Tuesday, February 24, 2015

First Two Weeks, Fresh Off the Boat


WEEK ZERO (Wednesday previews)
Rating: 2.5 (8:30) / 2.3 (9:30)
Lead-in: The Middle (2.2) / Modern Family (3.4)
Competition: The Mentalist (1.2 at 8:30) / Criminal Minds (2.0 at 9:30), The Mysteries of Laura (1.0 at 8:30) / Law and Order: SVU (1.3 at 9:30), American Idol (3.2 at 8:30) / Empire (4.7 at 9:30), Arrow (1.2 at 8:30) / The 100 (0.5 at 9:30)



WEEK ONE (Tuesday 8:00/8:30)
Rating: 1.7/1.8
Lead-in: local programming
Competition: NCIS (2.9), Parks and Recreation (1.1/1.0), MasterChef Junior (1.4), The Flash (1.5)

WEEK TWO (Tuesday 8:00)
Rating: 1.9 (+9% vs. full hour, +12% vs. 8:00 half-hour)
Lead-in: local programming
Competition: NCIS (2.6), Parks and Recreation (1.2/1.1), MasterChef Junior (1.8), The Flash (1.5)

Will this show get a second season? You make the call!

To play the game, here are your submission choices:
1) "Renew (Not Confident)" or "Cancel (Not Confident)": +1 point for a win, 0 points for a loss.
2) "Renew (Confident)" or "Cancel (Confident)": +2 points for a win, -2 points for a loss.

These choices must be locked by Wednesday, February 25 at 6:00 am ET.

3) You may also guess "Renew" or "Cancel" after the deadline, up to exactly one week later. ALL guesses in this period will be worth +1 point for a win and -1 point for a loss. You can NOT change a guess after the deadline if you submitted before the deadline.

29 comments:

Spot said...

Renew (not confident)

Spot said...

Renew (not confident). It really hasn't done anything yet to suggest a cancel, so I cannot go there even though I think it will be kind of awkward for ABC to have 5 returning weekday comedies next fall.

Spot said...

Renew (confident)

Spot said...

Renew (Confident)

Spot said...

Renew (Confident)

Spot said...

Renew (Not Confident)

Spot said...

Renew (Not Confident)

What omabin said.

Spot said...

Renew ,

Spot said...

Ick. I kind of want to defer since it'll face The Voice tonight. But given that "2 weeks" have given us 4 data points, the spirit of the game to me says I should already have enough information.

Fresh off the Boat is a pleasant surprise for ABC, given the strong sampling on Wednesday and the high 1's it's pulled on Tuesday. It's definitely a plus for the network as it could help make a more competent Tuesday comedy block and free up a slot on Wednesday for something new in 2015-2016. But, again, FOTB needs to survive against The Voice this week and DST starting next week.

Renew (Not Confident)

Spot said...

I don't think there's a vendetta. But Paul Lee is clearly willing to play hardball with outside studios. Last Man Standing was helped in that ABC really wanted Cristela, after its testing results exceeded expectations, and Fresh off the Boat. It's similar to how Sony leveraged The Blacklist into pickups for Community and Welcome to the Family in 2013-2014 on NBC.

Spot said...

Renew (not confident)

Spot said...

I should probably do like Chris L and wait to see how FOTB does against the Voice tonight but... I'm going with Renew (not confident)

Spot said...

If The Voice and/or DST would affect Fresh Off the Boat ratings a lot, is there are possibility ABC would renew it as a 13 episodes spackle? It wouldn't be unprecedented, Bitch from Apt 23 got short Season 2.
After not having no backup for Selfie or Manhattan Love Story failures this season, maybe ABC would like to have some returning comedy as a backup. They had it in Suburgatory two seasons ago (it was 13 episodes order, though it was 3rd season).

Just a thought.

Spot said...

I think it would be unprecedented to have such a young show as backup though. I don't recall that ever happening before (Someone can correct me if I am wrong though). Those backups like Suburgatory, Community, Mike and Molly, etc all had at least two full season in the can when placed in filler duty I believe. I think it would be too much to expect a show with 13 episodes to have developed enough of a loyal following to stick with it in spackle duty whenever it gets back to the schedule after a presumably long hiatus.

But I do agree that giving it only a 13 initial order for Season 2 would be a nice idea.

Spot said...

Renew (Confident). FOTB will probably fall against The Voice, but I think it will have enough ratings to be renewal material. Perhaps ABC will move it to Cristela slot or have a short Suburgatory-esque season to fill up any slot if a rookie comedy fails.

Spot said...

Renew (Not Confident)

Spot said...

Renew (Not Confident).

Spot said...

Not entirely confident but I want to take a bit of a risk and it could be something to pair with Black-ish next season?

Renew (confident)

Spot said...

Time to be bold.

Renew (confident)

Spot said...

This feels like a 70-30 proposition, which translates to a reluctant Renew (Confident).

Spot said...

Renew (confident)

Have to take the risk!

Spot said...

Renew (Confident)

Spot said...

Renew (not confident)

Spot said...

Don't Trust the B got the 13 episode order because it came on so late in its first season that ABC didn't want to commit to a full season knowing that they were going to move it from the post-ModFam slot.


My preference is to put it on the Fall schedule if it's renewed. But I understand the spackle argument; a Fresh off the Boat | Suburgatory pairing wouldn't have been a bad one tonally. It comes down to whatever ABC decides to do with its Wednesday sitcoms. If none of them move, FOTB needs to be on the schedule to give a sitcom the best launchpad on Tuesday. If black-ish moves to Tuesday, it's a coin flip: minimize risk and introduce only one new show later in the night or test black-ish's power as a lead-in. If The Middle or The Goldbergs move to Tuesday, keep FOTB as a midseason show to fill-in whichever :30 patch needs it.

Spot said...

Yeah, it would be unorthodox to order 13 episodes.
But I thought maybe as a combination of multiple factors:
1. ABC might feel regret for not having enough backups this season.
2. None of current Wednesday comedies are suitable for backup role, they need 22+ episode because are/will be syndicated.
3. It allows them to try two rookies in fall (Tue 8:30 and Wed 9:30) with risk minimized knowing on they have on the bench FOTB capable to score solid ratings.e

Normally no, but in this special circumstances maybe.

Spot said...

Renew Confident

Spot said...

renew (not confident)

It has the numbers, just not the place on the schedule.

Spot said...

Renew (Not Confident)

Spot said...

Your logic makes sense. My gut just says that ABC shouldn't launch anything new opposite The Voice, NCIS, The Flash, and probably Scream Queens. That's why I really like the idea of a diversity comedy block.

The only way Fresh off the Boat definitely makes it on the Fall schedule is if they go aggressive and do a 2 hour diversity comedy block (black-ish | Fresh off the Boat | Dr. Ken | ??? | SHIELD). But that feels very unlikely unless their comedy pilots really test through the roof.

Post a Comment

Newer Post Older Post Home
© SpottedRatings.com 2009-2016. All Rights Reserved.