Wednesday, November 12, 2014

Spotted Ratings, Sunday 11/9/14


WHAT MATTERS:
  • FINALS UPDATE: The Simpsons (3.0) and Brooklyn Nine-Nine (1.9) each picked up a tenth. Sunday Night Football (6.5) indeed hit a season low, but it was only a couple tenths behind last week.
  • The NFL overrun swung back to Fox, but it ended relatively early. So The Simpsons (2.9), Brooklyn Nine-Nine (1.8) and Family Guy (1.8) benefited a good bit less than normal; Nine-Nine was only a tenth above last week's no-overrun result and Family Guy hit a new low. Since Fox insists on continuing to air Mulaney (0.9), it went back up with the return of an original lead-in.
  • CBS dramas Madam Secretary (1.4) and The Good Wife (1.4) were back at normal non-overrun levels, while CSI (1.2) crashed to a new low.
  • On ABC, it's been getting closer for awhile, and it finally happened: Revenge (1.3) beat its much-better supported lead-in Resurrection (1.2) (at least in prelims). Once Upon a Time (2.5) was down a tenth.
  • NBC's huge blowout on Sunday Night Football could be headed for a season low. More after finals.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
America's Funniest Home Videos 1.5 29% +25%+0.3n/a 1/4 +15% +25% +11% 1.8
Once Upon a Time 2.5 43% -4%-0.1+0.3 6/7 +19% -2% +19% 2.5
Resurrection 1.2 33% -14%-0.2-0.1 6/7 n/a -14% -11% 1.2
Revenge 1.3 31% +8%+0.1-0.2 1/7 +0% +4% +63% 1.6
ABC:+2%+16%
60 Minutes 1.5 16% -56%-1.9n/a 5/8 -52% -85% -77% 1.8
Madam Secretary 1.4 14% -22%-0.4-1.9 6/8 n/a -60% -49% 1.4
The Good Wife 1.4 17% +0%+0.0-0.4 3/8 -18% -24% -30% 1.5
CSI 1.2 18% -14%-0.2+0.0 5/5 -33% -17% -20% 1.5
CBS:-67%-57%
Football Night in America p2 2.3 45% +109%+1.2n/a 3/10 +10% +109% +10% 2.6
Football Night in America p3 4.1 43% +14%+0.5+1.2 4/10 +0% +14% +0% 3.9
Sunday Night Football 6.5 46% -3%-0.2+0.5 11/11 -17% -5% -18% 6.1
NBC:-12%-26%
NFL Overrun 7.4 41% -21%-2.0n/a 8/10 -5% +640% +825% 7.3
The OT 3.8 46% -25%-1.3-1.4 5/5 n/a +153% +245% 2.5
The Simpsons 3.0 57% +50%+1.0+2.3 4/6 +67% +50% +58% 2.3
Brooklyn Nine-Nine 1.9 60% +12%+0.2+1.0 4/6 +19% +12% +27% 1.6
Family Guy 1.8 63% -28%-0.7-0.6 4/4 -10% +50% -10% 1.7
Mulaney 0.9 57% +29%+0.2+0.6 4/5 n/a +29% -44% 0.9
Fox:+132%+111%
Big4:-6%-13%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

16 comments:

Spot said...

That's a really, really terrible result for Family Guy. I'm pretty sure it's repeated bigger this year. Maybe Walking Dead is just killing it, but it did a 1.7 for a REPEAT against the massive 8.7 Walking Dead premiere. Last week The Simpsons (2.0) did better with a smaller lead in (1.5). Could The Simpsons actually be stronger than Family Guy now? I think its possible

Spot said...

This was the first episode this season that CSI started on time in the whole country and it really didn't take advantage of it. Being off the air for two weeks didn't help, but this is not a good result. It's only ahead of Hawaii 5-0 on the drama list and that airs on Friday. It did tie Elementary, but that's not a huge accomplishment. It should be noted last night's episode lacked George Eads, who is the only tie the show has to the pilot episode now.

Spot said...

The Simpsons has much less competition (SNF pre-game, OUAT, Madam Secretary) than Family Guy (The Walking Dead, SNF, Resurrection, The Good Wife). And Guy's chief competition aims at males and the younger demo with a weaker lead-in than The Simpsons which occasionally gets the late-afternoon NFL lead-in.

Also it's only the 4th new episode of Guy this season after a nearly month-long break.

Spot said...

The Simpsons episode also had a special Futurama tie-in which might have boosted its ratings, along with football and might have helped B-99 even more, too.

Spot said...

While I do think we need to wait and see how both shows are doing in the spring before deciding which cartoon is stronger, the Simpsons being stronger than Family Guy appears to be the case for now at least.

Spot said...

Maybe, but just slightly, since Simpsons post-NFL ratings are a complete fraud.


Competition plays a good role too.

Spot said...

Except for being a huge syndication cash cow, it's hard to see anything leading to CBS keeping the show, they cut the episode order and are airing it on sundays at 10. In fact, it didn't start on time in the whole country, there were some eastern/central markets that got the Broncos-Raiders game and CBS primetime started at 7:17 PM.

Spot said...

I think it's fair to say at this point that Family Guy is on a genuine decline. It's not like it's in danger of cancellation or anything but this used to be a show that was easily the biggest of the block and now barely outrates the second-tier shows (yes B99 was inflated, but it was only a tenth lower when it wasn't inflated last week). I'm sure the cable competition is hurting it, as is its erratic scheduling this year.

Spot said...

CSI did have a better 18-34 rating than Madam Secretary and The Good Wife, but I don't think that is enough. They already have Elementary to add to shows that probably can't make money first run. Person of Interest will also probably be added to its "syndication farm". Maybe NCIS: LA too. I think that CSI and Hawaii 5-0 will be squeezed out and only Good Wife (final season) and Blue Bloods remain.

Spot said...

It'll be very interesting to see how this lineup shakes out on the next CBS double-header Sunday.

Spot said...

The Simpsons legitamately seems to be stepping up its game this year. Yes, it always gets boost from the OT, but even non Football episodes have been up. Last November is hit two 1.8's in a row without the OT lead in. This year it has been doing a 2.0 without football. Add to the fact they've picked the football episodes well. The one where a character dies, Treehouse of Horror, and Futurama Crossover.

Spot said...

Based on the Box Office results, Once should be looking for Baymex to be their next story arc

Spot said...

Don't fret for CBS. That 2.8 somehow is their top rating besides Big Bang Theory this week.

Spot said...

Before CBS midseason schedule was announced I would say only one needed to be squeezed out if that much but now I am genuinely less sure since they seem keen on keeping TAR on regular season schedule which is not needed at all.

If it were up to me, I would simply do something like this:
Monday: 2BG+Mom+Scorpion+NCIS Los Angeles
Tuesday: NCIS+NCIS New Orleans + New Drama
Wednesday: Survivor+Criminal Minds+New Drama
Thursday: The Big Bang Theory + New Comedy + New Drama + Person of Interest
Friday: Undercover Boss + H50 + Blue Bloods
Sunday: Madam Secretary + The Good Wife + Elementary

Backups: Mike and Molly, TAR (though that one is ideally for summer) and if they really want to continue reducing repeats and bridging hiatus, CSI for a Mentalist type of treatment.

This won't of course happen because they will insist on keeping The Millers on schedule effectively forcing them to keep 3 hours of comedy on schedule and they will also continue to insist on TAR during the season but I would be good with this.



I don't particularly adore the idea of POI Thursdays at 10 but it would be a temporary move to allow for the rest of the night to be fixed. They can't simply launch 2.5 new hours after Big Bang and I don't see which other drama they can move there since Scorpion and NO are still very new, LA just moved and NCIS and CM are needed where they are. I also wouldn't mind POI and Boss swapped though.

Spot said...

Yes. The Simpsons is up 20% year to year which is crazy.

Spot said...

Why did it get a 7.2 three years ago?

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