Friday, May 31, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Thursday 5/30/19


FINALS UPDATE: NBA Finals (4.8, +0.9), The Big Bang Theory (R) (0.9) and Paradise Hotel (0.5) adjusted up while Jimmy Kimmel Live: Game Night (0.9, -1.2), NBA Countdown (1.4, -0.8) and In the Dark (0.1) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • Numbers to come. ABC had the first game of the NBA Finals.

The War of 18-49, Chicago Med


Season One on Tuesday

Just over three years after the launch of Chicago Fire, and less than two years after its spin-off Chicago PD came on the scene, NBC was ready for a third dose of Chicago. Chicago Med had a late-fall premiere, opening to a 2.2 demo on 11/17/15 and holding most of its lead-in from The Voice (2.6). It took a hit to 1.8 the next week (two days before Thanksgiving) but in a nice hammock between The Voice and the mothership Chicago Fire, it bounced back rather admirably in weeks three (2.0) and four (2.1).

But it was put to the test quickly, as the winter brought a hiatus for The Voice and a much more middling lead-in from Hollywood Game Night. Chicago Med proved up to the test, hanging in the mid-1's throughout winter 2016 and consistently growing by several tenths on HGN. And the return of The Voice for the spring helped bring Med back into the high-1's. The Tuesday pairing brought the Chicago brand to a new level; the two existing shows had never gone higher than a 108 Plus, but season one of Med had a 117 while its lead-out Fire had a 120.

Many Timeslot Moves

The easy thing would've been to keep Chicago Med on Tuesday, where the whole night was clicking. But NBC had another plan (a rather successful plan called This Is Us), and that left Med to fend among more modest performers on Thursday. It helped make Thursday more respectable than it had been recently for NBC, but there was still a noticeable hit to Med's own ratings.

In season three, Med was evicted from yet another timeslot by a big event in the making (the Will and Grace revival), missing the fall schedule completely. But another late fall premiere brought it a nice timeslot upgrade; it got to air much of its season after the highest-rated season of This Is Us on Tuesday. Its 1.4ish ratings were a big upgrade on what had aired there early in the fall (Law and Order True Crime), but but its value really became clear when This Is Us was over and low-rated newbie Rise took over at 9/8c; Med usually built by about three tenths on Rise, a rare accomplishment for a 10/9c program.

Chicagos United

Season four brought yet another scheduling change, but it was another positive one for Chicago Med; it was placed on Wednesday alongside the other two series in the Chicago universe. This synergy took all three shows to their highest-rated respective seasons ever, making NBC a Wednesday force like it hadn't been since the heydays of The West Wing and Law and Order. For Med, that meant staying very close to even in raw numbers for a second straight season, and never going below 1.0 all year. Med and Fire had the first two Chicago seasons to cross the 125 'hit' threshold. Finally, NBC found a multi-year home for Chicago Med; all three shows stayed put in 2019-20 and blew away their previous series highs.

Adults 18-49 info by season:

SeasYearSlotAvgy2yLoHiResultsGrade
12015-16Tuesday 9:001.711.42.2detail
22016-17Thursday 9:001.23-28%0.91.7detailB
32017-18Tuesday 10:001.21-2%1.01.5detailA-
42018-19Wednesday 8:001.20-1%1.01.4detailA
52019-201.16-4%1.01.5detailA-
62020-210.92-20%0.81.2detailB
72021-220.73-21%0.60.8detailB
82022-230.57-22%0.40.7detailC
920240.48-17%0.40.6detailC+

Historical-adjusted ratings by season:

SeasYearA18-49+LabelNow24y2yLoHiPremiereFinale
12015-16118solid0.4596151151110
22016-17101solid0.38-14%7313911498
32017-18110solid0.42+10%8713811687
42018-19126hit0.48+14%106149128111
52019-20141hit0.54+12%126177126139
62020-21143hit0.54+1%119181181130
72021-22144hit0.54+0%123167153131
82022-23134hit0.51-7%94164164103
92024126hit0.48-6%105163163105

AVERAGE:127hit
CAREER:1143star


The War of 18-49 chronicles the ratings history of veteran primetime series. For more, see the Index.

Thursday, May 30, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Wednesday 5/29/19


FINALS UPDATE: Schooled (R) (0.5) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • The NBC summer rollout continued with the two-hour return of American Ninja Warrior (1.0) down by two tenths from last year's premiere. At 10/9c, new drama The InBetween (0.6) tied the year-ago premiere of Reverie.
  • Fox's MasterChef mothership (0.8) returned for a new season, and was down two tenths from the 8/7c half of the premiere last year. It was tied for second at 8/7c with CBS' The Amazing Race (0.8), which led into the two-hour premiere of NCIS: The Cases They Can't Forget (0.4), previously known as 48 Hours: NCIS.

The Breakdown: CBS Monday in 2018-19 (The Neighborhood, Magnum P.I., Bull and more!)




It's time for a journey through the CBS Monday schedule in 2018-19...

Wednesday, May 29, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Tuesday 5/28/19


FINALS UPDATE: Movie: The Lion King (R) (0.8), 1969 (0.5), NCIS (R) (0.6), NCIS (R) (0.5), Songland (1.1), MasterChef Junior (R) (0.5) and The Flash (R) (0.1) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • NBC launched its biggest guns of the summer with America's Got Talent (1.6/1.7) leading into reality newbie Songland (1.2) at 10/9c. For Talent, it was a substantial year-to-year drop vs. last year's 2.5 premiere, and came up a bit shy of the spin-off AGT: The Champions' 1.8 premiere back in the winter.
    • Songland wasn't nearly as impressive as the huge World of Dance premiere from two years ago, but was still among the better post-Talent launches historically; probably the closest comparison would be Better Late Than Never (which got a 1.6 following a 2.4 Talent in late summer 2016).
  • Fox was on the upswing with MasterChef Junior (0.8) leading into a Junior recap special (0.6). Week two of CBS' Blood and Treasure (0.5) managed to match the show's average in the 10/9c hour last week (and was down a tenth from the two-hour average). And ABC fared well with theatrical The Lion King (0.9) boosting 1969 (0.6) to a series high.

Tuesday, May 28, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Monday 5/27/19


FINALS UPDATE: Stanley Cup Finals (1.6) adjusted up while Celebrity Family Feud (R) (0.6), The Code (R) (0.3), Bull (R) (0.3) and 9-1-1 (R) (0.4) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Finals on NBC (1.5) was down just a tenth from last year's prelim (a 1.6 which later adjusted up to 1.7).
  • ABC's The Bachelorette (1.1) and Fox's Beat Shazam (0.6) both continued airing on Memorial Day, and both were down a tenth from last week. In a sea of repeats elsewhere, ABC's Celebrity Family Feud (0.7) at 10/9c proved a nice improvement on previous occupant The Fix.

The Breakdown: ABC Monday in 2018-19 (Dancing with the Stars, The Bachelor, The Good Doctor and more!)




It's time for a journey through the ABC Monday schedule in 2018-19...

Saturday, May 25, 2019

Friday, May 24, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Thursday 5/23/19


FINALS UPDATE: No adjustments.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • The summer began with Elementary (0.5) returning to the timeslot it occupied in its first several seasons. It was down a tenth from its April premiere a year ago.
  • In a tight race for the nightly lead were ABC's two-hour Farrah Fawcett special (0.7) and the CBS comedies (0.6/0.7/0.6/0.6), which included a Life in Pieces original at 9:30. Bringing up the rear were Fox's Paradise Hotel (0.4) and NBC's two-hour Red Nose Day charity event (0.4/0.3) and Hollywood Game Night (0.4). On the CW (0.2/0.2), the late spring pairing of iZombie and In the Dark continued.

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Wednesday 5/22/19


FINALS UPDATE: Live in Front of a Studio Audience (1.8) and Chicago PD (1.0) adjusted up while My Last Days (0.1) and Jane the Virgin (0.2) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • On the last day of the regular season, special programming took over in primetime as ABC offered Life in Front of a Studio Audience (1.7/1.7/1.8), a production of All in the Family and The Jeffersons episodes. At 9:30 was a Nightline special on the two shows (1.4), and that helped boost the Whiskey Cavalier finale (0.7) to its highest rating since week two.
  • It was finale night for One Chicago, with PD (0.9) down a notch but Med (1.1) and Fire (1.1) both matching last week. CBS had a couple hours of The Amazing Race (0.9/0.7) and an uptick for the SEAL Team finale (0.7).
  • The second half of Fox's MasterChef celebrity special (0.6) was up from last week, as was Jane the Virgin (0.3) on the CW. At 8/7c, the CDub welcomed back documentary series My Last Days (0.2).

Wednesday, May 22, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Tuesday 5/21/19


FINALS UPDATE: 1969 (0.3) and Mental Samurai (0.4) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • With a lead-in from The Village (0.6), the two-hour season finale of The Voice (1.0/1.1) picked up little to no ground from last week, and was down about 30% from the year-ago spring finale.
  • It was NCIS (1.2), not Voice, that was the top program on the last Tuesday of the season, and it was used as a lead-in for the two-hour premiere of summer drama Blood and Treasure (0.6). B&T at least so far is probably looking a little better than Salvation, CBS' last effort in the summer drama realm. (It premiered to a 0.7 after Big Brother two years ago, and never got higher than 0.4 all of last season.)
  • On finale night, ABC saw a decrease for American Housewife (0.7) but an increase for Black-ish (0.7) and 1969 (0.4). Fox's unscripted (0.8/0.5) was up, while the CW's The 100 fell to its first 0.2 of the season as The Flash (0.2) went into repeats.

SpotVault - The Bachelorette (ABC) - Summer 2019 Ratings





The Bachelorette
Mondays, 8/7c, ABC







SpotVault - Blood and Treasure (CBS) - Summer 2019 Ratings





Blood and Treasure
Tuesdays, 10/9c, CBS







SpotVault - Beat Shazam (Fox) - Summer 2019 Ratings





Beat Shazam
Mondays, 8/7c, Fox







Tuesday, May 21, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Monday 5/20/19


FINALS UPDATE: No adjustments.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • The Monday finale of The Voice (1.2) got an uptick, narrowing the gap with The Bachelorette (1.3/1.2) which was close to last week's premiere. In a battle of 10/9c drama finales, The Fix (0.5) preliminarily inched up while The Enemy Within (0.6) was even.
  • Fox brought back summer returnee Beat Shazam (0.7), a tenth below last year's opener, and vastly improved the 9/8c hour by pulling Paradise Hotel in favor of a 9-1-1 repeat (0.6).
  • CBS repeated The Big Bang Theory's finale (0.9/1.1), which helped lift The Code (0.7) to its best rating since the post-NCIS preview that opened its run. A Late Late Show special (0.5) rounded out the night. The CW's Legends of Tomorrow (0.3) was even.

Monday, May 20, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Sunday 5/19/19


FINALS UPDATE: American Idol (1.5, +0.2) adjusted up while America's Funniest Home Videos (0.6) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • The three-hour season finale of American Idol (1.3) was down from last year's 1.6 Monday finale, but even with the final Sunday of last season (which had to face the Billboard Music Awards).
  • CBS saw little benefit from the PGA Championship moving to May, as it ended well before the start of primetime. 60 Minutes (0.8) was up a tenth, The Red Line remained mired at 0.3 and NCIS: Los Angeles fell back to 0.5 for its season finale.
  • A Sunday episode of Dateline (0.7) helped boost Good Girls back to 0.5, while the CW's drama finales (0.3/0.2) were even and Fox had a movie (0.4).

Renewology: How the Renew/Cancel Model Fared in 2018-19


It's time for another Renewology post-mortem! Overall, I think this was another year that vindicated the existence of a mathematical, "ratings-only" model like this, though the results were definitely a little different from last year. Here's a link to the 2017-18 recap, which I will refer back to on a couple occasions.

Saturday, May 18, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Friday 5/17/19


FINALS UPDATE: No Exit! (0.3), Dateline (0.5), Dynasty (0.1) and Whose Line Is It Anyway? (R) (0.1) adjusted down.


Friday, May 17, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Thursday 5/16/19


FINALS UPDATE: The Big Bang Theory (3.2) and Paradise Hotel (0.4) adjusted up while For the People (0.4), Young Sheldon (2.1) and The Big Bang Theory Special (1.7) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • On the last Thursday of the season, The Big Bang Theory (3.2) finished its 12-season run with a one-hour finale, leading into Young Sheldon (2.1) at 9/8c and a TBBT retrospective (1.7) at 9:30. With an A18-49+ in the low-to-mid 330's, this will be TBBT's biggest finale and second-biggest episode ever (trailing only the season 11 premiere).
  • Big Bang managed to blunt some of the competing finales on other networks; double-dips of Superstore (0.6/0.6) and Brooklyn Nine-Nine (0.5/0.5) were on the downswing, as were ABC's Grey's Anatomy (1.3) and Station 19 (0.8). A finals uptick allowed Paradise Hotel (0.4) to outrate its last episode on Wednesday, though it was still down a tick from the two-hour ep last Thursday.

Thursday, May 16, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Wednesday 5/15/19


FINALS UPDATE: Chicago Fire (1.1) adjusted up.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • CBS aired its spring Survivor finale (1.6/1.5 from 8:00-10:00 and 1.3 in the 10:00 half-hour) and reunion (0.9 at 10:30) a week before the end of the season this year, and the finale looks to be up year-to-year (the year-ago spring finale had a 1.4 with a 0.9 reunion).
  • With a lot less drama competition, NBC was up at 8/7c with Chicago Med (1.1), even at 9/8c with Chicago Fire (1.0) and up at 10/9c with Chicago PD (1.0).
  • Fox had a MasterChef special (0.5) and still lower embarrassment from Paradise Hotel (0.3), while ABC replaced its wrapped comedies with movie Toy Story 2 (0.6), plus Whiskey Cavalier (0.4). The CW's Riverdale stayed at 0.3 for its season finale, but Jane the Virgin (0.2) gave back last week's uptick.

The CW Fall 2019 Schedule Release Thread



The CW fall schedule is here!

CW Renewology

Wednesday, May 15, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Tuesday 5/14/19


FINALS UPDATE: The Flash (0.6) adjusted up.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • NBC's The Voice (1.0) got out of fractional territory for the first time since moving to the 9/8c hour, and helped New Amsterdam (0.9) to rise for its season finale. The Village remained at 0.6 at 8/7c.
  • On ABC, Black-ish (0.6) returned to the 9/8c slot and Bless This Mess (0.6) to 9:30, while the 8/7c comedies (0.8/0.6) were even and 1969 fell to its first 0.3. CBS was up with NCIS (1.1) but down with NCIS: New Orleans (0.6), and Fox's Mental Samurai hit a new low 0.4. The CW (0.5/0.3) was even.

The CBS Fall 2019 Schedule Release Thread


The CBS fall schedule is here!

CBS Renewology

Tuesday, May 14, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Monday 5/13/19


FINALS UPDATE: The Voice (1.1) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • The Bachelorette (1.3) arrived a couple weeks earlier than last year, going a tenth below its Memorial weekend premiere in 2018. The Fix (0.4) preliminarily inched up from last week's low.
  • A special 8/7c finale (previewing its fall 2019 timeslot) went great for 9-1-1 (1.3), as the show had its highest rating in five episodes. But it was no help to Fox's Paradise Hotel resurrection (0.4), which went even lower than its Thursday premiere.
  • Free from 9-1-1 competition, CBS' The Code (0.6) and its lead-out Bull (0.7) were both up a notch. NBC was even to narrowly up with The Voice (1.1/1.2) and The Enemy Within (0.6), and the CW's superhero dramas (0.3/0.2) were steady.

The ABC Fall 2019 Schedule Release Thread


The ABC fall schedule is here!

ABC Renewology






Monday, May 13, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Sunday 5/12/19


FINALS UPDATE: American Idol (1.2) and Ellen's Game of Games (R) (0.5) adjusted up while The Red Line (0.3) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • American Idol (1.1) matched last week's prelim (which later adjusted up to 1.2), while America's Funniest Home Videos (1.0) and Shark Tank (0.8) were both on the uptick. CBS also had upticks in the first and last hour with 60 Minutes (0.7) and NCIS: Los Angeles (0.6), surrounding another horrible showing from The Red Line (0.4/0.3).
  • Meanwhile, with World of Dance gone, NBC opted for a movie (0.5/0.6) and an Ellen's Game of Games repeat (0.4), ushering Good Girls down to its first 0.4. Fox similarly tanked its original programming by showing a Paradise Hotel encore in the 7:00 hour (0.2), bringing The Simpsons down to an egregious 0.5, while Bob's Burgers (0.6) also dropped. The CW (0.3/0.2) was even yet again.

The Fox Fall 2019 Schedule Release Thread


Check back later today for the Fox fall schedule!

Fox Renewology

Saturday, May 11, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Friday 5/10/19


FINALS UPDATE: Last Man Standing (0.9) adjusted up.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • ABC brought back Marvel's Agents of SHIELD (0.4) after almost a year off, tying the 0.4 low it hit a few times late last spring. Like last season, SHIELD was no help to 20/20 (0.4/0.5).
  • Fox's comedies (0.8/0.6) and Proven Innocent (0.4) along with CBS' MacGyver (0.6) and Blue Bloods (0.8) all finished out their seasons, while Hawaii Five-0 (0.7) along with NBC's The Blacklist (0.6) and the CW's Dynasty (0.1) will be back next week.

Friday, May 10, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Thursday 5/9/19


FINALS UPDATE: Grey's Anatomy (1.4) and The Big Bang Theory (2.0) adjusted up while In the Dark (0.1) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • Fox resurrected early-aughts reality series Paradise Hotel (0.5) to relatively little interest, a bad sign for a network planning to air quite a bit of it in the second half of May sweeps and the early summer. The original incarnation was not a huge deal either, premiering to a 3.7 (83 Plus) in June 2003, but this is a big step below that.
  • NBC saw Superstore (0.8) inch down at 8/7c, but used a second Superstore original to improve the 8:30 slot (0.7) and Brooklyn Nine-Nine (0.6). Law and Order: SVU (0.7) fell at 10/9c.
  • ABC's Grey's Anatomy (1.3) inched down, while Station 19 (0.9) was out of crossover mode and back to normal, ushering just-cancelled For the People down to its first 0.4. 
  • In its penultimate week, The Big Bang Theory (1.9) was even, and so was everything else on CBS (1.5/1.1/0.8/0.7). CW's In the Dark returned to 0.2 at 9/8c.

Thursday, May 9, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Wednesday 5/8/19


FINALS UPDATE: Survivor (1.5) adjusted up.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • Finale night for Fox's Empire (1.2) and Star (1.0) saw each show pick up a tenth from last week, but significantly trail last season's 1.7/1.3 finales. 
  • NBC's Chicago trio (1.0/1.0/0.9) returned from a week off, with Med even at 8/7c but the other two inching down to new season lows.
  • ABC was up in the 8/7c hour with The Goldbergs (1.1) and Schooled (0.9) but saw Whiskey Cavalier fall back to 0.4 at 10/9c, the first time it has done so with an original Single Parents lead-in (0.7). The lone mover on CBS was The Amazing Race (0.8), down for the third straight week since its premiere. And the CW at least preliminarily was up with Riverdale (0.3) and Jane the Virgin (0.3).

Wednesday, May 8, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Tuesday 5/7/19


FINALS UPDATE: No adjustments.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • ABC gave Bless This Mess (0.6) a one-time tryout in the 9/8c half-hour, where it matched the 0.6 it pulled last week at 9:30. In the 8:00 hour, American Housewife (0.8) and The Kids Are Alright (0.6) both gave back last week's upticks.
  • The rest of broadcast brought another mix of evenness and one-tenth downticks. CBS was down a notch with NCIS (to a new low 1.0) and FBI (0.8), while NBC's The Village (0.6) and Fox's unscripted shows (0.7/0.5) all surrendered their gains from last week.

Tuesday, May 7, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Monday 5/6/19


FINALS UPDATE: Man with a Plan (0.8) adjusted up while The Fix (0.3) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • A week before The Bachelorette officially returns to its usual two-hour timeslot, ABC offered a two-hour Bachelorette special (0.7/0.6) which went below last week's Queen + Adam Lambert special. The Fix stayed at 0.4.
  • The Voice (1.1), Man with a Plan (0.7) and The Resident (0.8) were down a tenth, while the dramas on CBS (0.5/0.6) and CW (0.3/0.2) plus The Enemy Within (0.6) and 9-1-1 (1.1) were even.

Monday, May 6, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Sunday 5/5/19


FINALS UPDATE: American Idol (1.2) adjusted up.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • It was a mostly down night on the first Sunday in May; the CBS numbers scrambled due to a golf overrun, but week two of The Red Line managed a pathetic 0.3 in the 90 minutes that exclusively belonged to it, while NCIS: Los Angeles appeared to pull itself back up to a 0.5 in the 10:00 hour.
  • ABC's American Idol (1.1) gave back a lot of its late April surge, returning to mid-season levels, while America's Funniest Home Videos (0.9) and Shark Tank (0.7) were also down. Also on the decline were Fox's comedies (0.7/0.7/0.7) and NBC's Good Girls (0.5). Among the few steady shows: the season finale of World of Dance (0.8), and the CW's dramas (0.3/0.2).

Saturday, May 4, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Friday 5/3/19


FINALS UPDATE: Last Man Standing (0.8) adjusted up while ScreenTime: Diane Sawyer Reporting (0.5), Blue Bloods (0.7) and Proven Innocent (0.3) adjusted down.


Thursday, May 2, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Wednesday 5/1/19


FINALS UPDATE: SEAL Team (0.6) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • In its second year on NBC, the Billboard Music Awards (1.9/2.2/2.1) moved to Wednesday and went 10-15% below last year's 2.35.
  • The ABC comedies returned for the first time in three weeks and took hits across the board; The Goldbergs (1.0) and Single Parents (0.7) lost one tenth, while Schooled (0.8) and Modern Family (1.0) were down two. At 10/9c, Whiskey Cavalier (0.5) upticked from last week, but was still down from three weeks ago when it last had an original lead-in.
  • CBS' Survivor (1.4) and The Amazing Race (0.9) were also on the downtick, while SEAL Team (0.7) along with the dramas on Fox (1.1/0.9) and CW (0.2/0.2) were even.

Wednesday, May 1, 2019

Spotted Ratings, Tuesday 4/30/19


FINALS UPDATE: FBI (0.9) and MasterChef Junior (0.8) adjusted up while Bless This Mess (0.6) adjusted down.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • The CBS dramas (1.1/0.8/0.7) returned with a decline for FBI, tying the show for its series low.
  • ABC was up with its first hour of American Housewife (0.9) and The Kids Are Alright (0.7), with Housewife getting up to 0.9 for the first time since February. Black-ish (0.7), Bless This Mess (0.7) and 1969 (0.4) matched last week.
  • NBC was also up at 8/7c with The Village (0.7) and even later in the night with The Voice (0.9) and New Amsterdam (0.8). Fox bucked the trend by declining at 8/7c with MasterChef Junior (0.7) but growing to 0.6 for the first time in a month with Mental Samurai.
  • And the CW featured the return of already-renewed The 100 (0.3) following The Flash (0.5). The 100 was down a tenth from last season's premiere (which was also in late April).

SpotVault - The 100 (CW) - 2019 Ratings





The 100
Tuesdays, 9/8c, CW







SpotVault - The Red Line (CBS) - Spring 2019 Ratings



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