Wednesday, October 16, 2013

Spotted Ratings, Tuesday 10/15/13


WHAT MATTERS:
  • NBC had a passable but modest return from The Biggest Loser at 8/7c, and it skewed way older than last season; it actually had about the same number of total viewers as the 3.0 Sunday preview in January but was down a quarter in the demo. The Voice also weakened in its first one-hour episode.
  • ABC's The Goldbergs continued the awesome tradition of comedies taking a huge dip the week after I say they're getting renewed. It was surrounded by the the barely-down Agents of SHIELD and Trophy Wife.
  • Fox had the end of the ALCS game leading into their Tuesday comedy lineup, and after a finals uptick maybe that was a bit of a difference-maker for Dads. And New Girl had a weak night at 9:00.
  • Free of The Voice competition at 8/7c, NCIS had a nice bounce-back at 8/7c, as did Person of Interest at 10/9c, but the middle hour was merely steady against the original return of The Voice.
  • The CW had a second straight outstanding Tuesday as The Originals improbably perked up by a couple ticks in its second Tuesday airing. It actually did better than last week's episode of mothership The Vampire Diaries!
  •  A note on the Ty2y stats: the big four simulcast a debate on this night a year ago.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
Agents of SHIELD 2.8 45% -3%-0.1n/a 4/4 n/a -3% +37% 2.6
The Goldbergs 1.6 40% -16%-0.3-0.1 4/4 n/a -16% -45% 1.4
Trophy Wife 1.3 40% -7%-0.1-0.3 4/4 n/a -7% -55% 1.3
Scandal (R) 0.6 30% -29% -78% 0.7
ABC:-10%-37%
NCIS 3.1 21% +11%+0.3n/a 3/4 n/a +11% +130% 2.9
NCIS: Los Angeles 2.6 23% +0%+0.0+0.3 3/4 n/a +2% +13% 2.2
Person of Interest 2.2 22% +10%+0.2+0.0 2/4 -21% +10% +5% 2.0
CBS:+7%+37%
The Biggest Loser 2.3 41% n/an/an/a 1/1 -23% -19% -51% 2.2
The Voice Tue 4.0 39% +33%+1.0n/a 3/4 -13% +29% -20% 3.6
Chicago Fire 2.3 36% +10%+0.2+1.0 3/4 +53% +7% -49% 2.0
NBC:+6%-39%
Dads 1.5 56% +15%+0.2n/a 2/5 n/a +15% -12% 1.4
Brooklyn Nine-Nine 1.5 56% +0%+0.0+0.2 3/5 n/a +0% +25% 1.5
New Girl 1.8 66% -14%-0.3+0.0 5/5 n/a -14% +6% 1.8
The Mindy Project 1.4 65% +0%+0.0-0.3 4/5 n/a +0% -18% 1.4
Fox:-2%-2%
The Originals 1.1 63% +22%+0.2n/a 1/3 n/a +22% +83% 1.1
Supernatural 1.0 54% -17%-0.2+0.2 2/2 +0% -17% +100% 1.0
CW:+0%+91%
Big5:+1%-14%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

14 comments:

Spot said...

Gonna be a real nail-biter on last night's question until finals.

Spot said...

Totally. I did say he picked an excellent line, and it appears so!

Spot said...

I think you got the Shield number wrong, everyone else is reporting a 2.7. Anyway, glad to see the originals going up. I remain skeptical about the move of creating a third night using supernatural and the originals instead of the tomorrow people and the hundred for two reasons: 1) There appears to be a bleed on arrow from breaking up the pair with supernatural, as I suspected there would be. 2) It is not clear for me yet how much the vampire diaries is bleeding due to loosing the originals. I haven't watched any TVD episode this year (I will do so though) but I have watched all the episodes from the originals so far. I am just an example, but I dunno. Anyway, even if the gains could be higher, I think there are certainly gains and that is not something most networks can claim this year, so kuddos for them.

Spot said...

Thx. Just a typo (I probably wouldn't have said "barely down" if it had been a 2.6)

Spot said...

Yeah I realize that. No problems.

Spot said...

Can't see TBL adjusting up with a Voice lead-out though. More likely Voice ticks up into the 4s.

Spot said...

Part of me thinks that Arrow is being affected by facing Revolution. Both shows, to me, look like they are chasing the same male-leaning audience. And while Revolution isn't the stronger show as it was last Fall, going after the same crowd leads to fragmenting and weaker shows (see: last year's Tuesday at 9:00 comedy pile-up; while New Girl wasn't helped with anemic lead-ins I also think that part of its problem was facing a weak-rated but similarly wacky Happy Endings).

Spot said...

It increasingly looks like CW's decision to go all in on becoming the sci-fi/supernatural network is paying off way more than the previous Glossy Teen Soap strategy.

Spot said...

Maybe we were wrong. Maybe there never was a "Year of the Comedy." Maybe it was just a one-year boost in CBS Monday nights thanks to Charlie Sheen's breakdown boosting Two and a Half Men. Since all the hype has died down, what comedy has been doing well, really? New Girl has been down well over 20% year-to-year. All of the new ABC and FOX Tuesday comedies are well under 2.0. CBS's Thursday night block doesn't seem to have gelled yet, while their Monday line-up look like it's falling apart. ABC's Wednesday nights are just holding while their Friday nights are barely off the ground. Even Fox's Sunday night frat fest is showing its age.


Here's a bold statement that I didn't expect to be saying right now: next year will have ABC, CBS, and Fox cutting one hour of comedies from their lineups, down to three apiece. ABC will keep Wednesday and try once again on Friday. CBS will pare back either Monday or Thursday with 2 Broke Girls, Big Bang Theory and maybe The Millers as the anchors.Fox has too many promising dramas to keep wasting time with shows like Dads or Mindy Project so I think that a new drama will go in at 9 PM on Tuesday and they'll keep Sundays going for one more year at least, until Family Guy and The Simpsons finally die off.

Spot said...

I anticipate next season will have 3 returning comedy Hits - Bang, Modern, Family Guy.
Though I expect Arrow/Tomorrow will be below 1.

Spot said...

Sure, renewals for everybody!

Spot said...

That just makes Monday's failure look even worse. I imagine Friday will be much the same.

Spot said...

Fox will never execute that solution. My solution: Burn it all the ***REDACTED*** down. If I have to suffer, so does everyone else.


After all, you all were warned.

Spot said...

*flips over Monopoly board in solidarity*

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