenths behind Scorpion, and even if Scorpion would lose another half a point when TBBT is out of Monday picture (and I expect it will lose so much, but it's not given), that's still not enough for Stalker to catch Scorpion. If it was a bit less than .8, I'd risk speculative "cancel".

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