Friday, November 15, 2013

The Question, Friday 11/15/13: Is There Hope for a Fourth Scripted Lineup on Friday?


In week two of November sweeps, the Fox network aired just three programs that had a 2.0 or higher 18-49 rating. Tonight, one of those programs makes a move to low-viewed Friday night. Bones has quietly had another very solid season, but the success of its lead-out Sleepy Hollow means Fox is finally following through on the Friday move that they've promised many times and always audibled out of. It joins another series that led off a weeknight last year, the fourth-year comedy Raising Hope, in a lineup that will either make Fox competitive on a relatively crowded Friday, or make us all feel the shows are being wasted on the supposedly low-priority night. Is there Hope for a fourth scripted network on Friday? That's The Question for Friday, November 15, 2013.


Bones This Season (Mon 8/7c) Raising Hope Last Season (Tue 8/7c)
2.3 (premiere, Monday 9/16/13)
2.09 (average)
2.0 (Monday finale, 11/11/13)
1.7 (premiere, 10/2/12)
1.59 (average)
1.5/1.4 (Tuesday finale, 2/26/13)
1.3/1.2 (Thursday special, 3/28/13)

If nothing else, this night will be another good look at just how much of a negative it is to air on Friday. It'll be particularly telling for Bones, a series that aired an original on a weeknight just four days ago. Some established shows have taken a pretty high percentage of the audience over to Friday at least initially (including Hawaii Five-0 a couple months ago), and Bones is about as established as it gets.

Bones PLUS Raising Hope (9:00-10:00) Over/Under: 2.65.

(The listings say the hour of Raising Hope will be counted as just one episode. If the finals show two different episodes, I will take an average of the two episodes' unrounded ratings and round that to one decimal point.)

No entries accepted after 6:00am ET the morning after the date in the headline. If editing your pick, please leave a separate comment.

15 comments:

Spot said...

Bones: 1.7
Raising Hope: 1.2

I feel like I might be overestimating Bones here, but I don't think it will be by that much. Over.

Spot said...

Initial gut said a 1.5 for Bones but I reckon that can be pushed up a notch and that RH can manage the 1.1 level that is needed to take it OVER.

Spot said...

I'm going to say UNDER.

Spot said...

under

Spot said...

I think it's hilarious that with Tuesdays, Wednesdays AND Thursdays grievously underperforming in the low-to-mid-1s, they are taking a solid drama (suddenly a strength for FOX) and booting it to Friday night to pair it with a comedy that has never done particularly well.


Bones: 1.7
Hope: 1.3


Over.

Spot said...

Over.

Spot said...

Over

Spot said...

Over

Spot said...

Over. Bones will probably be 1.5 to 1.8

Spot said...

Over. Bones will drag Raising Hope over the Line.

Spot said...

I'm leaning Over on this one. I think Bones will carry enough over tonight to make up the difference even if Hope lays an epic egg.

Spot said...

Over

Spot said...

Bones: 1.5/1.6 + Raisin Hope 1.1/1.2 = 2.6/2.7 .Damn your extraordinary good lines. Hmm... a random over then

Spot said...

Under: Bones 1.5 and Hope 0.8/0.9

Spot said...

Missed this one. :/


But I would say Over.

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