Tuesday, April 30, 2013

Spotted Ratings, Monday 4/29/13


WHAT MATTERS:
  • Season finale night on Fox went pretty well with Bones up a tick and The Following up three. Both shows hit their best numbers since The Voice returns. Bones was up from last year's finale, and particularly for The Following, these last two weeks were a positive finish for a show that had previously been deteriorating.
  • Meanwhile, it was a soft Monday on CBS and NBC, which will probably welcome the diminished competition from Fox in future weeks. Hawaii Five-0 hit another new low point, Revolution dropped yet another two tenths after finals, and The Voice ended up down 12% even with a generous finals uptick. CBS at least saw a bit of a rally for the troubled 9:00 hour.

FULL TABLE:

InfoShowTimeslotTrue2
Viewers A18-49 Last LeLa Rank y2yTLa Ty2y
Dancing with the Stars Mon 13.45 2.1 +0%n/a 5/7 -25% +0% -23% 2.29
Castle 10.53 2.0 -13%+0% 10/22 -13% -13% -13% 2.22
How I Met Your Mother 7.06 2.7 +0%n/a 19/21 -18% +108% -18% 2.84
Rules of Engagement 6.21 2.1 +31%+108% 8/11 -22% +31% -42% 2.12
2 Broke Girls 7.85 2.6 +8%+0% 21/22 -28% +73% -32% 2.75
Mike and Molly 8.14 2.4 +9%+8% 18/20 -25% +85% -25% 2.53
Hawaii Five-0 7.76 1.7 -6%+9% 21/21 -32% +42% -32% 1.84
The Voice Mon 12.67 4.3 -12%n/a 6/6 +23% -12% +21% 4.42
Revolution 5.49 1.8 -10%-12% 15/15 n/a -10% +3% 1.61
Bones 7.36 2.1 +5%n/a 11/24 +11% +5% +8% 2.27
The Following 7.82 2.7 +13%+5% 7/15 n/a +13% +26% 2.91
Oh Sit! 0.73 0.3 +0%n/a 2/3 n/a +0% -50% 0.34
90210 0.55 0.3 +0%+0% 13/20 -50% +0% -54% 0.38

KEY (click to expand)
Viewers - The total number of viewers (age 2+, in millions) that watched the program.
A18-49 - Adults 18-49 rating. Percentage of US TV-owning adults 18-49 watching the program.
Last - A18-49 percent difference from previous episode.
LeLa - A18-49 percent difference between the show's lead-in and its lead-in for the previous episode.
Rank - The A18-49 rating's rank among the show's episodes that have aired so far this season.
y2y - The show's A18-49 rating compared to its rating a year ago.
TLa - The show's A18-49 rating compared to the network's rating in the timeslot one week ago.
Ty2y - The show's A18-49 rating compared to the network's rating in the timeslot one year ago.
True2 - The second edition of True Strength, a metric that adjusts the A18-49 rating for overall viewing levels, competition and lead-in. PRELIMINARY CALCULATION. For finals, see SpotVault.

(R) - Repeat.

Much more detail on these numbers at the New Daily Spotted Ratings page.

More Spotted Ratings in the Index.

7 comments:

Spot said...

Will The Following be able to snatch a 125 A18-49+ and end up as a hit?

Spot said...

Adjusting up to 2.7 in finals helps, but it's going to be very close. League average (which was 2.120 at the end of last week) will need to tick down to 2.109 or lower. It only dropped seven thousandths in the last 3.5 weeks last year (from 2.369 to 2.362). So May sweeps will have to go worse this year than last.

Spot said...

On one hand I want the league average to drop so The Following can be labelled as a hit, but on the other hand I don't want it to because that would mean poor performances from several shows. Also, do you think NBC has a shot at winning May sweeps?

Spot said...

By the way, one episode of TBBT had over a 300 "episode 18-49+", scoring a 6.4, above the necessary 6.36.

Spot said...

If the league average drops all the way to 2.10, it only takes about a 3.14 average for big hit. But Grey's would still have to average more than a 3.4 over the last three. Either one of those is unlikely, much less both. So yes, basically no chance.

Spot said...

Can Survivor: Caramoan get to 125?

Spot said...

Needs to average 2.8 the rest of the way (or 2.7 with a little league average help)

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