Wednesday, January 1, 2014

Schedules Plus, Fox Wednesday


Schedules Plus is another innovative application of the historical ratings statistic A18-49+. I hope this will be the ultimate resource for comparing the evolution of shows, networks and timeslots over time, complete with ratings numbers that make a fair adjustment for the collective decline. Right now this only includes programs aired in the fall. Much more about the process that went into this at the bottom.

Fox Wednesday in the winter is the strongest average night in all of Schedules Plus, narrowly edging Fox Tuesday because Idol has been on Wednesday for the whole era. But the fall was much more problematic for the network, as no House-like anchor ever really developed. The network finally made a major splash on Wednesday when they picked up Simon Cowell's The X Factor, effectively giving them a "mini-Idol" in the fall months. But now, that show has been so beaten down now that it's far closer to the weak Wednesday lineups of years past than to its own former ratings.

Fox Wednesday Fall


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2001-02 (various originals) Grounded for Life The Bernie Mac Show Titus 90
87 83 106 86
85 96
2002-03 The Bernie Mac Show Cedric the Entertainer Fastlane 79
82 8177
81
2003-04 That '70s Show Stan Hooper The OC 96
123 7096
97
2004-05 That '70s Show Quintuplets Nanny 911 82
85 6589
75
2005-06 That '70s Show Stacked Trading Spouses 75
83 5184
67
2006-07 Bones (repeats) 74
85 62
2007-08 Back to You Til Death Kitchen Nightmares 81
76 7188
74
2008-09 Bones Til Death Do Not Disturb 81
107 58 52
55
2009-10 So You Think You Can Dance Wed Fall Glee 102
86 117
2010-11 Human Target Hell's Kitchen Regular 89
70 109
2011-12 The X Factor Wed 163
163 163
2012-13 The X Factor Wed 140
140 140
2013-14 The X Factor Wed 95
95 95
2014-15 Hell's Kitchen Regular Red Band Society 69
80 58

Avg 93 95 94





Fox Wednesday Winter


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2001-02 That '80s Show Grounded for Life The Bernie Mac Show Titus 88
79 83 106 86
81 96
2002-03 That '70s Show American Idol Thu The Bernie Mac Show Wanda at Large 157
132 234 134 130
183 132
2003-04 That '70s Show American Idol Thu The OC 155
123 259120
191
2004-05 That '70s Show The Simple Life American Idol Thu 185
85 105275
95
2005-06 Bones American Idol Thu 199
102 295
2006-07 Bones American Idol Thu 202
85 319
2007-08 American Idol Thu Moment of Truth 243
306 180
2008-09 American Idol Thu Lie to Me 209
308 111
2009-10 Human Target American Idol Thu 176
83 268
2010-11 American Idol Wed 310
310 310
2011-12 American Idol Wed 226
226 226
2012-13 American Idol Wed 186
186 186
2013-14 American Idol Wed 143
143 143
2014-15 American Idol Wed Empire 213
124 303

Avg 173 212 192





2014-15 Update: Fox's first attempt to replace The X Factor in the fall didn't go so well, with both Hell's Kitchen and especially the drama Red Band Society going significantly behind the average that got X cancelled after three seasons. But at midseason, Fox really turned it around with the biggest broadcast drama of the A18-49+ era in Empire (303), and it's the understatement of the week to say that should set them up for improvement this fall. It stayed at 9/8c, leaving the new Morris Chestnut procedural Rosewood to lead off.

Notable midseason replacements: 

Several of the Wednesday occupants first aired at 9:00 after Idol, then swapped to the 8:00 hour later in the winter. I included the full season averages for these shows so as not to overcomplicate things, but for "retention" purposes keep in mind that much of these ratings came at 8/7c. 2005-06 Bones, Moment of Truth and Lie to Me fall under this category.

See here for more explanations/disclaimers about Schedules Plus.

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