Thursday, February 19, 2015

Spotted Ratings, Sunday 2/15/15


WHAT MATTERS:
  • FINALS UPDATE: SNL (7.8) did not adjust in finals, and it handily defeated week two of The Walking Dead (6.2). This TWD ep marked a second straight year-to-year decline for the series, down 9% vs. week two of last spring. (That episode faced the Olympics, but that was actually significantly weaker than SNL.)
  • On what's usually one of the less eventful weeks of Sunday event season, this time NBC made its own enormous event. The 40th anniversary celebration of Saturday Night Live averaged an absurd 23.14 million viewers and 7.8 demo rating, which could very well make it the top 18-49 program of the night on an evening when The Walking Dead was airing. We're talking average Sunday Night Football levels here, and it was within 10% of this year's Grammy ratings! (Worth noting it'll probably adjust down a touch since the 11:00 half-hour isn't included; the show was already dropping in the 10:00 hour.)
  • The other three networks were all original and didn't have much luck.
    • Three hours of The Bachelor on ABC averaged a 1.5 at 8:00, a 1.6 at 9:00 and a 1.5 at 10:00; on this night, those look like good numbers, but only a little over half what the show has been getting on its main night.
    • CBS and Fox were even worse, only around a 1.0 average starting at 8/7c. CBS had Undercover Boss (0.9) and what could be a pretty sad final two hours ratings-wise for CSI (1.1).
    • And Fox's comedies The Simpsons (1.1), Brooklyn Nine-Nine (0.9), Family Guy (1.2) and Bob's Burgers (0.9) were all down from the already absolutely anemic numbers last week.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
America's Funniest Home Videos 1.4 27% +0%+0.0n/a 4/14 n/a +0% +22% 1.7
The Bachelor Special 1.5 34% n/an/an/a 1/1 -17% +58% +58% 1.8
The Bachelor 1.5 31% -44%-1.2n/a 7/7 n/a +33% +94% 1.7
ABC:+28%+62%
60 Minutes 1.2 15% -20%-0.3n/a 16/20 n/a -17% +26% 1.6
Undercover Boss 0.9 18% -25%-0.3n/a 12/12 n/a -90% +80% 1.2
CSI 1.1 20% -31%-0.5-0.7 17/17 n/a -88% +175% 1.4
CSI 1.1 20% +0%+0.0+0.2 17/18 n/a -87% +175% 1.5
CBS:-84%+91%
SNL 40th Red Carpet 3.0 34% n/a +216% -21% 3.2
SNL 40th Anniversary 7.8 43% n/a +1132% +50% 6.3
NBC:+826%+19%
Mulaney 0.4 45% -20%-0.1n/a 11/13 n/a -20% -33% 0.9
The Simpsons (R) 0.6 52% -14% -25% 1.0
The Simpsons 1.1 52% -8%-0.1-0.1 14/14 n/a -8% +0% 1.5
Brooklyn Nine-Nine 0.9 55% -25%-0.3-0.1 16/16 -25% -25% -18% 1.3
Family Guy 1.2 61% -14%-0.2-0.3 11/11 n/a -14% +0% 1.6
Bob's Burgers 0.9 57% -10%-0.1-0.2 11/12 n/a -10% -10% 1.2
Fox:-15%-12%
Big4:+6%+25%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

50 comments:

Spot said...

Well, SNL 40 was a death star, it scored a SNF-esque rating and 2.5x bigger I thoguht it would score.

Spot said...

I expected a 3.6 or so for SNL. Oh how wrong I was. And cancel (confident) for Last Man on Earth. B99 and Bob's Burgers is behind Mindy Project from last Tuesday, and Simpsons and Family Guy are pretty close.

Spot said...

Networks should pay a fine or something when they have absolutely atrocious pieces of scheduling as is the case of FOX scheduling of Sundays this year. I have no words for what they are doing.

I think you are too harsh on The Bachelor. I think it did pretty phenomenally. I understand this was a special and not part of the regular competition or am I wrong? I have no idea since I don't watch it but that was my impression. In any case, a special on a different night and against such competition pulling almost league average numbers is pretty good and it was certainly very cheap too. At least ABC has stopped programming Sundays on February with scripted shows. January is the next step, Paul Lee!

As for NBC, very well done! This is a legitimate result and they deserve all the credit for it, they won it fair and square. Amazing results.

Spot said...

Yes, Last Man on Earth died, good point.

Spot said...

Is NBC really going to win a week where their highest rated regular scheduled show scored a 1.7?

Spot said...

It is like NBC is trying to provoke us all, rating geeks. Even when they are extremely incompetent and should be punished for that they pull some trick and get out of it ahead ahah. It's so frustrating.

Spot said...

Evey single CSI will now have ended with a series low after having its order cut. Both CSI and Miami will have ended early for a show with no chance due a Good Wife lead in into a show with a big producer name (Gillian and De Niro). It was a great wrap up and I am happy as a fan.
Goodbye CSI, you will be missed!

Spot said...

Family Guy is already down y2y, after that 1.1, is Simpsons too?


That's ridiculous considering those shows premieres.

Spot said...

That's possible, they already stopped doing that for OuaT since last year. Jan was more of their burn off month.

Spot said...

Sadly yes.

Spot said...

That's really sad for FOX, Empire really was a Hail Mary for them with Gotham becoming Shield 2.0 and the rest of their scripted shows getting mid to low 1s.

Spot said...

Sad about that, they really should've kept it as a series finale.

Spot said...

Not really, it's their scripted programming that's the problem, no matter how many events/sports benefits them.

Spot said...

Yeah, but to be fair, there was the hyped up death episode for Simpson and the hyped up crossover with Family Guy.

Spot said...

Between #SNL40, the NBA All-Star Game and The Walking Dead at 9, the competition was particularly brutal for Fox's comedies.

At least they have the 20th anniversary of Mad TV to celebrate.

Spot said...

Even then, Mad TV always felt like a poor man's SNL and strong nostalgia is what I suspect is what gave this special it's huge success. At least FOX got very lucky with Empire though.

Spot said...

They can rename it Last Viewer on Earth if it bombs that badly too.

Spot said...

They especially needed this with the way their scripted programming ended up.

Spot said...

Nah, LMOE will still get a better lead-in. Sunday Funday was hit this winter by airing originals against major competition. First Golden Globes, then the Grammys and Walking Dead premiere, and now SNL40, NBA All Star, and Walking Dead. After that, the competition will look like a wimp in comparison. CBS has no football overrun so Madam Secretary and Good Wife will have pretty messy ratings, Once won't have Frozen anymore, though Secrets and Lies will likely do better than Resurrection S2, and NBC's lights out until April, and while AD will do good, I doubt it'll be as strong as the Bible, and it will only be facing the comedies for a month. So no major male-skewing or comedy competition minus some popular cable shows.

Meanwhile, New Girl's getting 1.5s and 1.4s isn't that good, and since Weird Loners will premiere when DST hits, New Girl will get weaker.

So both shows will have bad lead-ins, but LMOE has a slight, slight chance.

Spot said...

It really depends on how it actually performs whether it does well or it flops a la Mulaney.

Spot said...

That's awful for FOX animation. No words. Repeats would have done probably about the same!! Shows sweeps still matter. Otherwise they wouldn't be throwing them under the bus

Spot said...

SNL 40th had awesome ratings. Too bad they can't do one every year.
Oh wait! We did a decently rated Betty White 90th Birthday Special... That that had a sequel the very next year.
Which every knows launched the highly successful season 2 of Smash...
Kidding aside, I would not be surprised if NBC had a "2nd Annual 40th Anniversary of SNL Special"

Spot said...

Brooklyn Oh-Nine.

It's almost unbelievable to think that ABC has been easily the best-scheduled network this season. The way FOX has treated Sundays beggars belief. Reruns with an NFL lead-in, originals against massive events? I can only presume they're trying to get out of the animated business by killing the cartoons in the ratings. Shrug.

Spot said...

Since it's NBC, probably they'll make musical out of SNL41.
Saturday Night Fever Live! Or whatever.

Spot said...

No. Simpsons if preliminaries hold is still up, but only by 1%.

Spot said...

Brooklyn 0.9.

As for scheduling, it's more that FOX and NBC had even worse scheduling recently. I remember people complaining about ABC's January scheduling.

FOX is just plain dumb.

Spot said...

They shouldn't be thrown under the bus though, networks need to learn how to schedule shows and when to take appropriate breaks away from major competition/events.

Spot said...

Animation Domination is a mess. My count has episodes aired as follows: Brooklyn Nine-Nine: 16, The Simpsons: 14, Bob's Burgers: 12, and Family Guy: 11 (12 if you double count the hourlong premiere).

Spot said...

They can still keep doing it especially if it does this well.

Spot said...

That can be their next one.

Spot said...

I know, like I said before, they need to learn to schedule properly.

Spot said...

That's still sad, especially since they squandered it.

Spot said...

If The Walking Dead scored 6.5 or better last night, then it's really unkillable.

SNL40 has preliminary 8.3 in 9 PM hour, and skewed around 50% male.
NBA All-Star Game should be in mid 3s, because it's up y2y 12% in HH overnights.
Under that circumstances even 6.0 I'd consider as OK result for TWD.

Spot said...

We'll have to see if The Bachelor holds up tonight. I believe it was a one hour special followed by a regular two hour episode. This might have killed its momentum. The special was enormous, so NBC should do it every year. Congratulations to them.

Spot said...

I didn't mind that ABC scheduling that much. Throwing away Galavant, sure, but it gave Once a break whilst burning straight through the orders of dead shows walking.

CBS have also done a shocking job of scheduling this year, although in fairness that short TNF run didn't exactly provide grounds for stabiliity. Still, the number of in-season moves after that was nothing short of astonishing for that network.

Spot said...

True, I just remember a month ago other people were whining about it when FOX and NBC has done much worse.

Once was a no brainer, that and it'll most likely be their top Sunday show so of course they'd want to protect it unlike the other shows on that night.

Spot said...

To be honest, ABC's has only really scheduled in a bad way during January (and on Sundays).


The fact that they've stopped airing originals on February altogether (When they happened to do so a few years ago) is a massive improvement.

Spot said...

Well they stopped OuaT since last year. January was pretty much their burn off month.

Spot said...

OUAT is far more valuable to them than Revenge or Resurrection.

Spot said...

Just say that this Sunday didn't count to this week, but the week afterwards.

Spot said...

Exactly, well Resurrection was just burning off its episodes anyway.

Spot said...

NBC probably wishes the whole week didn't count.

Spot said...

Whether you like it or not even with low ratings Revenge is still a big deal for Abc

Spot said...

It's not a question of whether I like it or not.


OUAT is far, far more valuable to ABC than Revenge is. Please, don't let the PR talk get into your head.

Spot said...

I'm not letting it get to my head, but Revenge has been on ABC for 4 seasons. I know that OUAT is more valuable then Revenge, but what I'm saying that Revenge is still somewhat valuable to ABC.

Spot said...

Unless Revenge gets a off-the charts syndication ideal or ABC's development slate for fall is bad, Revenge is no longer valuable for ABC.

Spot said...

or if it goes up in ratings, but i know that at this point thats unlikely

Spot said...

6.2!

Spot said...

That's solid.
I actually think SNL40 + NBA All-Star (combined around 11.0) is stronger competition than The Oscars will be. Given male skew and the fact Academy Awards could be a bit lower this year.

Spot said...

This is the only time that NBC will register y2y growth compared to the Olympics boost it got last year during this 17 day stretch. That really illustrates how much of a beast this SNL 40th Anniversary special was.

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