Thursday, May 8, 2014

Spotted Ratings, Wednesday 5/7/14


WHAT MATTERS:
  • A week after the last two hours of ABC's Wednesday block fell apart, there was no rally for Mixology (1.3) and Nashville (1.2) on this night, and only a tiny one for Modern Family (2.9). And this time, the 8/7c hour joined in the late spring struggle, as The Middle (1.6) and Suburgatory (1.3) were still at new lows after adjusting up in finals!
  • Things were also pretty brutal on NBC; Revolution (1.1) hit a new low, while Chicago PD (1.4) was tied for a low. And on Fox, American Idol (1.8) hit a new Wednesday low even with its finals uptick.
  • Only CBS had some relief, with Survivor (2.4), Criminal Minds (2.3) and CSI (1.9) all posting small week-to-week upticks.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
The Middle 1.6 31% -11%-0.2n/a 21/21 -11% -11% -11% 1.9
Suburgatory 1.3 33% -13%-0.2-0.2 12/12 n/a -13% +8% 1.5
Modern Family 2.9 43% +4%+0.1-0.2 20/21 -12% +0% -12% 3.4
Mixology 1.3 43% +0%+0.0+0.1 7/11 n/a +0% -35% 1.2
Nashville 1.2 32% +0%+0.0+0.0 20/21 -25% +0% -25% 1.5
ABC:-4%-17%
Survivor 2.4 31% +4%+0.1n/a 3/11 -4% +4% -8% 2.8
Criminal Minds 2.3 28% +5%+0.1+0.1 16/23 -8% +5% -8% 2.5
CSI 1.9 24% +12%+0.2+0.1 12/22 -14% +12% -14% 2.1
CBS:+6%-10%
Revolution 1.1 37% -15%-0.2n/a 20/20 -45% -15% -61% 1.3
Law and Order: SVU 1.5 36% -17%-0.3-0.2 17/21 -21% -19% -21% 1.8
Chicago PD 1.4 33% -26%-0.5-0.3 12/13 n/a -26% -24% 1.6
NBC:-21%-39%
American Idol Wed 1.8 29% -5%-0.1n/a 18/18 -38% -4% -38% 2.1
Fox:-4%-38%
Arrow 0.8 44% +0%+0.0n/a 15/22 -11% +0% -6% 1.0
The 100 0.6 46% +0%+0.0+0.0 3/8 n/a +0% -37% 0.7
CW:+0%-22%
Big5:-4%-26%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

18 comments:

Spot said...

Networks are burned if he falls to Cleveland at 26th.

Spot said...

Horrible numbers all across the board, fortunaltelyl, NBC renewed 2/3 of its wednesday shows, ABC will renew at least two and probably 3 (unless that 1.2 for Suburgatory makes them switch their opinion).


CBS had a good night.

Spot said...

Makes sense, it's the archetypal "dudecom" really isn't it? The overlap between 2.5 Men fans and NFL fans must be larger than just about anything on television. (With that said, did it do relatively better in spring than fall during its Monday run, seeing as it kept facing MNF in the fall?)

Spot said...

And then they ruined it through owning half of the CW. Who just renewed BatB. I repeat, they renewed BatB.

Spot said...

I'm shocked.


Pedowitz set CW back two years. Only the international revenues explanation makes sense, since:


- It's not a full season
- Even if it was, it wouldn't reach 88 episodes, CW shortened Nikita's 4th season and they will do the same to Hart of Dixie.

Spot said...

Where did you see that it wouldn't be for a full seson?

Spot said...

Given it's ratings, I assume he (she?) believes it'll be a summer series. I know I certainly think it's for the summer.

Spot said...

deadline

"Three of the CW‘s bubble series – The 100, Hart Of Dixie and Beauty And The Beast, made the cut with orders for next season. The number of episodes for all three is TBD — word is that they will likely be less than 22."

Spot said...

I posted an article yesterday in spoilertv in which I explained that I thought Beauty had a fairly shot at being renewed and it going on Fridays like this:

Beauty and the Beast + America's Next Top Model
Beauty and the Beast + Hart of Dixie
Lowest performing newbie + Hart of Dixie, with BaTb again finishing its season on summer

Spot said...

I think that if they give it less than 22 episodes that will surprise me more than the renewal itself.

Spot said...

That was exactly my first thought too.
C'mon, Pedowitz, BatB will rate lower than Cult. Only possible explanation is it's not picked for the regular season. If it is for regular season after all, then I expect affiliates to opt for airing infomercials instead of BatB.
In summer? Affiliates could put up with it, "Oh, Shut Up" or whatever crappy rated stuff is CW airing during summer already gets 0.1 or 0.2.

Spot said...

Does the draft actually start at 8 PM? Or there's first some "pre-game" show? Pre-draft :)

Spot said...

Last year's April / May ratings seem to correspond with the ratings in October.

Spot said...

Beauty and the Beast is clearly the Goodwife of the CW with it winning the People's Choice Award for best Sci-fi/Fantasy Show. All kidding aside, People's Choice Awards are the worst. Downton Abbey was nominated for best cable drama despite airing on the Public BROADCASTING Network in the US and ITV in the UK, which is the oldest commercial broadcasting network there.

Spot said...

It depends on what's your definition of "correspond" is.
For example, for Glee that gets 0.9 almost very week, I very much expect it returns on 0.9 in fall.
But if you have Then Goldbergs that constantly gets 1.5 to 1.7, then yesterday it got some odd 1.3... for it I expect to return at 1.6. That 1.3 is not corresponding to anything, so I don't expect anything corresponding to it either.

Spot said...

To clarify, I was responding to "rebound from these bleak numbers in the Fall." The veteran shows should get a bounce for 1-3 weeks to start next season, but then fall to a tenth or two above these bleak numbers.
The Goldbergs will be in a better slot situation next season -- surrounded by comedies, or bumped up to 8pm. Glee is irrelevant in many ways.

Spot said...

To clarify, those are just examples. That's exactly why I wrote "for example" above. Of course in examples is supposed no change of lead-in or timeslot, otherwise they don't make sense.

Forget Glee i Goldbergs. Let me try explain it different.

If show "X" gets mostly 2.0 in fall, and mostly 1.6 in spring, and finishes season with 1.7 -> 1.5 -> 1.6 -> 1.3 -> 1.6, and doesn't change timeslot next fall, nor lead-in, it's likely it will return at around 1.6. That 1.3 can be considered just a blip.


So, yes I expect all of those ABC/NBC shows to return in fall close to what they got week or two ago, and not close to this yesterday's depressive numbers. When you are so nitpicky: if renewed at all, if remaining in the same timeslot, and with equally strong lead-in, and competition.

Spot said...

The point I'm trying to make is that it's low-tide, there's nothing to get sad aboot.

The numbers aren't bleak and depressive because they happen predictably every Spring, and the highest-rated (and cost-effective) shows get renewed regardless of the actual numbers.

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