Wednesday, January 28, 2015

Spotted Ratings, Friday 1/23/15


WHAT MATTERS:
  • FINALS UPDATE: Grimm (1.3) adjusted up.
  • ABC and the CBS dramas went into repeat mode on the last Friday before February sweeps, but it didn't stop Shark Tank (1.5) from topping the night in one of the series' biggest repeat ratings ever. The other shows in repeats also fared well, including Hawaii Five-0 (1.1) and Blue Bloods (1.0) benefiting from an original Undercover Boss (1.4) lead-in. ABC also had encores for Last Man Standing (1.0) and Cristela (0.9); the latter's repeat actually slightly outrated its original low point from December.
  • Those repeats didn't really produce any bounces on other networks, aside from a sizable increase for Dateline (1.3) in its second week at 10/9c. However, it may have helped keep Fox's World's Funniest Fails (1.0) and Glee (0.7) steady in week two of that pairing.
  • On the CW, the second Friday outing for Hart of Dixie (0.5) was up a tenth. We'll see if it holds in finals, but it would be a really strong result on a CW Friday; it got as high as 0.5 in its Monday run just one time last season.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
Last Man Standing (R) 1.0 22% -23% -29% 1.3
Cristela (R) 0.9 26% -18% +13% 1.1
Shark Tank (R) 1.5 30% -30% -32% 1.7
20/20 1.1 29% -21%-0.3-0.7 15/18 -42% -19% -41% 1.3
ABC:-24%-31%
Undercover Boss 1.4 21% +0%+0.0n/a 4/7 n/a +0% +12% 1.5
Hawaii Five-0 (R) 1.1 17% -24% +10% 1.2
Blue Bloods (R) 1.0 14% -29% +0% 1.3
CBS:-18%+8%
Constantine 0.9 33% +13%+0.1n/a 5/10 n/a +20% -36% 1.1
Grimm 1.3 33% +8%+0.1+0.1 2/10 -13% +13% -16% 1.5
Dateline Fri 1.3 29% +30%+0.3+0.1 5/16 -7% +30% +37% 1.5
NBC:+21%-10%
World's Funniest Fails 1.0 42% +0%+0.0n/a 1/2 n/a -5% -44% 1.2
Glee 0.7 49% +0%+0.0+0.0 2/4 n/a +0% -22% 1.0
Fox:-3%-37%
Hart of Dixie 0.5 52% +25%+0.1n/a 1/3 +25% +11% +67% 0.6
Whose Line Is It Anyway? (R) 0.4 53% +33% +100% 0.4
Masters of Illusion 0.3 51% +0%+0.0+0.1 1/3 n/a +0% +50% 0.4
CW:+13%+70%
Big5:-8%-16%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

16 comments:

Spot said...

NBC needs to give them time to breathe
Bringing it back in Feb is a little to much - I would wait March

Spot said...

I think they did it mainly because of The Night Shift.
1. This way TNS (premieres 2/23) audience can sample it before ABC midseason dramas (Secrets & Lies premieres 3/1, American Crime 3/5).
2. TNS has 14 episodes order, and from 2/23 until end of regular season there is 13 weeks. With March premiere there would be multiple TNS episodes airing during summer season.

Spot said...

This spring The Voice premiere is double important because of The Night Shift season premiere. As I expect 60% TNS retention (for premiere, somewhat lower in later episodes), it's a big difference if The Voice premieres good (4.5), OK (4.0) or bad (3.5).
I think it would greatly affect first two weeks TNS ratings:
(4.5) = 2.7 -> 2.1 --> renew (not confident)
(4.0) = 2.4 -> 1.9 --> defer
(3.5) = 2.1 -> 1.7 --> cancel (not confident)

Spot said...

Also, they would be forced to air the voice in the summer if they premiere it later and I don't think they are interested in doing that.

Spot said...

I agree with this grade. I would just point out that the situation truly got more difficult for the show. On Mondays, there was The Big Bang Theory for the first 6 weeks and also Gotham (there was also Scorpion but sort of cancels out the weaker Sleepy Hollow). On Tuesdays, it was airing on an earlier timeslot in which it had to face the lower viewing hours and be surrounded with the bigger did it has ever had (excluding the horrific Ready for Love brief experiment). I still agree that the show was weaker this year but I feel that these are important caveats.

Spot said...

They were not shy of airing tail end of The Voice in summer before.
It seems they don't mind it, for some reason.

Spot said...

For the first time, The Voice monday airings dropped below a 3.0 and the first fall season it didn't get the megahit label.


This show has been asked to do too much for the newtork, more than Idol has ever been since it was always a midseason show, meanwhile, NBC has no choice, their depth is horrible as they have only five true season-round shows and none of them is a comedy.

Spot said...

They did it only in the 2013 spring but NBC traded the audience saturation for a terrible winter when they lost to Univision, not to mention that Revolution's retention became even worse throughout the season, so, they decided to bring it back right after the Olympics last year.

Spot said...

I do think that The Voice had a harder go of it this cycle than in years past. Dancing with Stars kept its act together and maintained the positive momentum the Spring 2014 cycle had (AKA gaining in Plus). Fox did not let up with competition as Gotham/Sleepy Hollow was essentially the same as Bones/Sleepy Hollow last season. And CBS deployed The Big Bang Theory, which did two things: helped Scorpion improve the hour over Mike & Molly/Mom and boosted CBS in the 8:00 hour during The Voice's highest-rated weeks.

The Voice's Spring cycle should have more of a wind at its back. The Following won't average a Plus closer to Sleepy Hollow's marginal number. And CBS on the whole will get weaker: unless they are squeezing out 25+ episodes of Scorpion or sub in another drama if Scorpion ends early, the Eye network will have more reruns in the 9:00 hour. ABC could be a complication if it has another relative bulls-eye with Stars, so NBC needs to hope they strike out with casting.

Spot said...

What is the most likely scenario in your opinion, there are two different factors playing, one is that the competition is weaker, Gotham is a good player, CBS comedies not named TBBT are hurt badly by Voice's presence and DWTS is the same, which could lead to it returning up.


However, the show is trending down and viewership is lower, making anything between 3.6 and 4.3 possible.

Spot said...

I think it's most likely The Voice premieres at 4.0, I wouldn't be surprised with 4.1-4.2, while 3.8-3.9 would surprise me.

However, I'm pessimistic about The Night Shift simply because NBC is pessimistic: They ordered backdoor pilot of Chicago Med, and pilot for Heart Matters. Question here is, why would they stockpile medical drama pilots if they trust The Night Shift as much as they say they do?

Spot said...

They did it two years ago because Shakira was pregnant so they really didn't have much of a choice in there. I doubt they ever do it again unless there is again an external reason for it.

Spot said...

Having a spinoff in development isn't a sure thing nowadays. See NCIS: Red and Supernatural: Bloodlines.

...Actually, we can't since they didn't get picked up. And we could essentially add How I Met Your Dad to this list since it would have had a similar premise from the same creative team.

Spot said...

Most of pilots are pushed, some are picked. Most of spinoff pilots become series, some not. We don't know what will happen with Chicago Med.
What we do know, is that having multiple medical drama pilots doesn't bode well for The Night Shift, and shows lack of confidence NBC is having into it.

Spot said...

How are Secrets & Lies and American Crime related to TNS?

Spot said...

Both the ChiMed and Heart Matters pilots are coming from their sister studio. The Night Shift comes from Sony. If NBC thinks that the medical drama could become a hot trend again, then the network is better off having some ownership stake in it. So I don't think it's a lack of confidence (why give it the post-Voice slot when it could have gone to Allegiance or Odyssey?) but it does indicate that Night Shift will have to overachieve to stay on the schedule.

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