Tuesday, September 16, 2014

Spotted Ratings, Monday 9/15/14


WHAT MATTERS:
  • ABC's 2014-15 season got off to an underwhelming start as Dancing with the Stars (2.4) was down 23% from last season's fall premiere. It avoided its usual The Voice competition, but it still had a good deal of unscripted competition from MasterChef (2.0) and American Ninja Warrior (1.8) finales (even if they skew much younger). But it's fairly disappointing that it couldn't even match recent premieres that faced The Voice (2.5 in fall 2012, 2.6 in spring 2014).
  • CBS' Under the Dome (1.6) made a surprising amount of late-season noise, up two tenths for the second straight week. Next week's finale follows the Scorpion premiere.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
Dancing with the Stars 2.4 22% n/an/an/a 1/1 -23% +71% -23% 2.8
Castle (R) 1.0 19% +25% -26% 1.1
ABC:+61%-23%
The Big Bang Theory (R) 1.3 26% +8% -7% 1.6
Mom (R) 1.0 26% -17% -33% 1.2
Two and a Half Men (R) 1.0 29% +11% -33% 1.3
The Big Bang Theory (R) 1.3 31% +44% -28% 1.7
Under the Dome 1.6 29% +14%+0.2+0.4 4/12 -43% +14% -44% 2.0
CBS:+11%-34%
American Ninja Warrior 1.9 46% +6%+0.1n/a 3/14 +27% +27% +78% 2.3
NBC:+24%+78%
MasterChef 2.0 46% +5%+0.1n/a 3/18 n/a +8% -31% 2.4
Fox:+8%-31%
Whose Line Is It Anyway? (R) 0.4 46% -20% +100% 0.5
Whose Line Is It Anyway? (R) 0.3 40% -25% +50% 0.4
America's Next Top Model 0.4 51% +0%+0.0-0.1 1/5 +0% +0% +100% 0.5
CW:-12%+88%
Big5:+22%-13%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

13 comments:

Spot said...

Besides Carlton from Fresh Prince and Leo from That '70s Show, I really didn't know the cast. 0% correct so far in the game for me.
.
Under the Dome had the Big Bang Theory repeat as a lead in. It always goed up when that happens. It's still down a quarter from last year's penultimate episode and that had a massive overrun!

Spot said...

BIG swing and a miss on the Question. Guess I'm going back to "always take the Under" this year.

Spot said...

I am happy for Under the Dome, I really think it should be renewed. The show doesn't get nealry enough credit for the fact that it air without any decent lead-in for the entire summer and that it airs in the summer. Just give it something remotely resembling a lead-in (a 1.3) and it goes up.

Spot said...

Hmm, it would only take like an 8% drop from last fall to get DWTS to a sub-2 average. Let alone 20%. Will the rest of the season stabilize?

Spot said...

OH, DAMN IT! I KNEW I SHOULD'VE BEEN UN-IRONIC ABOUT MY PASSING OF JUDGMENT ON MICHAEL WALTRIP'S INCLUSION!

Spot said...

If it wasn't down 40% y2y, maybe people would give it more credit. Kinda like Two and a Half Men last year. It had solid ratings, but being down 40% y2y makes it look awful

Spot said...

Apples and oranges.
Two and a Half Men costs zillion dollars per episode, yet it dropped to mediocre ratings.
Under the Dome episode costs CBS Television Studios barely over $2 million per hour (that's very cheap for a drama), because they shoot it in tax friendly North Carolina, and Amazon chips in with $750,000 per episode.

Spot said...

The Under the Dome upticks are nice, considering that the show, while still not great, is getting better.

Spot said...

Yeah, the ratings are still agreeable, but the trajectory is ugly. CBS have so much space on the schedule in the summer, and they can't find a way to air it behind Big Brother or something? If they renew it, I hope they give it something decent as a lead in. I think CBS is smart enough to not just dump it Mondays at 10 again.

Spot said...

Spot, if there will be The Question about Mom premiere, it might not be bad to know what was its retention for summer repeats out of The Big Bang Theory repeats. CBS repeated Mom on Thursdays behind TBBT during summer, now they're doing it on Mondays, and two shows are currently airing in pair on TBS too.
In theory, I could calculate it myself, but those one decimal place ratings are pretty much useless for that purpose - 0.3 out of 0.5 could be 60%, but it also could be just 50% (0.26 out of 0.52),or as high as 75% (0.34 out of 0.46).

If there won't be such a question, just forgot about this.

Spot said...

Assuming I weeded out all the non-BBT airings properly, I have Mom at a 1.36 summer repeat average after 1.72 TBBT average. 79% retention.

Spot said...

That's excluding those TBS special airings, I assume. But million times thanks. You must be busy with season start and all, so it's great you've find time even for this.

That's great retention. No way it will be so high for Monday originals, probably it's consequence of those repeats bring actually originals for many of TBBT viewers. But still it makes me more optimistic about Mom season, my prediction of likely 1.85 season average looks too low now. But who knows, maybe it collapses in the spring, so I'll be right for the wrong reasons :)

Spot said...

Oh, yes, I didn't even notice the TBS part. These are just CBS.

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