Thursday, December 4, 2014

Spotted Ratings, Wednesday 11/26/14


WHAT MATTERS:
  • Always an interesting lesson in how different shows react to viewing depressions, this Thanksgiving Eve saw CBS' Survivor (2.1) take a three tenth week-to-week drop, while Criminal Minds (2.2) and Stalker (1.6) were very close to even. As usual, younger-skewing Fox was hit much harder; Hell's Kitchen (1.1) and Red Band Society (0.7) each lost over 20% week-to-week.
  • Usually a Thanksgiving Day tradition, ABC's A Charlie Brown Thanksgiving (2.1) was much improved year-to-year on the higher-viewed Thanksgiving Eve, and it helped boost repeats of Modern Family (1.5) and Black-ish (1.2) to well above last year's repeats. The CW's movie Planes, Trains and Automobiles (0.6) also grew a tenth year-to-year, but NBC's preview special for Peter Pan Live! (0.6) went well behind a similar special for The Sound of Music Live! last year (1.0).

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
A Charlie Brown Thanksgiving 2.2 34% +38% -4% +120% 2.3
Modern Family (R) 1.5 36% -59% +15% 1.4
Black-ish (R) 1.2 35% -54% +71% 1.3
Nashville (R) 0.6 29% -60% +20% 0.9
ABC:-40%+66%
Survivor 2.1 30% -13%-0.3n/a 10/10 -5% -13% -5% 2.2
Criminal Minds 2.2 25% -4%-0.1-0.3 8/9 -8% -4% -8% 2.1
Stalker 1.6 25% +0%+0.0-0.1 5/9 n/a -3% -22% 1.6
CBS:-7%-11%
The Making of Peter Pan Live! 0.6 25% n/a -57% -40% 0.8
Saturday Night Live Thanksgiving 1.1 34% n/a -36% -32% 1.4
NBC:-42%-34%
Hell's Kitchen 1.1 40% -27%-0.4n/a 11/11 n/a -24% -8% 1.3
Red Band Society 0.7 36% -22%-0.2-0.4 9/9 n/a -22% -44% 1.0
Fox:-23%-27%
Movie: Planes, Trains and Automobiles 0.6 37% +20% -20% +20% 0.7
CW:-20%+20%
Big5:-27%-7%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

22 comments:

Spot said...

I am really curious how CBS will do tonight. I think its inevitable that Elementary will go sub 1. Stalker stayed steady by having lessed competition to cancel out viewing depressed. Elementary will lose HTGAWM, but Parenthood will become a highly rated football game. The thing is that I have seen CBS promote Elementary on Thanksgiving like crazy on CSI and Criminal Minds this week. Funny thing is that Elementary got a 1.0 for a REPEAT last Thanksgiving

Spot said...

Elementary also got a lot of promo spots in the Bears-Lions game...

Spot said...

If they had the late afternoon game, I would say there is a chance, but I could see it hitting a .7

Spot said...

This is the thing (he says as he sees a promo for a post-game Nine-Nine on FOX). If CBS had the Cowboys game, I could understand them having originals tonight. But with the Lions game instead? Inexcusable.

ABC are the only network in rerun mode tonight. What is going on when Paul Lee's network is the best at scheduling?!?

Spot said...

Yeah, since when do Brits have any good ideas :)
I think FOX should have unloaded the last 2 episodes of Gracepoint. With NFL lead in it probably could have rated better than usual!

Spot said...

@Spot,

The following shows will be premiering during the next two weeks. Will we get a best case/ worst case post?
- Mike and Molly
- The Mentalist
- Undercover Boss
- The Taste
- Hart of Dixie
- The Sing-Off (though this one it's just one night this year, so not sure it qualifies)

Spot said...

Awesome, thanks a lot!

Spot said...

I cannot believe such line would exist or else CBS wouldn't be airing the show on Thanksgiving IMO.

Spot said...

FOX never has as many specials as the other networks to air during Christmas Holidays (remember last year when they were resourcing to do Raising Hope marathons on weekdays?), so they will have time to burn off those episodes at a later date, it's probably the same anyway.

Spot said...

Yeah I agree. For all I've hated Paul Lee in the past two years for all the horrific, unspeakable things he did, he sure turned it around this year. Now if only he could do right by Tuesdays at midseason!

Spot said...

Last season Fox aired The X-Factor and Glee on Thanksgiving. With predicable awful ratings, but they designated those episodes as specials, so ratings wouldn't be included in show's average ratings.
CBS can just add (S) to this Elementary (and other Thursday's originals), if they're concerned about what you're saying, or about something else.

Spot said...

They have the Ice Age and How To Train Your Dragon Christmas specials. And they're airing the Ice Age one on Sunday at 7, which I'm not sure is the best way to captialize on its ratings potential, but oh well

Spot said...

Yeah I also think it's weird that a network so little depth in specials is wasting one on Sundays at 7pm. But I have a lot of trouble understanding most of the specials/ repeats related decisions from networks in general, so maybe it's my problem.

Spot said...

ABC continues to stall with the announcement of what will air Tuesdays at 8, I am really intrigued. Now they have announced that Carter's series premiere will be two hours. That also means there is one extra week in which there is no Marvel show airing since Shield will only get back 8 weeks later and now they have Carter only for 7 weeks due to the double premiere. I am curious about this.

I really hope they come to their senses and do Beyond the Tank | Shield | Whispers.

Spot said...

Don't the networks have to designate that ahead of time, though? Otherwise it'd be really easy to artificially inflate a show's ratings using hindsight.


Hopefully ABC will go ahead and do that, though, for Once Upon a Time, Secrets & Lies, and Revenge for their Easter night airings.

Spot said...

Actually it should be ok. One Tuesday is going to be preempted by the State of the Union Address. So projecting Tuesdays for 2015 it goes...


January 6-February 17: Agent Carter (8 episodes) & State of the Union Address. For ABC's sake the SOTU needs to not be 2/12; otherwise Carter has a 2 week gap just for a finale.


February 24-May 12: Agents of SHIELD (12 episodes)



May 19: Dancing with the Stars finale

Spot said...

Yes, you're right. Makes no sense networks being able to do it retroactively.
I'm not aware CBS designated those as specials. Which doesn't mean they didn't, though.

Spot said...

I don't think it's like that, since Shield is premiering a week later.

It has to be:
06/01-24/02: Agent Carter (7 episodes) + State of the Union, amounting to the 8 weeks in this period and with the extra Carter airing at 8 on premiere night
03/03-05/05: Agents of Shield (10 episodes)
12/05: Agents of Shield double pump (airing at 8)
19/05: DWTS finale

What's funny is that with this schedule they could perfectly do Beyond the Tank+Shield+The Whispers since Beyond's 10 episode order would perfectly fit with Shield's 10 episode need for a lead-in. And I am assuming The Whispers could potentially have an 11 episode order since American Crime and Secrets and Lies also have orders for 10 and 11 episodes. So it would all perfectly fit.

Spot said...

Secrets and Lies and Revenge shouldn't need to air on Easter Sunday. Revenge will air 4 episodes in January as far as I understand, so that will give it plenty of time to air repeats in the spring since it has the same episode count as OUAT this year.

Spot said...

Agents of Shield double pump might be 05/05 at 8 PM.

Because Avengers: Age of Ultron release date is May 1.

Spot said...

That's a good point. But in any case, the fundamentals of my schedule are the same.

It's funny that Tuesdays are the easiest day to predict ABC's scheduling when it's the day we know the least about. Sundays and Thursdays on the other hand are very confusing and I am sure they will involve mixing up originals and repeats that I won't appreciate. All the orders are mismatched and don't fit. American Crime should have 10 episode for instance, not 11, the 11th one will be very weird to schedule.

Spot said...

Holy crap! Elementary went up! CBS drama resilliance to viewer depression hits again!

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