Friday, May 16, 2014

Spotted Ratings, Friday 5/9/14


WHAT MATTERS:
  • A week after its biggest Friday of the season, Shark Tank (1.9) came back to earth with a traditional repeat (1.0) leading in at 8/7c.
  • Finale night on CBS saw Hawaii Five-0 (1.3) inch off of last week's low, but Unforgettable (0.8) and Blue Bloods (1.4) were down.
  • The CW was on the upswing with Whose Line Is It Anyway? (0.5) and recently renewed Hart of Dixie (0.3). This combo beat Fox's badly rejected encore of the two-hour 24: Live Another Day premiere (0.3).

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
Shark Tank (R) 1.0 27% -33% +43% 1.3
Shark Tank 1.9 33% -17%-0.4-0.5 18/28 +6% -16% +3% 2.6
20/20 1.6 32% -6%-0.1-0.4 11/34 -6% -9% -6% 1.9
ABC:-18%+6%
Unforgettable 0.8 14% -20%-0.2n/a 6/6 n/a -24% -48% 1.1
Hawaii Five-0 1.3 18% +8%+0.1-0.2 16/22 -32% +8% +44% 1.9
Blue Bloods 1.4 15% -7%-0.1+0.1 7/22 +27% -3% +17% 1.8
CBS:-5%-4%
Dateline Fri 1.2 27% +9%+0.1n/a 12/25 +9% +14% +140% 1.6
Grimm 1.3 35% +0%+0.0+0.1 13/20 -28% +4% +18% 1.8
Hannibal 0.7 46% -22%-0.2+0.0 10/11 -36% -22% -36% 1.0
NBC:-0%+19%
24: Live Another Day (R) 0.3 28% -66% -65% 0.4
Fox:-66%-65%
Whose Line Is It Anyway? 0.5 44% +25%+0.1n/a 3/9 n/a +25% +150% 0.6
Whose Line Is It Anyway? (R) 0.4 45%
+33% +100% 0.5
Hart of Dixie 0.3 50% +50%+0.1+0.1 13/21 -40% +50% +100% 0.4
CW:+36%+114%
Big5:-17%-3%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

2 comments:

Spot said...

Scratch that. I'm changing my CBS mock schedule, because Deadline now has article about scheduling rumors.

Now they say: Scorpion to Thursday. The Odd Couple to midseason, CSI: Cyber to midseason too.
That all makes sense, Scorpion to Thu 9 PM is consistent with only 3 blocks of comedies, and it's better to put drama there before The Blacklist arrival. Maybe they plan to revert to two Thursday comedy blocks in midseason for total 4. Might be total 3 in midseason, but with only one block on Monday. Or they'll play by the air, and decide later if it's 3 or 4.

I suspect it's the last option. I think in midseason CBS will revert to original Thursday plan: The Big Bang Theory / The Odd Couple / The Millers / Two and a Half Men. While for Monday, they'll decide depending on how's The McCarthys performing. If it flops, they'll have one Monday block in midseason (Mike & Molly or 2 Broke Girls shorter order, or sharing timeslot), and put new drama at 9 PM.
Note that drama launched at midseason Mon 9 PM would have much less competition than it is case in the fall - there's no MNF, The Following is weaker than Sleepy Hollow, and Voice / DWTS are in lower rated of their 2 cycles.
While if comedies are doing fine, then midseason drama would launch elsewhere, and CBS would actually go back to 4 comedy blocks.

CSI: Cyber already was pretty much sure to go midseason Wed 10 PM, replacing CSI, which goes to Sun 10 PM (Mentalist has 13 episodes order).

Madam Secretary - Friday 8 PM, with Undercover Boss airing only in 2nd half of the season? Or simply replacing The Good Wife (that might have shorter order if it is final season) on Sunday?
In my mock schedule I put it on fall Friday 8 PM with Undercover Boss in the midseason. But that isn't an option if CBS plans to have 4 comedy blocks in midseason. Then they would need Friday slot for new drama (or to move PoI there, and launch new drama at Mon 10 PM), and consequently Undercover Boss would have to be in the fall schedule. Still I have Madam Secretary in the fall schedule, as without it my mock schedule would have only 3 fall premieres (and only 2 in September), which doesn't seem right with 8 new shows picked (9 with undead Mentalist).

Stalker - with this news, it's backup for anything that fails. And if nothing fails, pushed to summer. Too bad, it looks like perfect companion for Criminal Minds.

Elementary - this new schedule is more robust with less moves, so I'm reverting to it airing (only first few episodes) on Tuesday, and I'm moving NCIS: NOLA on 9 PM to get the strongest possible lead-in.

Final CBS mock schedule
SEPTEMBER
Mon: The Big Bang Theory / The McCarthys / 2 Broke Girls / Mom / Person of Interest
Tue: NCIS / NCIS: NOLA / Elementary
Wed: Survivor / Criminal Minds / CSI
Thu: Thursday Night Football
Fri: Madam Secretary / Hawaii 5-0 / Blue Bloods
Sun: 60 Minutes / The Amazing Race / The Good Wife / The Mentalist

NOVEMBER
Mon: 2 Broke Girls / The McCarthys / Mike & Molly / Mom / Person of Interest
Tue: NCIS / NCIS: NOLA / NCIS: LA
Thu: The Big Bang Theory / The Millers / Scorpion / Elementary

MIDSEASON
Mon: 2 Broke Girls / Mom / Battle Creek / Person of Interest
Tue: same... unless NCIS: NOLA flops - then put Stalker at 10 PM, and LA back to 9 PM.
Wed: Survivor / Criminal Minds / CSI: Cyber
Thu: The Big Bang Theory / The Odd Couple / The Millers / Two and a Half Men / Elementary
Fri: Undercover Boss / Hawaii 5-0 / Blue Bloods
Sun: 60 Minutes / The Amazing Race / Madam Secretary / CSI

Spot said...

Monday

8: 2 Broke Girls
8:30: The Odd Couple/The McCarthys
9: The Big Bang Theory
9:30: How I Met Your Dad
10: NCIS: LA

Tuesday

8: NCIS
9: NCIS: New Orleans/Scorpion
10: Person of Interest

Wednesday

8: Survivor
9: CSI: Cyber/Stalker
10: Criminal Minds

Thursday

8-11: Thursday Night Football

Late Fall:

8:Two and a Half Men
8:30: The Millers
9: CSI
10: Elementary

Friday

8: Undercover Boss
9: Hawaii Five-O
10: Blue Bloods

Saturday

8: Comedy Reruns
9: Drama Reruns
10: 48 Hours

Sunday

8: The Amazing Race
9: Madam Secretary
10: The Good Wife/The Mentalist (13 each)

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