Tuesday, November 12, 2013

The 2013-14 Climate Center: Days/Times


The Climate Center is the latest way to keep up with some of this site's bigger-picture numbers on a week-to-week basis. It'll provide a running track of trends across the broadcasters, including individual networks, genres, and days of week/time of day. These will include the numbers that have gone into the A18-49+ theme posts, plus some new ones. Like the Weekly True Power Rankings, it'll be free of any pesky analysis (aside from definitions of the numbers) and will get updated alongside the SpotVault in the middle of each week. These may or may not get expanded/tweaked over the course of the season; for now, I just want to get some of my immediate ideas out there. Suggestions welcome!

The "Days/Time" post breaks apart big four programming based on the clock and the calendar, examining which nights of the week and which half-hours of primetime are most crowded. At the moment, I'm just putting up tables that look at the big four non-sports originals in each slot, but this section will probably be expanded shortly with tables that widen the lens to overall viewing/overall broadcast viewing tendencies.

These numbers are up to date through the end of the 2013-14 regular season: Wednesday, May 21.

More Climate Center: Basics | Networks | Genres | Days/Times



Big four originals season-to-date by day of the week (A18-49+):

Week Ending Monday Tuesday Wednesday Thursday Friday Sunday
1 9/29/2013 124 121 102 110 6082
2 10/6/2013 122 118 100 106 6187
3 10/13/2013 125 117 101 106 6285
4 10/20/2013 126 117 101 106 6484
5 10/27/2013 127 117 100 106 6783
6 11/3/2013 128 116 99 105 6786
7 11/10/2013 128 117 98 104 6786
8 11/17/2013 128 117 99 103 6887
9 11/24/2013 128 117 99 103 6888
10 12/1/2013 127 116 99 102 6789
11 12/8/2013 128 115 99 102 6790
12 12/15/2013 127 115 99 102 6792
13 12/22/2013 126 116 98 102 6792
14 12/29/2013 124 117 98 102 6793
15 1/5/2014 125 118 99 101 6893
16 1/12/2014 124 116 100 101 6895
17 1/19/2014 123 115 102 101 6995
18 1/26/2014 123 114 103 100 7095
19 2/2/2014 122 113 103 100 7097
20 2/9/2014 121 112 104 100 6997
21 2/16/2014 121 111 105 99 7097
22 2/23/2014 120 111 106 99 7097
23 3/2/2014 120 111 106 99 7097
24 3/9/2014 121 110 106 99 7097
25 3/16/2014 122 110 106 99 7097
26 3/23/2014 123 109 106 99 7097
27 3/30/2014 123 109 106 100 6996
28 4/6/2014 124 109 107 100 7096
29 4/13/2014 125 109 107 101 7095
30 4/20/2014 125 109 107 101 7094
31 4/27/2014 125 109 108 101 7094
32 5/4/2014 126 109 108 102 7093
33 5/11/2014 126 108 108 102 7093
34 5/18/2014 127 108 108 102 7093
35 5/21/2014 126 108 108 102 7093
2012-13 Final 122 100 116 114 62100

Big four originals season-to-date by time of day (A18-49+):

Week Ending 8:00 8:30 9:00 9:30 10:00 10:30
1 9/29/2013 105 110 112 107 85 78
2 10/6/2013 107 107 112 107 85 78
3 10/13/2013 107 107 112 107 85 78
4 10/20/2013 108 106 113 107 85 79
5 10/27/2013 109 106 113 108 85 79
6 11/3/2013 109 106 112 108 86 80
7 11/10/2013 109 106 112 106 86 80
8 11/17/2013 109 105 111 106 87 81
9 11/24/2013 108 104 111 106 88 82
10 12/1/2013 108 104 110 105 88 83
11 12/8/2013 108 104 110 105 88 83
12 12/15/2013 109 104 110 105 88 83
13 12/22/2013 109 104 110 105 88 83
14 12/29/2013 109 104 110 105 88 83
15 1/5/2014 110 105 110 105 87 82
16 1/12/2014 111 105 110 104 87 82
17 1/19/2014 110 105 110 104 87 82
18 1/26/2014 110 105 110 104 87 82
19 2/2/2014 110 105 109 103 87 84
20 2/9/2014 110 105 109 103 87 83
21 2/16/2014 111 105 109 103 86 83
22 2/23/2014 111 106 108 103 86 83
23 3/2/2014 111 106 108 102 86 83
24 3/9/2014 111 106 108 102 86 83
25 3/16/2014 111 106 108 102 87 83
26 3/23/2014 111 106 109 102 87 84
27 3/30/2014 110 106 109 102 87 83
28 4/6/2014 110 106 108 102 87 84
29 4/13/2014 110 106 108 102 87 84
30 4/20/2014 110 106 108 102 87 84
31 4/27/2014 110 106 109 102 87 84
32 5/4/2014 110 106 109 102 87 84
33 5/11/2014 110 106 109 102 87 84
34 5/18/2014 110 106 109 102 87 84
35 5/25/2014 110 106 109 102 88 84
2012-13 Final108 108 113 105 84 79



Click to expand for more on the "climate" numbers used herein.

Big four originals season-to-date by day of the week - These numbers index the big four networks' averages in original non-sports series on each day of the week compared to their average across the entire week.
  • To keep Sunday on a relatively apples-to-apples basis with the other weekdays, the 7:00 hour is excluded.
Big four original categories by time of day - These numbers index the big four networks' averages in original non-sports series in each half hour compared to their average across the entire night.
  • These are based on half-hour breakdowns, not on full program ratings. This is most evident in the 10:00 hour, where virtually everything airs across the whole hour. So you can see pretty clearly how much a program declines from 10:00 to 10:30 on average.

9 comments:

Spot said...

Wow at Sundays. It's fast approaching Friday levels of difficulty for originals.

But double wow at Wednesday. Guessing that's the total collapse of the X, and the crumbling ABC sitcoms?

Spot said...

Wow at Wednesdays. What the hell is that? The X-Factor+Ironside? I find that very surprising, I didn't realize that night was so weak! ABC and CBS have good nights on Wednesdays and even FOX probably does worse on Tuesdays and Thursdays most of the times I imagine. I am very surprised. Probably it's the fact that even though there are a lot of very solid performers, the only real hit there is MF which only lasts for half an hour.

Spot said...

Actually I think Wednesdays are 35% NBC uselessness, 30% X-Factor cratering, 15% CBS shows aging, 15% ABC shows either aging or failing to launch and 5% TTP softness compared to SPN last year. A lot of blame to go around.

Spot said...

Yes, if you look at the networks post, ABC, CBS and Fox all do fine but only a bit above league average. There are no real standout lineups and NBC is weak enough to cancel them out. But the Wednesday number should go up from here unless Idol posts X Factor-esque numbers. (Notice it went up from 106 at this time last year to 114 final.)
It's interesting to me that the ABC/CBS/Fox ratings are roughly the same on Monday and Wednesday and the difference is almost entirely with NBC, which airs the strongest three-hour entertainment lineup on TV on Monday and one of the weakest on Wed. I have felt True was being a bit too generous to Monday shows, but perhaps deservedly so given there are really no weak networks, plus one VERY strong one, plus football.

Spot said...

Yeah, that really makes sense, thanks for taking the time to explain it. It's impressive how NBC is the most unbalanced network and, as a result, kind of dictates the direction of the A18-49 from the league average in each weekday. As for the TRUE Metric, I had realized before that you were very generous to Monday shows yeah, and never understood why, but I guess it does make some sense.

Spot said...

I definitely think that Wednesdays are the most wide open day for an attack from any big 4 network right now (Thursdays are not that bad either, especially at 9). You have to deal with MF on Wednesdays and everyone else is somehow competent at 9pm, but at 8pm and 10pm it's open season for anyone who gives it a serious try. That's why I think CBS should have moved POI to 8pm this year and Survivor to Sundays and why I think next year they really should move Survivor to Sundays and use that slot to launch a new drama, it's better than any 10pm hour they have except maybe Wednesday itself. ABC just needs to get its act together with the .30 shows, it's ridiculous that they loose this night so frequently. FOX is a wildcard here next fall, 100%. As for NBC ,I think they should have The Blacklist anchoring this for them. There are just so many opportunities. Nobody is truly bad for the most part, but nobody is truly exception for the most part either.

Spot said...

I dunno, Wednesday at 8 is pretty much a death slot for dramas.

Revolution
Human Target
Undercovers
Mercy
Jericho
Bones
Pushing Dasies
Alias
Ed
Titans

Spot said...

Hm... That list is a bit scary yes but I am not really sure it can be very telling. In general, I don't buy that timeslots really are deathslots unless there are clear reasons for that and a proven track record for that. You may have the second condition covered but I don't buy the first one. Also, the landscape there has changed so much (The X-Factor is a joke, who knows how weaker AI will be, Survivor and The Middle are just respectable players but hardly big hits, Revolution is hardly a force to be reckoned with) that even the track record may not apply that much. In theory, it should work so if the show has the goods and the marketing, a network should be able to pull it off. ABC is out of of the question since it's their comedy night but I would be up for any of the other three trying it out, but especially CBS because really, the slot has to be better than the 10pm slots they have leading out of the comedy blocks...

Spot said...

I agree. The networks should give up on 10pm and give it back to the affiliates. They can't compete with cable.

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