|Notable Fall 2013 Drama Premieres|
|4.7 (Agents of SHIELD, 9/24/13) |
3.8 (The Blacklist, 9/23/13) (5.6 Voice 9:30 lead-in)
3.5 (Sleepy Hollow, 9/16/13) (2.4 Bones 8:30 lead-in)
1.8 (Hostages, 9/23/13) (2.5 Mom lead-in)
NOTE: THERE IS A SPREAD. IT IS NOT JUST WHICH SHOW WILL WIN. PLEASE KEEP READING.
Historically, the smart money in these early-season spreads has been on the show with the better timeslot. I've usually expected the show with the better slot to win by a solid margin, and it ends up winning in a huge rout. In this case, Scorpion has the better slot; it gets to lead immediately out of The Big Bang Theory, while Gotham must face it head-to-head. However, this one's different because the worse-timeslot show has a massive edge in awareness. I think that's enough to make Gotham a pretty strong favorite on premiere night.
Spread: Gotham beats Scorpion by 0.75 points.
TO CLARIFY: Respond with "Gotham" if you think Gotham beats Scorpion by 0.8 points or more. Respond with "Scorpion" if you think Gotham beats Scorpion by 0.7 points or less, or if you think Scorpion ties or beats Gotham.
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