Tuesday, July 14, 2015

The War of 18-49, Person of Interest



Heir to the CSI Throne

Person of Interest came on the CBS scene in one of the highest-expectation timeslots in primetime: the Thursday 9/8c perch occupied by former megahit CSI for over a decade. The premiere numbers were 13.33 million viewers and a 3.1 demo rating on 9/22/11, a barely passable rating considering it had a direct lead-in from The Big Bang Theory (which averaged a 5.1 demo at 8:30). But POI's lead-in was barely half that size when newbie How to Be a Gentleman premiered at 8:30 the next week. Person of Interest started to look much better by comparison, holding onto a 2.7 and 2.6 in the next two weeks. It would hold in that area for the rest of the fall, getting a bit of help as Gentleman gave way to Big Bang repeats and later Rules of Engagement.

Minor Growth on Thursday

The show picked up some steam in the always high-viewed winter months, surging to a new high 3.2 for its January return and getting as high as a 3.4 on 3/8/12. It held in the 3's almost every week until late April. Its final 122 Plus for the season was ahead of the last couple CSI seasons, though not by much. But it had a bad final month of the season and, even with a much improved lead-in from Two and a Half Men, was only able to put together a small sophomore bounce in its return to the hour in season two. It was up a bit year-to-year in the fall and down a bit in the second half of the season. Still, this was good for +15 points in Plus.

Tuesday Declines

Though POI was one of CBS' biggest shows in the 9:00 hour, it got moved to the long-troubled Tuesday 10/9c slot for season three. Though it had never truly broken out on Thursday, this move was probably less about POI and more about the network's need to accommodate a heavy comedy development slate. Though it had a pretty good lead-in from NCIS: Los Angeles on Tuesday, it was never the same again, shedding nearly a third of its demo audience in the move and another 22% the next season. Still, this was enough to make season three CBS' biggest historical-adjusted player on Tuesday at 10:00 in the A18-49+ era. Even the middling season four numbers have only been topped in that slot a handful of times.

Person of Interest got another downgrade for season five, no longer on the fall schedule and with a reduced episode order. It's not entirely about ratings; if so, the WB-owned drama certainly could've beaten out other fall schedule choices like The Amazing Race and CBS-owned Elementary. But like with the Tuesday move two years ago, it just didn't stick out quite enough to force the network's hand in its favor.

Final Season as Filler

Person of Interest returned to its familiar Tuesday 10/9c timeslot for most of the final season, but not until May 2016. It also threw in a few bonus Monday episodes. For the most part, it was a shell of its former self ratings-wise, but a reasonable enough piece of filler to help CBS navigate the early part  of the summer. It fell as low as 0.8 for a Memorial Day airing on 5/30/16, but most of the season fell in the 0.9 to 1.0 area.

Adults 18-49 info by season:

SeasYearSlotAvgy2yLoHiResultsGrade
12011-12Thursday 9:002.872.43.4detail
22012-132.90+1%2.43.4detail
32013-14Tuesday 10:001.97-32%1.72.3detail
42014-151.54-22%1.11.8detail
5Summer 20160.98-36%0.81.2detailC

Historical-adjusted ratings by season:

SeasYearA18-49+LabelNow16y2yLoHiPremiereFinale
12011-12122solid1.77102144131106
22012-13137hit2.00+13%114161138114
32013-14105solid1.52-24%90122122101
42014-1591marginal1.33-13%6510710765
5Summer 201668marg(sum)0.98-26%55828269

AVERAGE:105solid
CAREER:523staple



The War of 18-49 chronicles the ratings history of veteran primetime series. For more, see the Index.

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