Tuesday, October 1, 2013

The Question, Tuesday 10/1/13: Will The Goldbergs Have a Golden Week Two?


Just to mix it up, on the season's second Tuesday I thought I'd visit that other ABC premiere that went pretty high. If you wanted an Agents of SHIELD Question, well... that's still important when you're trying to guess how far lead-out The Goldbergs drops from last week's 3.1 premiere. I say SHIELD comes down a good bit almost regardless of viewer reception. The premiere was so effectively sold as a live TV event, and (especially with Cote De Pablo leaving NCIS) that kind of level seems hard to sustain. But it'll stay high enough to keep The Goldbergs at a nice-looking raw number for now.

Over/Under: 2.55.

19 comments:

Spot said...

I'm counting on a normal 15% drop for SHIELD (I refuse to use all of those stupid periods), so I'll give The Goldbergs the same benefit of the doubt.


Over.

Spot said...

Unfortunately, I think Shield will drop a lot, for the reasons you've mentioned above, the main of which is the fact that the premiere last week was really seen as an "event". You've picked a great line for the goldbergs. I will go with 2.5. Under.

Spot said...

I'm guessing a 20% decrease, so Under. Good line anyhow.

Spot said...

I'm picturing 2.5 as the most likely option so that would be under.

Spot said...

2.4- Under
SHIELD will drop to a 3.8

Spot said...

20% drop = 2.5, so I'll say Under.

Spot said...

Under.

Spot said...

Under.

Spot said...

UNDER.


2.2

Spot said...

Over.

Spot said...

Over

Spot said...

I think the losses for the rest of ABC Tuesdays are going to be even larger than the losses for SHIELD, given that all the product in those slots is inferior.


Under.

Spot said...

Under

Spot said...

I say SHIELD drops to 3.9, and Goldbergs to 2.8. Over.

Spot said...

Under. Like 2.0.

Spot said...

Under

Spot said...

NCIS is tougher competition than LA this time around, and the rest of the competition is unchanged (still a two-hour Voice, still the same Fox comedy block).

SHIELD will probably take an above average drop (~25% to a 3.5?), but I could actually see the Goldbergs retention being better. It needs to fall 20% to cross this line. For some reason I'm not convinced it does. Over.

Spot said...

Under

Spot said...

Under. 2.4.

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