Wednesday, October 9, 2013

The True Top 25, Week Ending 10/6/13 (2013-14 Week Two)

Sunday Night Football topped another True Top 25 in week two. The Big Bang Theory was the top entertainment program. NCIS actually edged the Scandal premiere for the True drama crown since the latter has such a good lead-in from Grey's Anatomy.

As in week one, six new shows made the cut this week. Four were holdovers from week one (with The Goldbergs and Michael J. Fox dropping out), while two premieres (The Millers and Super Fun Night) eked out a spot for at least this week.

Rank Name True A18-49 ARank
1Sunday Night Football6.667.01
2The Big Bang Theory5.545.22
3The Voice Mon4.724.73
4The Voice Tue4.234.54
5Modern Family4.004.25
8Agents of SHIELD3.353.39
9Grey's Anatomy3.303.113
10How I Met Your Mother3.253.113
11Sleepy Hollow3.103.015
12Saturday Night Football2.862.523
13The Blacklist2.853.39
14The Simpsons2.813.015
15Once Upon a Time2.722.621
16The Millers2.713.39
18Super Fun Night2.623.212
19The Crazy Ones2.602.917
20Criminal Minds2.452.718
2160 Minutes2.413.86
222 Broke Girls2.402.425
23Family Guy2.402.523
24The X Factor Wed2.382.425
25Two and a Half Men2.352.425

Originals missing the True Top 25 but in the A18-49 list: NCIS: Los Angeles (t-#18 in A18-49, #31 in True), The Amazing Race (t-#25 in A18-49, #34 in True) and Chicago Fire (t-#21 in A18-49, #50 in True).

For more on the True Top 25, click to expand.
I created the True number so I could have an objective way of comparing shows across vastly different situations. One of the most fun comparisons to be made is among the biggest shows on TV. What's really the strongest show in a vacuum? Hence the weekly feature the True Top 25. This will compare shows while accounting for everything so we can see who Truly comes out on top. I include both the A18-49 and the weekly ranking in A18-49 so you can see the changes within the rankings that True Strength makes.

The A18-49 rankings aren't based on Nielsen's "official" broadcast top 25. They're derived from my own spreadsheet just using the big-five networks, so none of the big players on Univision are included. I've also weeded out some weird programming like NFL overruns and sports pre-game shows. Most of that stuff airs largely out of primetime or is strangely split apart, so I don't want to muddle the list with that.

As mentioned on the sports SpotVault pages, True Strengths for sporting events are based on the primetime portion only. Perhaps in future editions I'll try to get the primetime portion only A18-49 into the A18-49 rankings so it'll be a totally fair comparison.


Spot said...

I'm almost to the point like NBC Thursday where I'd rather they just give up on comedies and go with two dramas that might be able to...I dunno...hit a 2.0 consistently.

Spot said...

I know that without the 18-34 numbers that seem to important to FOX being publicly available, I'm kind of flying blind, but I'm confident that it isn't doing well enough to justify another three seasons and syndication, which is how network broadcast apparently works now.


Spot said...

Renew. Seems like its only competition will be Surviving Jack.

Spot said...

Mindy appears to skew a lot younger - two-thirds (!!) of its audience is in the 18-49 demo, which implies that it does awfully well in 18-34. That would sure explain its early renewal last season, too. 9-9 is nearer 50%, so it probably falls short in 18-34 relative to Mindy (though that's still young-skewing by most network TV standards!).

I certainly think it'll get another timeslot this season. Sunday night where Murder Police would have gone seems a possibility in the spring. I'd actually consider a more drastic move, which looks like an upgrade for 9-9 but is really a way of helping the dramas fit:

TUE: 8 Glee, 9 New Girl, 9:30 Mindy
WED: 8 X-Factor, 9:31 Nine-Nine
THU: 8 X-Factor, 9 Almost Human

That way, Bones doesn't get shunted to Friday just because Sleepy Hollow is a breakout hit, Dads gets yanked, and Almost Human gets a *much* friendlier situation. Plus, with The Voice results shows airing at 9 in this cycle, Glee is out of the way of that, too! (The only problem is that it'll be back to 8 for the spring run...)

The 9:31 is not an error, by the way; it's so that it lines up with the end of Modern (which always gets a bonus minute) so that it can maximise the damage to Super Fun Night as a (much) more acclaimed comedy alternative in the half-hour.

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