Friday, January 9, 2015

Spotted Ratings, Monday 1/5/15


WHAT MATTERS:
  • FINALS UPDATE: NCIS: Los Angeles (2.0) adjusted up to a new season high. Celebrity Apprentice (2.0) went down a tick, which (coupled with the Apprentice uptick on Sunday) made its post-premiere hold look less impressive.
  • The first reality showdown between The Bachelor (2.2) and Celebrity Apprentice (2.1) was a virtual dead heat, with NBC's Apprentice holding almost all of its surprising Sunday rating and The Bachelor dropping nearly 20% from last winter's premiere. The Bachelor shook it up a bit in actually airing a full three hours on this night, but that didn't seem to hurt ratings-wise; it was actually at its highest in the 10/9c hour (2.4) with less competition.
  • Meanwhile, there were a lot of CBS and Fox scripted winners on the first fully original Monday with no competition from Dancing with the Stars, The Voice or football. CBS saw 2 Broke Girls (2.4) and NCIS: Los Angeles (1.9) each tie their premiere season highs, while Mike and Molly (2.2) followed up a couple impressive originals during the holidays by setting a new season high. And the returns of new dramas Scorpion (2.4) and Gotham (2.5) were each up noticeably, hitting their highest ratings since October. The only problem for these shows is that they all go back into repeats against the college football national championship next week.
  • The only major loser was NBC's State of Affairs (1.0), which could only tie its low from two weeks ago despite getting very good lead-in support from Apprentice.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
The Bachelor 2.2 36% n/an/an/a 1/1 -19% +106% -8% 2.2
ABC:+100%-8%
2 Broke Girls 2.4 34% +14%+0.3n/a 1/8 n/a +85% +41% 2.4
Mike and Molly 2.2 29% +22%+0.4+1.1 1/5 n/a +22% +69% 2.1
Scorpion 2.4 25% +20%+0.4+0.4 4/13 n/a +100% +109% 2.3
NCIS: Los Angeles 2.0 21% +25%+0.4+0.4 1/12 n/a +100% +100% 1.9
CBS:+79%+84%
Celebrity Apprentice 2.0 39% -17%-0.4n/a 2/2 n/a +264% +105% 2.0
State of Affairs 1.0 28% +0%+0.0+0.6 6/7 n/a +122% -5% 1.2
NBC:+213%+67%
Gotham 2.5 45% +9%+0.2n/a 3/11 n/a +456% +39% 2.5
Sleepy Hollow 1.6 45% +7%+0.1+1.5 6/12 n/a +300% +100% 1.4
Fox:+356%+58%
The Originals (R) 0.2 32% -20% +0% 0.3
Jane the Virgin (R) 0.3 53% +50% +100% 0.4
CW:+0%+43%
Big5:+134%+38%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

12 comments:

Spot said...

- Cbs had a big night but that was entirely to be expected, it has been hapenning for the past years. Probably no other network hates the voice as much as cbs, particularly the monday lineup. Although much has been said about its collapse, not enough has been said about how much its been due to the voice.
-

Spot said...

Glad Mike and Molly is back in 2s! I guess airing 4 straight eps (even if it was alone during the holidays) didn't hurt

Spot said...

At 8 PM we had a real close race. 2.5, 2.4, 2.2, and 2.1. That's always cool to see. And I'm amazed at how well Apprentice was doing. It actually seems to be a decent filler, but I can't say the same for State of Affairs. But at least the pity renewal race has shrunken a bit.

Spot said...

Ratings surprised me, again. But that's probably just me misreading the situation, again.
Anyway, positively surprising in most of the cases, - CBS is 10% higher than I expected, and Fox almost 20%, while Celebrity Apprentice like 40%, shocking.
On the other hand, The Bachelor is some 15% lower than I expected. Actually, only State of Affairs is exactly where I expected it to be.

Spot said...

Die Bachelor Die! I'm know its in no danger, but I am quite pleased to see that not everyone bought into their dreadful portrayal of Iowa. My state gets very few representations on TV, outside of Star Trek, so I don't need the Bachelor grinding in Iowa = Dumb Farmer stereotype even more

Spot said...

I love days like these where its like: Everyone's a winner! Except State of Affairs of course, but no one likes that show anyways

Spot said...

Good night for everyone not named State of Affairs (ok, only average for Bachelor considering its past numbers) but it's a rare night you can't give a grade below B- for any network, A- for CBS, B+ for FOX, B for ABC and B- for NBC dragged down by Heigl, the evil blonde.

Question: will there be a "The Question" for Agent Carter or will its high variance prevent us for trying? I can see it hitting any rating from 1.5 to 2.8.

Spot said...

I think Galavant had just as much variance, so we need an Agent Carter Question!

Spot said...

I agree.

Spot said...

TBL having a hiatus is the right idea at the wrong time. After the Rachel Frederickson ending to season 15, the earliest date I saw as viable for season 16 was January 2015 - simply because I thought that gave the show enough time for everyone to forget about that ending and for the publicity to die away. (Especially because the aggressive dieting rhetoric peaks in January, so it's inherently the most favourable launch date for the format.)

But no, they launch it in September, with an "athlete season," against football. I get that they were keeping the night warm for the perfectly decent idea of a SB-driven Blacklist move to Thursday, but it was the worst possible move for TBL. Not that I, as an anti-fan of the show, am complaining in the slightest, but I don't see how the damage to the franchise can be undone now.

Spot said...

I'm not Spot and I'm not speaking for him, but I think that ratings variance doesn't have much to do with it. My observation is that Questions are more about the potential significance that a show, usually a new one, will have for a network, and if the show can have ongoing significance. It's why we don't see Questions for sporting events, awards shows, entertainment events like Peter Pan Live!, or one-offs like ABC using Shark Tank as a temporary stop-gap. And in the event where the Question is about a spread, it's because two networks are putting two very high-profile shows against each other (Gotham vs. Scorpion, The Crazy Ones vs. The Michael J Fox Show).


If variance were to stop Spot, we wouldn't have the post-Football Questions like whatever shows lead out of the Super Bowl, or (and this is me projecting) the upcoming one about how Scorpion does in the post-AFL Championship slot. And I hedge my bets about Questions being exclusively for new shows since I could see a Scandal vs. Blacklist spread being asked on Feb. 4. Sad I'm most likely going to miss that Question since I'll be on vacation and away from any communication.

Spot said...

Good grief, SOA..

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