Tuesday, December 31, 2013

Schedules Plus, Fox Tuesday


Schedules Plus is another innovative application of the historical ratings statistic A18-49+. I hope this will be the ultimate resource for comparing the evolution of shows, networks and timeslots over time, complete with ratings numbers that make a fair adjustment for the collective decline. Right now this only includes programs aired in the fall. Much more about the process that went into this at the bottom.

During the mid-to-late aughts, the definitive primetime lineup took up shop on Fox Tuesdays in the winter and spring: megahit House leading out of giga-hit American Idol. But by fall 2010, both shows were off the night completely, as House shored up Monday during the tail end of its run and Idol moved to Wednesday/Thursday. Fox initially had a stout replacement in Glee, but as that show burned out and moved to Thursday, the network has struggled in its attempts to establish a Tuesday comedy night.

Fox Tuesday Fall


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2001-02 That '70s Show Undeclared 24 102
117 9398
105
2002-03 That '70s Show (repeats) 24 109
111 95115
103
2003-04 (repeats) 24 85
69 100
2004-05 The Rebel Billionaire House 55
45 65
2005-06 Bones House 103
76 130
2006-07 Standoff House 121
70 171
2007-08 Bones House 159
99 220
2008-09 House Fringe 155
179 130
2009-10 So You Think You Can Dance Tue Fall 82
82 82
2010-11 Glee Raising Hope Running Wilde 127
173 97 63
80
2011-12 Glee New Girl Raising Hope 121
128 137 92
114
2012-13 Raising Hope Ben and Kate New Girl The Mindy Project 81
77 64 110 75
70 92
2013-14 Dads Brooklyn Nine-Nine New Girl The Mindy Project 78
74 80 89 68
77 78
2014-15 MasterChef Junior New Girl The Mindy Project 85
99 78 63
71

Avg 98 111 104





Fox Tuesday Winter


8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 Avg
2001-02 That '70s Show Undeclared 24 102
117 9398
105
2002-03 American Idol 24 183
228 138
2003-04 American Idol 24 196
271 120
2004-05 American Idol House 219
279 159
2005-06 American Idol House 265
316 214
2006-07 American Idol House 278
311 244
2007-08 American Idol House 295
322 268
2008-09 American Idol Fringe 221
303 140
2009-10 American Idol Glee 235
296 174
2010-11 Glee Raising Hope Traffic Light 124
173 97 50
74
2011-12 Glee New Girl Raising Hope 121
128 137 92
114
2012-13 Hell's Kitchen New Girl The Mindy Project 94
96 110 75
92
2013-14 Glee New Girl Brooklyn Nine-Nine 67
50 89 80
84
2014-15 MasterChef Junior Spring New Girl The Mindy Project 85
100 78 63
71

Avg 213 142 177





2014-15 Update: Reality bomb Utopia is not included above since it lasted for just two regular season Tuesdays. It gave way to two short cycles of MasterChef Junior, which surged to league average-ish ratings in its move to a weeknight. Hell's Kitchen filled in with a very mediocre 73 Plus from March through early June. After another year of Plus declines, Mindy was cancelled and New Girl bumped to midseason, and Fox will start totally from scratch this fall.

Notable midseason replacements:

For the four seasons that House aired partly alongside Idol and partly without, I split up the ratings for the fall/winter based on those airings. (I also did this with 24 in 2003-04, Fringe in 2008-09 and Glee in 2009-10.)

Standoff initially aired at 9/8c after House, but the shows were flipped when they returned after the baseball hiatus.

See here for more explanations/disclaimers about Schedules Plus.

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