|Mike and Molly||Slot Average|
|Premieres November 4||2.42|
|Best Case: Somehow there are scores of people out there who would watch a sitcom just for Melissa McCarthy yet didn't know she had one over the last several years. "The new" Mike and Molly is a new kind of ratings performer and a surprise anchor-worthy show for 2014-15. 3.00.|
Worst Case: This show just isn't distinctive enough to turn around the fast-deteriorating CBS Monday culture. It had 85% retention, and that gets a bit worse now that M&M is airing at the top of a tough hour. Down a whooping 30% to a 2.00.
Likeliest: The scheduling may work in this show's favor out of the gate, but when the dust settles I don't think the marketing/tweaks are going to make this show anything more than what it's been in its first few seasons. It'll be, as always, a respectable option but not a CBS Monday game-changer. 2.30.
|Slot Orig Avg|
|2 Broke Girls|
|True||Sitch||The Big Bang Theory (R)|
|Raising Hope||Slot Average|
|Premieres November 15||0.78|
|Best Case: Is it possible that a Friday timeslot could be better than a Tuesday one? Last year this show led off the night against NCIS and The Voice. This time it has what should be a good-for-Friday lead-in in Bones, and it drops just 15% to a 1.35.|
Worst Case: To answer the above question: no, it's not possible. Especially when all three competing networks are doing pretty well in the timeslot. Plus, its helpful Bones lead-in gets called back into emergency Monday duty after Almost Human bombs. Raising Hope drops nearly 50% to near Sleepy Hollow repeat territory at 0.85.
Likeliest: Bones is actually going to air on Friday, which is a big help. It could well do mid-1's. Still, this may be about as competitive as a Friday timeslot has been in recent memory, so anything better than very low 1's would be a win for Hope. Fox will have to decide if those very low 1's are a worthy launch pad for Enlisted this January. (Maybe putting Enlisted right after Bones would be better.) 1.08.
|Slot Orig Avg|
|Sleepy Hollow (R)|
|Almost Human (NEW!)||Slot Average|
|Slot Orig Avg|
|Premieres November 17||2.09|
|Best Case: Fox always seems to premiere Monday dramas well, and this one will be no exception since it's getting an NFL boost. Based on how well The Following and Sleepy Hollow have held up, it seems the network's drama development is improving. This is just another solid entry: 2.65.|
Worst Case: Whereas The Following and Sleepy Hollow have succeeded by dialing up the crazy, this show is a return to bland proceduralsville, and the genre audience loses interest fast. 1.20, and Fox brings Bones back to Monday to help The Following.
Likeliest: I see this skewing older and less buzzy than Fox's last two successes, and I doubt that this concept is as much of a hook as The Following or Sleepy Hollow. (Then again, I also said that about The Following and Sleepy Hollow...) But given the Sunday launch-pad and just how ripe this night is for drama counter-programming, I don't think it totally bombs either. It at least looks better than The Mob Doctor. A frontloaded 1.75 average and on the bubble.