Friday, January 9, 2015

Spotted Ratings, Thursday 1/8/15


WHAT MATTERS:
  • FINALS UPDATE: Despite a finals downtick, Mom (2.7) still held onto its new series high. The Big Bang Theory (4.6), Two and a Half Men (2.3) and Elementary (1.5) all adjusted up for CBS, as did Fox's American Idol (3.1).
  • The two-hour Thursday premiere of American Idol (3.0) was pretty close to Wednesday's rating, and down by a slightly more reasonable 23% vs. last year's Thursday premiere. Idol jumped noticeably across the night (2.5 -> 2.9 -> 3.2 -> 3.4), further suggesting that the Wednesday comparison suffered unfairly from the episode being just one hour.
  • It was another night of above-average ratings on the other networks, though the usual CBS January comedy explosion was somewhat limited by Idol being around earlier than usual. The biggest winner was definitely Mom (2.8), which hit another new series high. But The Big Bang Theory (4.5) was well down from the mid-5's it pulled in the pre-Idol January weeks last year, and Two and a Half Men (2.2), The McCarthys (1.7) and Elementary (1.4) similarly had only modest week-to-week growth.
  • ABC and NBC were still low, but at least a bit better than what they've posted in recent weeks. Reality series The Biggest Loser (1.3) and The Taste (0.9) each rebounded noticeably from last week's ugly numbers, while Parenthood (1.4) returned at a tie for its season high.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
The Taste 0.9 35% +29%+0.2n/a 1/5 -31% +33% -29% 1.0
How To Get Away With Murder (R) 0.6 30% +50% +0% 0.9
ABC:+37%-24%
The Big Bang Theory 4.6 32% +18%+0.7n/a 4/12 -19% +188% -19% 4.2
Mom 2.7 28% +17%+0.4+2.3 1/9 n/a +125% -18% 2.0
Two and a Half Men 2.3 29% +21%+0.4+0.4 2/9 -4% +156% -4% 1.9
The McCarthys 1.7 27% +6%+0.1+0.4 1/9 n/a +143% -29% 1.5
Elementary 1.5 22% +15%+0.2+0.1 1/9 -25% +150% -25% 1.6
CBS:+155%-20%
The Biggest Loser 1.3 32% +44%+0.4n/a 2/15 -24% +44% -10% 1.4
Bad Judge 0.8 32% +60%+0.3+0.4 10/11 n/a +60% -20% 0.9
A to Z 0.6 37% +50%+0.2+0.3 9/11 n/a +50% -40% 0.9
Parenthood 1.4 38% +8%+0.1-0.1 1/10 +8% +250% +8% 1.7
NBC:+94%-9%
American Idol Thu 3.1 35% n/an/an/a 1/1 -21% +439% +343% 3.0
Fox:+439%+343%
Movie: House at the End of the Street 0.3 30% n/a +9% -14% 0.4
CW:+9%-14%
Big5:+154%+22%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

15 comments:

Spot said...

Of those midseason shows that you listed, only Fresh off the Boat doesn't have an ABC Studios connection. So it (20th Century Fox) and Forever (WB) are racing to avoid being replaced by The Whispers (WB). Forever could wrap up by late-March if it runs straight through minus a one-week break for the State of the Union. And even if The Whispers has a 13 episode order, if it's at a renewable level ABC could just hold episodes over and wrap them into season 2 a la Grey's Anatomy's 2005-2006 27-episode sophomore season.

Spot said...

CBS has shown it's capable of doing unnecessary schedule movement. Why stop the fun now?!


Also, the promo ad copy kinda writes itself: "By popular demand, your favorite CBS Friday dramas are back even sooner this September: One hour earlier!" and "Lull yourself to sleep with Elementary on a new night!"*


*: Ok, so maybe CBS' PR department won't use that.

Spot said...

This is going to be a long run for Fox. But it can't go worse than that? Right?

And it's interesting how well Boss is helping Hawaii Five-0 and Blue Bloods. Maybe it's due to CBS doing above-average in January, but those 1.4s and 1.5s are around what they got in the fall, when Boss was in that timeslot.

And I guess there are a lot more Home Improvement fans than I thought. Will Matt LeBlanc guest star on The Odd Couple?

Spot said...

Great ratings for ABC comedies!

Spot said...

I expected Last Man Standing and Cristela to do good during high HUT January, simply because at this time last year LMS scored 1.5 (tied season high) and The Neighbors 1.1 (2nd best rated episode that season). But this is really, really good, as 8 PM hour is on average 10% up y2y, and 20% in A18-49+ .

And it annoys me. Because I hate uncertainty. I would much more like either if this two comedies did this well for entire season (so they renewed for 3 more seasons or whatever), either if both did bad yesterday (becoming dead shows walking). As it is, both could go either way.

LMS is now only 3% down y2y, but is relatively expensive. Thus 20th Century is giving substantial discount on airing fee, so it's not clear if studio wants to produce more episodes. ABC surely wants one more this season at this ratings (disclaimer: unless they plan cutting down comedy hours).

Cristela is opposite, it's relatively cheap production cost, and with this 1.3 now the show is at 1.06 A18-49 average (at 1.05 if it adjusts down in finals), and considering low cost that's enough to make some small profit to ABC. So they could renew it. And could not, if they think it's opportunity cost.

Spot said...

I'm not surprised by Last Man Standing. Former Home Improvement stars have proven to be a draw and they had special musical commercials for it in both the premiere of Galavant and its repeat.
.
Don't get caught up with the Cristela rating. Roseanne is the type of person that would be a legit draw to a TGIF audience and it had a great for Friday lead in. Unless there is a significant rise from her former sub 1's this doesn't matter

Spot said...

Good night for ABC, which they needed since they had fewer wins than the other broadcasters this week. And it should get better after finals since I expect Shark Tank to gain a tick and hit a 2.0. Looks like their comedies, though, benefit more with sitcom stars from the 1990s instead of just being a 90's-style sitcom.

As for Fox...well, at least this got Glee reduced to 13 episodes. Not that I expected the show to do much better than this, but Fox must be hoping this holds instead of sinking down to Rake-esque levels.

If CBS is going to keep The Amazing Race on Fridays next season, perhaps they should have it and Undercover Boss swap roles. Race would benefit from the higher HUT-levels of January/February while UB would still get a break to avoid audience burnout.

Spot said...

With Empire's massive premiere surprising everyone, do you think FOX will keep the current schedule for American Idol?
If I got it right, there will be some nights where Empire will be off the air due to American Idol being back at two hours.

Spot said...

Well, they can run through Empire and be done by April Fools Day, allowing Idol to be on for two hours, and last until finale week.

Spot said...

No, it's not what they said. For Idol Fox announced:
2 hours (Wed 8 PM / Thu 8 PM) starting with Backstrom premiere.
1 hour (Wed 8 PM) since Bones return from hiatus.
2 hours (both on Wednesday) after empire season finale.
3 hours - final week.

Spot said...

Oh, I see. Must have gotten it mixed up.

Spot said...

Last Man Standing is bound to another round of negociations. Cristela was part of the deal to keep it airing last season, it refuses to go down and unless ABC wants to put Beyond the Tank there, they won't perform better.


However, they have nothing to pair with it (The Middle is still too valuable to be in fridays' wasteland next year) and the trend is now against comedies, CBS was #1 at this department but they've sunk and cut comedy hours, FOX has 3 too but one of them is made by animations and ABC is the only one to finish the season with 4 (3:30 of originals), LMS' well known odd situation plays against it, good enough for fridays but a waste in a weekday.

Spot said...

Question: if Backstrom gets pulled from the schedule (which most people expect), doesn't matter if it happens before or after Bones returns, what does FOX place on thursdays at 9 until the end of the season? A month of repeats? They'll definitely bring Bones back for the first weeks but then they'll need to slide it to 8 PM, leaving the hour empty.


Hell's Kitchen is scheduled for tuesdays so they can't place it there. Could they do Bones originals followed by reruns? It's the only drama on FOX whose repeats can get a 0.7.

Spot said...

They could probably put in Idol. I don't how they can do it, since I don't watch nor haven't watched the show in years, but they did cut the results show to a half hour, so anything's possible.

Spot said...

I think they would simply go with Idol / Bones. Those few weeks "1 hour Wed 8 PM" would still be "2 hours (Wed 8 PM / Thu 8 PM)"
There's as much as 12 Bones unaired episodes, so no problem from that side.

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