Monday, February 24, 2014

The Question, Monday 2/24/14: Will The Voice and The Blacklist Sing Even Louder This Spring?


Forget February 3. February 24 is 2014's real "Super Monday," as NBC brings back the biggest three-hour entertainment lineup on TV the day after the Winter Olympics. Though The Voice sagged a bit late in its fall season, that's not exactly anything new for that show, and those ever-appealing blind auditions should bring viewers back to the sets as they always do. And top new drama The Blacklist, coming off a respectable trio of January episodes with much weaker lead-ins, will hope to recapture some post-Voice magic. Will The Voice and The Blacklist sing even louder this spring? That's The Question for Monday, February 24, 2014.


The Voice Last Season/Last Spring The Blacklist This Season
5.1 (fall premiere)
4.02 (fall Monday average)
3.3/4.0 (fall Mon/Tue finales)

4.8 (spring 2013 premiere)
4.14 (spring 2013 Mon average)
3.7/4.4 (spring 2013 Mon/Tue finales)
3.8 (premiere, 5.6 last 1/2hr Voice)
3.14 (average w/Voice lead-in)
3.2 (fall finale, 3.4 last 1/2hr Voice)

2.43 (average w/o Voice, 1/13-1/27)

I think The Voice comes in at or just shy of last spring's premiere rating. Olympics promotion will keep it from going much lower than that. And since it stayed around 3.0 even with the lower late-season Voice lead-in, a spike back to low 3's should be a realistic goal for The Blacklist.

The Voice PLUS The Blacklist Over/Under: 7.95.

No entries accepted after 6:00am ET the morning after the date in the headline. If editing your pick, please leave a separate comment.

24 comments:

Spot said...

The Voice-4.6
The Blacklist-3.7
Total-8.3
OVER

Spot said...

The Voice 4.6
The Blacklist 3.0


7.6, so under.

Spot said...

Under, think this one's going to come in at about 7.8.

Spot said...

The Voice - 4.7
The Blacklist - 3.1


7.8, so under.

Spot said...

Over.
Tough one, again. I say Olympics promotion pushes it just over the line, like 4.8 + 3.3. Hopefully TV advertising isn't overrated.

Spot said...

The Voice-4.7
The Blacklist-3.4


8.1. Over.

Spot said...

Under.

Spot said...

Over.
Mainly just cuz I like them.

Spot said...

The Voice - 4.6
The Blacklist - 3.1


7.7.Under

Spot said...

Under

Spot said...

Over

Spot said...

Voice- 4.3
Blacklist- 2.8


7.1- UNDER

Spot said...

UNDER


I too think Voice will hold with last Spring's result, 4.8. Those premieres do well still, though the hiatus is shorter than ever before, but earlier than DST.


So can Blacklist get a 3.2? It only has done so three times after Voice. A 3.0 is more probable.


I think it's more likely that one or both of these underachieving than both overachieving to get to that 8.0 total.

Spot said...

Under.

Spot said...

I think both will have to overachieve to hit your number. Which is certainly possible, but ultimately unlikely. Under

Spot said...

Over

Spot said...

I think that line's just a touch high, even citing a spike for The Blacklist from the fall finale. Under.

Spot said...

Under

Spot said...

Under. The Voice will underperform slightly IMO.

Spot said...

The Voice: 4.5
Blacklist: 3.5


Just barely Over.

Spot said...

Under.

Spot said...

Over

Spot said...

The Voice with a 4.6, Blacklist with a 3.4

Spot said...

Olympics promotion not what it was meant to be in the end. I think that holds this pair down.

Under. But not by much.

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