Wednesday, November 6, 2013

Spotted Ratings, Tuesday 11/5/13


WHAT MATTERS:
  • For the ABC comedies, maybe timing really was everything. After posting their most promising results during back-nine decision week, comedy The Goldbergs took a two-tenth drop despite the return of lead-in Agents of SHIELD from a week off, and a finals downtick meant Trophy Wife was down three ticks. For SHIELD, it took the same two-tenths drop after its first repeat as fellow new drama Sleepy Hollow, but this marks a fifth straight post-premiere decline.
  • ABC might have gotten nicked a bit from the return of the Fox comedy block, and New Girl and The Mindy Project each came back on the upswing vs. their last couple episodes.
  • NBC was down again with The Voice, but the drop wasn't as severe as on Monday. And NBC got a sigh of relief out of The Biggest Loser, rebounding significantly after a couple big post-premiere drops.
  • The other two networks saw some low-end results out of NCIS, NCIS: Los Angeles and Supernatural.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue
A18-49 Skew Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
Agents of SHIELD 2.5 44% -7%-0.2n/a 6/6 n/a +108% -12% 2.3
The Goldbergs 1.5 39% -12%-0.2+1.3 7/7 n/a -12% -53% 1.2
Trophy Wife 1.1 38% -21%-0.3-0.2 7/7 n/a -21% -70% 1.1
In the Spotlight with Robin Roberts 0.7 26% n/a -26% -82% 0.9
ABC:+22%-56%
NCIS 2.9 19% -3%-0.1n/a 6/7 n/a -5% +32% 2.6
NCIS: Los Angeles 2.4 21% -8%-0.2-0.1 7/7 n/a -9% -4% 1.9
Person of Interest 1.9 20% +0%+0.0-0.2 6/7 -34% +3% -27% 1.7
CBS:-5%-1%
The Biggest Loser 2.1 39% +17%+0.3n/a 2/4 n/a +14% -37% 1.9
The Voice Tue 3.4 38% -6%-0.2+0.3 6/7 +0% -6% -28% 3.0
NBC:-2%-31%
Dads 1.4 49% +0%+0.0n/a 4/7 n/a -13% +0% 1.3
Brooklyn Nine-Nine 1.6 53% +0%+0.0+0.0 3/7 n/a -6% +23% 1.5
New Girl 2.0 66% +11%+0.2+0.0 4/7 n/a +33% +18% 1.8
The Mindy Project 1.5 66% +15%+0.2+0.2 2/7 n/a +15% -12% 1.4
Fox:+7%+7%
The Originals 0.9 56% -10%-0.1n/a 4/6 n/a -10% +157% 0.9
Supernatural 0.9 53% -18%-0.2-0.1 5/5 -10% -14% +260% 0.9
CW:-12%+200%
Big5:+1%-21%

KEY (click to expand)
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Skew - Percentage of adults 18-49 within the show's total viewership.
Last - A18-49 difference (percent and numerical) from the show's previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes so far this season.
y2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the show's rating a year ago.
TLa - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - Percent difference between A18-49 and the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True - A metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

12 comments:

Spot said...

I wonder if/when NCIS will beat Voice this fall.
Last season the NCIS finale was just .1 behind the Voice and happened to be higher than the next couple of Tuesday Voice eps after that.

Spot said...

Hrm, it's Sweeps and the shows are still falling.

Spot said...

I can't believe that SHIELD still hasn't found a bottom. We're in November now, and it has fallen two full ratings points from it's debut. We're almost a full point below where I thought it'd be. I wasn't expecting these numbers to come until the spring.

Spot said...

I think the idea that shows behave differently in sweeps is a misconception. Sometimes there is an indirect effect because networks use highly buzzed episodes in sweeps which drives a higher audience, but the fact that it is november, per se, shouldn't have any impact on the ratings IMO.

Spot said...

I think it's all a matter of expectations. ABC's drama slate is not that much better than FOX's (it's a bit like comparing apples to oranges due to the vast difference in the # of hours they dedicate to dramas), but we all praise Sleepy Hollow for the 2.5 and then are disappointed with Shield for the same 2.5. I too thought it would be on the high 2s/low 3s by now, similar to where is the blacklist, but the show is still doing perfectly fine. This kind of narrative was always expected though.

Spot said...

But the temperature is dropping. When the temperature rises in Spring, ratings fall. Is there no reverse effect?

Spot said...

I think that has more to do with daylight savings than temperature per se but the truth is that I don't know either. If anything, I believe we see some reverse effect in January but that might also due to the combination of often less competition and anticipated returns from hiatus, so I really don't know how to answer that. I am however pretty sure that even if there is a reversed effect, it will still be much smaller than the one we see in spring.

Spot said...

Sweeps not looking good.

Spot said...

By my super-rough (1 18-49 point=1.3 mil viewers) estimates, about 43% of X Factor's aud is in the demo. Similarly-rated Fox shows: Mindy's in the 60s, Brooklyn in the mid-50s, Dads about half. Not so good.

Spot said...

It's pretty impressive that Arrow went back up so much during the CMA's.

Spot said...

I wish The Originals could stay at a 1.0...

Spot said...

It's amazing. X-Factor was supposed to be Idol Fall, a game-changing juggernaut that would launch FOX into a new era. Instead, it's likely to struggle to maintain the league average.

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