Friday, September 23, 2016

Spotted Ratings, Thursday 9/22/16


FINALS UPDATE: Grey's Anatomy (2.5) and Thursday Night Football (6.1) and Superstore (1.5) and The Good Place (1.4) adjusted up while Notorious (1.1) and The Flash (R) (0.2) and Supernatural (R) (0.2) adjusted down.

RENEWOLOGY:
  • The model became more pessimistic along with the ratings on night four of the season, opening Rosewood (28%) and Notorious (25%) as big long-shots to be renewed. (These numbers may still be too high, though.) Subjectively, Pitch actually could be a bit low at 41%, but this formula doesn't weigh lead-ins as heavily as our eyes do sometimes.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • After three solid days to open the new season, Premiere Thursday brought plenty of red meat for the broadcast TV schadenfreude crowd. For ABC Thursday, usually the night's defining scripted lineup, it was immediately clear that Scandal is missed. Grey's Anatomy (2.4) was still pretty close to its usual self, down just four tenths from last year's premiere. But its lead-out Notorious (1.2) was a very, very pale imitation of Scandal even on premiere night with measly 50% retention. How to Get Away with Murder (1.4) managed to perk up at 10/9c, but was still at barely half of last year's 2.6 premiere!
  • NBC's Thursday revamp may have some potential for long-term improvement, but it was far from a breakout and demonstrated the difficulty of starting over on the night. Sophomores Superstore (1.4) and Chicago Med (1.4) both returned toward the low the end of their season one raw numbers. Superstore's lead-out The Good Place (1.3) had good retention, while The Blacklist (1.3) made a fair transition to the 10/9c hour.
  • And Fox had a rough start to its latest remake of Thursday night, as sophomore Rosewood (0.7) opened even lower than all of its without-Empire episodes from last season, and provided the year's first fractional scripted result by a wide margin. New drama Pitch (1.1) built by a lot on its lead-in, and can safely be called a better start than Notorious in context, but the concept clearly didn't bring in interest on a wide scale.
  • CBS had its second week of Thursday Night Football; more after finals.
FULL TABLE (FINALS):

ShowTimeslotRenewology
Name
A18-49
Last
y2y
TLa
Ty2y
R%
Last
True
Last
Grey's Anatomy2.5
-11%
+317%
-11%
100%2.30
Notorious1.1
+57%
-67%
18%0.97
How to Get Away with Murder1.4
-46%
+180%
-46%
94%1.55
ABC:
+178%
-43%
Thursday Night Football Pregame2.7
+0.5
+23%
+23%
1.95+0.36
Thursday Night Football6.1
+0.7
+2%
+13%
+2%
4.42+0.32
CBS:
+14%
+3%
Superstore1.5
-1.5
+87%
-25%
96%-4%1.43-0.79
The Good Place1.4
-0.9
+75%
-30%
78%-12%1.30-0.58
Chicago Med1.4
-36%
+75%
-30%
70%1.30
The Blacklist1.3
-28%
+86%
+8%
79%1.38
NBC:
+80%
-20%
Rosewood0.7
-71%
+17%
0%
23%0.85
Pitch1.1
+175%
+57%
38%1.16
Fox:
+80%
+29%
The Flash (R)0.2
-33%
-50%
0.27
Supernatural (R)0.2
0%
-33%
0.26
CW:
-20%
-43%
All:
+39%
-12%
Thursday Night Football (NFLN only)1.47
+0.01
+5%
Better Things0.16
-0.05

The full table can be sorted by clicking any of the category names at the top. Hover over 'Last', 'y2y' and timeslot numbers for more information on the previous episode(s) being compared.


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