Thursday, May 1, 2014

Spotted Ratings, Wednesday 4/30/14


WHAT MATTERS:
  • It was the first Wednesday in a good while with every network fully in originals, and several networks seemed to suffer. It was worst on ABC, where Suburgatory (1.5), Modern Family (2.8), Mixology (1.3) and Nashville (1.2) all experienced double-digit drops. Modern and Nashville were particularly weak, each down 20% to outright season lows. This puts a screeching halt to Modern's minor momentum of late, and ABC will desperately hope it's just a blip night.
  • After adjustments, American Idol (1.9), Survivor (2.3) and Criminal Minds (2.2) all avoided outright season lows, but all tied for lows. CSI (1.7) adjusted down to dead even in a point bound to be scrutinized because it introduced the potential Patricia Arquette spin-off.
  • NBC emerged largely unscathed. Revolution (1.3) was the only Portland pre-emption casualty, adjusting down to its usual number, and Chicago PD (1.9) seemingly benefited from another Dick Wolf universe cross-over (this time with Chicago Fire). And the CW's The 100 (0.6) held up in the face of all the drama competition returning.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
The Middle 1.8 31% -5%-0.1n/a 18/20 -10% -5% -10% 2.0
Suburgatory 1.5 35% -12%-0.2-0.1 8/11 n/a -12% +0% 1.7
Modern Family 2.8 42% -20%-0.7-0.2 20/20 -22% -20% -22% 3.1
Mixology 1.3 44% -13%-0.2-0.7 7/10 n/a -13% -38% 1.2
Nashville 1.2 33% -20%-0.3-0.3 20/20 -29% +14% -27% 1.5
ABC:-8%-22%
Survivor 2.3 30% +0%+0.0n/a 6/10 -4% +0% -4% 2.6
Criminal Minds 2.2 27% -4%-0.1-0.1 19/22 -8% +91% -8% 2.3
CSI 1.7 22% +0%+0.0-0.1 17/21 -11% +42% -8% 1.9
CBS:+33%-7%
Revolution 1.3 38% +0%+0.0n/a 12/19 -28% +37% -24% 1.5
Law and Order: SVU 1.8 37% -14%-0.3+0.4 7/20 +20% +64% +16% 2.1
Chicago PD 1.9 33% +19%+0.3-0.3 3/12 n/a +111% +15% 2.2
NBC:+69%+2%
American Idol Wed 1.9 27% -10%-0.2n/a 16/17 -34% -11% -34% 2.2
Fox:-11%-34%
Arrow 0.8 44% +14%+0.1n/a 15/21 -11% +14% -16% 0.9
The 100 0.6 41% +0%+0.0+0.1 3/7 n/a +0% -33% 0.6
CW:+8%-24%
Big5:+13%-18%
Baby Daddy 0.44 61% +9%+0.04
10/15 -24%


Melissa and Joey 0.40 56% -7%-0.03
13/15 -37%


The Americans 0.39 38% -19%-0.09
9/10 -32%



KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

5 comments:

Spot said...

I believe that even if MF adjusts to a 3.0 it'll be the 2nd-lowest-rated ep, only above a S1 Thanksgiving ep.

Spot said...

ABC better hope for a HIMYM esque random .5 adjustment. Subugatory gave away its definite renewal last week with 90% retention to high '70s. I'm pretty sure that is the closest The Middle and Modern Family have been. I may be wrong

Spot said...

This massive Halloween repeat in Season 3 saw a 4.5 rating, but that was already higher than an original by the end of the season. Last year a repeat of an older Christmas episode saw a 2.9, which could potentially have it doing worse than two repeats of previous episodes.

Spot said...

Modern Family - Previous week family went for a trip in Australia. I guesss many people didn't like developments down under, so they didn't care to check what happens with the bunch back in the US.

Mixology - Now it gets 1.3 even behind original Modern Family. In fall, Trophy Wife usually did 1.1 or 1.2 with The Goldbergs lead-in. I'm not saying ABC should renew Trophy Wife with its 0.8s, but even that would be less stupid than renewing Mixology.

Nashville - Usually it gets 1.3 or 1.4. Some odd 1.2 won't swing their decision about show's fate, same as some odd 1.5s from previous month won't. Whichever decision that might be.

Spot said...

I've been watching sports for like two weeks. I'll watch some of this crud later.

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