Monday, October 7, 2013

The Question, Monday 10/7/13: Will the CW Have a Beastly Opening Monday?


Tonight the CW begins the roll-out of its regular fall schedule with Monday duo Hart of Dixie and Beauty and the Beast. Both low-rated returnees are coming from another night, with Hart having led off Tuesday last year and BatB coming from Thursday after The Vampire Diaries. In an attempt to truly solidify the Tuesday to Thursday portion of the sked, this Monday lineup is effectively a "Surrender Night" for the netlet, and those tend not to go very well. Will the CW have a beastly opening Monday? That's The Question for Monday, October 7, 2013.


Hart of Dixie Last Season Beauty and the Beast Last Season
0.7 (premiere, 10/2/12)
0.55 (average)
0.5 (finale, 5/7/13)
1.2 (premiere, 10/11/12, 1.7 TVD)
0.61 (average)
0.5 (finale, 5/16/13, 1.1 TVD)

My gut says Hart of Dixie matches its late-season 0.5 and Beauty and the Beast drops a tick to 0.4 on a new night with a worse lead-in. I could see BatB holding its Thursday 0.5 for the premiere, as it didn't seem all that compatible with its TVD lead-in skew-wise. And we've seen some other movers like Revolution and Hawaii Five-0 hold up fairly well, at least for the premiere.

Hart of Dixie PLUS Beauty and the Beast Over/Under: 0.95.

No entries accepted after 6:00am ET the morning after the date in the headline. If editing your pick, please leave a separate comment.

17 comments:

Spot said...

Over. for no reason

Spot said...

Under

Spot said...

An over would not surprise me, but it's safer to go under. My guess is a 0.8/0.9.

Spot said...

Ahah I wrote exactly the same as you did before seeing it!

Spot said...

Spot said it best last year:

One of the lessons of the early part of the season is that the "throwaway" lineups are always even more disastrous than the previous ratings suggest they'll be. If you bail on a night, so will the viewers.


So if thematically similar Gossip Girl & 90210 couldn't even clear this lower, why should mismatched Hart of Dixie & Beauty and the Beast?


Under.

Spot said...

I agree w/ Chris L. Under.

Spot said...

Under

Spot said...

Dixie: .4
B&B: .4


I say Under.

Spot said...

Under. Easiest Question in a while.

Spot said...

under

Spot said...

Under at 0.8

Spot said...

Under.

Spot said...

Great minds must think alike. ;)

Spot said...

Under.

Spot said...

Under!

Spot said...

Under.

Spot said...

Under

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