Wednesday, March 19, 2014

The Question, Wednesday 3/19/14: Will The 100 Help Repopulate the CW?


The CW premieres its last new drama of the season tonight, the sci-fi drama The 100. While I think it looks more intriguing than previous occupant The Tomorrow People, I see the initial interest being about the same: roughly a tenth below whatever its Arrow lead-in does. TTP was very compatible with Arrow, after all, and it opened with a 0.85 out of a 0.93 lead-in from Arrow. So the real issue here is what Arrow will do. This causes more anxiety than one might expect since Arrow hit a series low 0.7 two weeks ago. But I can't help but think this night was an anomaly. (Tomorrow fully holding its own low from that night in a move to Monday further supports this.) Even with DST, I expect an Arrow bounce-back to 0.8 or 0.9. And The 100 goes a tenth below.

The 100 Over/Under: 0.75.

15 comments:

Spot said...

I flipped a coin...OVER.

Spot said...

I'll go with a very uncertain over. The Arrow not have the Middle or Subugatory to compete against, so I doubt it goes any lower. The 100 will have no Modern Family, which should help it hit a .8

Spot said...

I've had enough of calling Under and having it go over by 0.1.

So I'm going to call Over. Enjoy your 0.7 tonight, The 100!

Spot said...

Under.

Uncle Nielsen will "troll" everyone with a 0.8 at first, only to be adjusted down to 0.7 later. >:)

Spot said...

Under

Spot said...

Under

Spot said...

At Tuesday there was 100th episode of Glee (some 20% up w2w), and season finale of Pretty Little Liars (some 40% up w2w). That certainly weakened Originals a bit, and maybe its lead-out too.

At Monday, opposite. Older skewing DWTS replacing Bachelor probably helped CW. Last week Bachelor season finale (8-10:03 PM) was 3.0 in A18-34 with monster 4.4 in W18-34. Not related to CW, but After the Final Rose: 5.0 W18-34 and 3.6 A18-34.

Spot said...

"I expect an Arrow bounce-back to 0.8 or 0.9. And The 100 goes a tenth below."


Similar opinion, but since spring is knocking our door, I expect it rising to 0.8


0.6-0.7 for The 100, so, under.

Spot said...

Under at .6.

Spot said...

I'm at a little disadvantage here since I don't watch a single program on The CW and haven't in 3 years when I bailed on Supernatural. That, and CW fractions are harder to wrap my brain around but I'll go with the insanely optimistic 1.1. So "Over" because it has received good reviews from television critics and CW fans love great fantasy where no one is less than smoking hot looking.

Spot said...

I dunno. I'm predicting around a 0.7, and that's barely under, so under.

Spot said...

I'm inclined to go under on this one.

Spot said...

Over. 0.8 and tying Arrow.

Spot said...

Yeah, but why?

Spot said...

Because Paul Lee is a ***REDACTED*** moron. Obviously.


Also, y'know, I think they feel 8pm is more important than 9pm, so they're gonna keep the ratings winner there.

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