Wednesday, January 29, 2014

The True Top 25, Week Ending 1/26/14 (2013-14 Week 18)


Sunday Event Season continued with the Grammy Awards and Pro Bowl claiming the top two spots in this week's True Top 25. American Idol took large post-premiere slides on both Wednesday and Thursday, but the Wednesday edition held off competing Modern Family to rate highest among entertainment programs. (The Big Bang Theory is back in originals next week, though its regular slot repeat isn't that far out of the lead.)

Among the new shows, it was regulars The Blacklist and Sleepy Hollow (x2), plus the surprise return of a spiking Brooklyn Nine-Nine. The show benefited from Agents of SHIELD and NCIS both being in repeats, to be sure, but the size of its growth was a couple ticks bigger than the True formula would've expected. (Also worth noting that it eked onto the list largely due to the bar being pretty low this week as several regular lineups were off the map.)

On another big Friday for broadcast, Shark Tank and 20/20 were back on the list (and well within the raw numbers list as well); and this time, they had company in the biggest Friday episode of Bones yet. And Grimm was only about a hundredth away from making it four Friday representatives.

Rank Name True A18-49 ARank
1Grammy Awards8.989.91
2Pro Bowl4.353.83
3American Idol Wed3.794.02
4Modern Family3.553.44
5American Idol Thu3.203.44
6The Big Bang Theory (R-8pm)3.003.07
7How I Met Your Mother2.723.16
8Shark Tank2.632.214
9The Blacklist2.552.311
10Criminal Minds2.442.214
11Family Guy2.372.018
12The Big Bang Theory (R-9pm)2.302.59
13The Middle2.252.311
14Sleepy Hollow (9pm)2.192.410
152 Broke Girls2.182.78
16The Bachelor2.132.311
1720/202.101.921
18Castle2.072.018
19The Simpsons2.051.732
20Bones2.041.828
21Sleepy Hollow (8pm)2.002.214
22Law and Order: SVU1.931.828
23Mike and Molly1.842.117
24Brooklyn Nine-Nine1.791.921
25American Dad!1.771.537

Missing the True Top 25 but in the A18-49 list: New Girl (t-#21 in A18-49, #26 in True), The Biggest Loser (t-#21 in A18-49, #28 in True), Mom (t-#21 in A18-49, #29 in True), 60 Minutes (t-#18 in A18-49, #31 in True), NCIS (R) (t-#21 in A18-49, #33 in True) and The Millers (R) (t-#21 in A18-49, #47 in True).

For more on the True Top 25, click to expand.
I created the True number so I could have an objective way of comparing shows across vastly different situations. One of the most fun comparisons to be made is among the biggest shows on TV. What's really the strongest show in a vacuum? Hence the weekly feature the True Top 25. This will compare shows while accounting for everything so we can see who Truly comes out on top. I include both the A18-49 and the weekly ranking in A18-49 so you can see the changes within the rankings that True Strength makes.

The A18-49 rankings aren't based on Nielsen's "official" broadcast top 25. They're derived from my own spreadsheet just using the big-five networks, so none of the big players on Univision are included. I've also weeded out some weird programming like NFL overruns and sports pre-game shows. Most of that stuff airs largely out of primetime or is strangely split apart, so I don't want to muddle the list with that.

As mentioned on the sports SpotVault pages, True Strengths for sporting events are based on the primetime portion only. Perhaps in future editions I'll try to get the primetime portion only A18-49 into the A18-49 rankings so it'll be a totally fair comparison.

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