Wednesday, March 20, 2013

Spotted Ratings, Tuesday 3/19/13


WHAT MATTERS:
  • ABC Tuesday brought us yet another premiere night surprise with Splash, and this one actually went above all their other premieres on the night this season. Now we'll see if it can hold up better than the others as The Voice enters the slot next week. The good mojo from Splash continued into the rest of the ABC evening with a nice showing from a Dancing with the Stars special and a season high for Body of Proof, which is already benefiting from the always ultra-compatible DWTS pairing.
  • Hell's Kitchen dropped just a bit post-premiere, but it didn't really help out New Girl or The Mindy Project in the first running of the reality/comedy lineup.
  • With CBS original again in the first two hours, Golden Boy bounced back to near the premiere number. It seems this show has found a stronger level than Vegas, but (at least for now) it doesn't quite seem stronger enough. Still, I'm not inclined to totally dismiss it just yet.
  • As for something that is worth totally dismissing: the last pre-Voice NBC Tuesday, where Go On, The New Normal and Smash somehow again found new lows! Next week, these shows go after The Voice, which should be interesting.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue2
Viewers A18-49 Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
Splash 9.02 2.6 n/an/a 1/1 n/a +63% +49% 2.82
Dancing with the Stars Tue Spring (R) 9.76 2.1 +83% +50% 1.98
Body of Proof 8.42 1.5 +25%+75% 1/5 n/a +25% +58% 1.52
NCIS 19.79 3.2 -6%n/a 14/18 -6% +68% -4% 3.42
NCIS: Los Angeles 16.84 2.9 +4%-6% 8/18 +4% +57% +4% 2.61
Golden Boy 9.26 1.7 +13%+53% 2/5 n/a +10% -19% 1.58
Off Their Rockers (R) 3.66 1.0 +25% -52% 1.08
Off Their Rockers 3.70 1.1 +22%+25% 13/15 n/a +22% -50% 1.45
Go On 2.87 1.0 -9%+0% 18/18 n/a +43% -58% 1.21
The New Normal 2.11 0.7 -22%-9% 19/19 n/a +0% -72% 0.92
Smash 2.66 0.7 -22%+0% 6/6 -68% -18% -61% 0.95
Hell's Kitchen Mon 4.59 2.0 -13%n/a 3/3 n/a -5% +43% 2.20
New Girl 4.26 2.3 +0%+43% 8/19 -15% +0% -15% 2.28
The Mindy Project 3.07 1.7 +0%+0% 5/17 n/a -29% +31% 1.64
iHeartRadio Album Release 1.01 0.4 n/a +100% -38% 0.47
Beauty and the Beast (R) 0.52 0.2 +0% -60% 0.23

KEY (click to expand)
Viewers - The total number of viewers (age 2+, in millions) that watched the program.
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Last - A18-49 percent difference from previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 percent difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes that have aired so far this season.
y2y - The show's A18-49 rating compared to its rating a year ago.
TLa - The show's A18-49 rating compared to the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - The show's A18-49 rating compared to the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True2 - The second edition of True Strength, a metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

10 comments:

Spot said...

Let's just say I had some very...uh...ugly...language...for those NBC numbers. I say feed 'em both to the bear.


Also, I think I was the one tempting fate on The Question yesterday. Let's just say that's joining "but I think it will be close" in terms of stuff I'm never putting in one of my Question guesses again. I guess whatever "affront to humanity" quotient Splash has actually worked its magic...or else [shudder], people are actually watching unironically.

Spot said...

Only one to go over? Woo at my risk paying off.

Spot said...

I think that BoP is an excellent example that it is not all about the lead-ins, it is about compatibility of lead-ins. It had a worst result with the far higher bachelor lead-in when it premiered and now it jumped when dwts came back. it is the same thing i have been arguing about the 10pm shows of CBS: Elementary has better raw numbers than H50, yes, but I believe POI is a far more compatible lead-in for it than Mike and Molly. I realize this is almost impossible to turn into something objective that you could incorporate into your true scores, but that is probably the only thing I feel they are missing at this point. please don't take this the wrong way, it is not a criticism, just a comment!

Spot said...

Also, if the results show shoots up to 2.5 which i think it is possible given the fact that it will be away from the voice, then i think bop has a chance of shooting up to 1.7 or something. That would renew it imo

Spot said...

Dancing With the Stars was a repeat last night?

Spot said...

I have thought about this a lot myself. My best idea is to do something "skew"-related... in other words, a show gets a bump if its lead-in has a vastly different demo/viewer ratio. Not exactly sure how it would work yet, but I could see it helping in both the BoP case and in the Elementary/H50 case.

This might apply not just to lead-in but to competition... for example, in that comedy logjam on Tuesdays in the fall, the shows would get more credit for facing a bunch of other young-skewing shows.

Spot said...

It was technically "new," but consisted largely of highlights of the previous night, and not an official performance or results show. I just denote recap/retrospective specials as "repeats" to keep them separate from the main season.

Spot said...

That sounds like a great idea, had never thought of that. I wouldn't say it solves the whole thing, but it would for sure help a lot. And applying it to competition sounds even better and makes total sense. BTW, do you have access to any other demo breakdown with regularity? Particularly the 18-34. I know some people have access to it, but I never understood where to find it in a systematic manner.

Spot said...

There are some 18-34s posted on the TVMediaInsights forum threads: http://www.tvmediainsights.com/forum/?mingleforumaction=viewforum&f=1.0 but they're not there every day. (Though I think he has 25-54 every day)

Spot said...

I just found from a week ago that says Smash has been shipped to Saturdays! I did not know this. Does this pretty much guarantee a cancellation? Not surprising.

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