Friday, January 18, 2013

The Question Results Through 1/17/13


Here are the results and individual standings through January 17 for the ratings prediction game The Question. Added some random tidbits about the standings at the bottom.

January 6-17 Games:

Date Show(s) OU/Spread Result Winner W L D
Jan. 6 The Biggest Loser 2.05 3.0 Over 10 1
Jan. 7 Deception 2.05 2.0 Under 6 3
Jan. 8 Cougar Town 1.35 1.1 Under 7 4
Jan. 10 1600 Penn 1.55 1.6 Over 3 6
Jan. 14 The Carrie Diaries 0.85 0.6 Under 4 8
Jan. 16 American Idol 6.15 6.0 Under 4 6
Jan. 17* Grey's vs. Scandal GA -0.05 GA -0.3 Grey's 8 2
TOTAL



42 30 0
SEASON



304 254 18

*- subject to miracle finals adjustment!

Previous weeks' results:

Week 1 | Week 2 | Week 3 | Week 4 | Week 5 | Week 6 | thru 11/14 | thru 12/10 | thru 12/20

Season-to-date standings through January 17:


W L D Pts
Billie_Dawn 30 19 2 35.1
CarShark 26.5 18 1 31.1
James "One" Shade 26 23 1 31.0
Survivor Fan 26 21 1 30.8
MScholarC04 25 20 1 29.6
iggy 22 21 2 26.5
DavidK 21.5 19 2 25.8
Jack Sargeson 21 21 1 25.3
Silvio 21 19 1 25.1
omabin 18 15 1 21.4
Luke 10 13 1 12.4
nb 10 6 0 11.6
Gavin Hetherington 9 6 0 10.5
A 8 10 2 10.0
vamperstien 8 9 1 9.8
Oliver 8 6 1 9.5
Klaus Gepp 8 3 0 9.1
Engelbert 3 1 0 3.4
Emily 1 0 0 1.1
Rurry 1 0 0 1.1
yankeesrj12 0 2 0 0.2
Mike Stein 0 1 0 0.1
wlm 0 1 0 0.1

Points = Wins + 0.1 * Games.

The "half-wins" are for entries to sports games after the start of the event. 



A few tidbits I found interesting:

The field as a whole is winning 54% of the time.

The leader (Billie_Dawn) is winning 61% of the time.

Everyone with a large sample size (played at least half the games) is winning at a 50%+ clip.

In the 46 eligible over/under games so far, a strategy of "Always Be Under" would've won 27 times (59%).

2 comments:

Spot said...

"Idol" surprisingly not adjusting up in the finals on Wednesday was a lucky break for the unders (including me).

Spot said...

You've gotten many such breaks (or are just skillful), given that you're pulling away from me and CarShark.

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