Tuesday, December 17, 2013

Schedules Plus, CBS Tuesday

Schedules Plus is another innovative application of the historical ratings statistic A18-49+. I hope this will be the ultimate resource for comparing the evolution of shows, networks and timeslots over time, complete with ratings numbers that make a fair adjustment for the collective decline. Right now this only includes programs aired in the fall. Much more about the process that went into this at the bottom.

CBS Tuesday takes a long journey from being one of its network's very weakest nights to one of its very strongest, for all eleven years starting with one single four-letter show. NCIS has found a very stable lead-out in its spin-off series, but the 10/9c hour remains one of CBS' most perplexing hours on the sked historically; no series has hit the league average... until this season.

CBS Tuesday

8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30 Avg
2001-02 JAG The GuardianJudging Amy 90
91 78 100
2002-03 JAG The GuardianJudging Amy 75
70 66 89
2003-04 NCIS The GuardianJudging Amy 67
67 62 72
2004-05 NCIS The Amazing Race FallJudging Amy 88
80 112 73
2005-06 NCIS The Amazing Race FallClose to Home 93
96 106 78
2006-07 NCIS The UnitSmith 91
97 89 86
2007-08 NCIS The UnitCane 85
102 90 63
2008-09 NCIS The MentalistWithout a Trace 112
121 123 91
2009-10 NCIS NCIS: Los AngelesThe Good Wife 121
144 125 95
2010-11 NCIS NCIS: Los AngelesThe Good Wife 126
157 133 87
2011-12 NCIS NCIS: Los AngelesUnforgettable 130
159 135 95
2012-13 NCIS NCIS: Los AngelesVegas 125
159 134 82
2013-14 NCIS NCIS: Los AngelesPerson of Interest 128
149 129 105
2014-15 NCIS NCIS: New OrleansPerson of Interest 120
144 124 91

Avg 117 108 86 104

2014-15 Update: CBS traded out longtime NCIS lead-out NCIS: Los Angeles for the franchise's third entry NCIS: New Orleans, and New Orleans did almost exactly what LA probably would have in the hour. Both of the NCIS hours continued their gradual descent in Plus, but the drops were noticeably steeper at 10/9c with Person of Interest. That got Person bumped to midseason, while newbie Limitless takes over at 10/9c.

Notable midseason replacements:
  • The Unit began as a midseason replacement in 2005-06 (104).
  • CBS had a rather unique situation in the 2006-07 season, pulling newbie Smith after just three episodes. They immediately scheduled another new drama 3 Lbs. in the slot for November sweeps, then pulled that one after three episodes at a 71 average in favor of repeats. I went with Smith for the table.
CBS began the 2004-05 season with drama Clubhouse (56) at 9/8c. Its pilot previewed on Sunday, then it aired three Tuesday eps before getting pulled.

See here for more explanations/disclaimers about Schedules Plus.

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