Tuesday, September 27, 2016

Spotted Ratings, Sunday 9/25/16


FINALS UPDATE: Once Upon a Time (1.3) and Sunday Night Football (7.6) adjusted up while everything on Fox adjusted down: Family Guy (R) (0.8), Bob's Burgers (1.1), The Simpsons (1.4), Son of Zorn (1.1), Family Guy (1.3) adjusted down.

After these adjustments, it seems even clearer that there is an issue with how a new component in the True formula is counting the sports competition for the Fox shows. In particular, Bob's and Simpsons should clearly be higher, even if Bob's wasn't renewed already. I went ahead and posted this table but I may be doing some kind of emergency fix for this situation. I'll work on this and get into it a bit more in the True formula update article later this week.

WHAT MATTERS:
  • It looks like a rough season is ahead for ABC's Sunday drama approach, and it started with Once Upon a Time (1.2) and Quantico (1.0) each returning to tie their spring finales. However, these were predictably hefty declines from their 1.8/1.9 openers a year ago. In the middle was the return of Secrets and Lies (1.0) after a 16 month hiatus. On a historical-adjusted basis, this was a little worse than its 1.5 premiere from that season, and about on par with the show's 1.3 low point. But it's clear that S&L's late-season heat from spring 2015 is long gone.
  • In the prelims, Fox's animated staples got off to a solid start, with Bob's Burgers (1.3) and The Simpsons (1.6) each preliminarily up a tenth from last year's openers, while Family Guy (1.4) was down just a tenth. But the live action offerings at the bottoms of the hours were less impressive; Son of Zorn (1.2) was 20% below the year-ago Brooklyn Nine-Nine (which had full retention on premiere Sunday a year ago), while The Last Man on Earth (0.9) took a disturbing dip from its year-ago 1.4 opener. These shows could get a bit adjusted due to local NFL overruns (which are probably included in the 1.1 Family Guy (R) at 7:00).
  • On CBS, the national NFL overrun led into 60 Minutes (2.3 from 8:00 to 9:00) and the two-hour premiere of NCIS: Los Angeles on a new night (1.4 from 9:00 to 11:00). These shows actually started at 7:51 and 8:51 on the East Coast, so expect adjustments.
  • NBC had a dominant Sunday Night Football; more after finals.
FULL TABLE (FINALS):

ShowTimeslotRenewology
Name
A18-49
Last
y2y
TLa
Ty2y
R%
Last
True
Last
Once Upon a Time (R)0.6
-33%
-14%
0.73
Once Upon a Time1.3
-28%
-54%
-28%
83%1.31
Secrets and Lies1.0
-64%
-29%
51%1.03
Quantico1.0
-47%
-64%
-47%
83%1.30
ABC:
-58%
-33%
NFL Overrun5.3
-0.6
-32%
-10%
-32%
3.99-0.19
60 Minutes2.6
-10%
0%
-10%
1.38
NCIS: Los Angeles1.5
+25%
-29%
-28%
67%1.28
MacGyver (R)1.0
+43%
-44%
1.31
CBS:
-13%
-26%
Football Night in America3.1
-0.1
-3%
-21%
1.89-0.29
Sunday Night Football7.6
-0.6
-6%
-7%
-6%
5.06-0.67
NBC:
-7%
-14%
Family Guy (R)0.8
+100%
0%
0.94
Bob's Burgers1.1
-8%
+57%
-8%
55%0.96
The Simpsons1.4
-7%
+100%
-7%
82%1.18
Son of Zorn1.1
-1.3
+57%
-27%
59%-10%0.99-0.27
Family Guy1.3
-13%
+62%
-13%
87%1.27
The Last Man on Earth0.9
-36%
+80%
-36%
50%0.93
Fox:
+74%
-16%
Fear the Walking Dead1.48
-0.07
Power0.91
+0.01
+38%
Ballers0.56
+0.06
-21%
The Strain0.40
0.00
-30%
Survivor's Remorse0.32
-0.11
+300%
Motive0.17
-0.01
Masters of Sex0.09
0.00
-44%

The full table can be sorted by clicking any of the category names at the top. Hover over 'Last', 'y2y' and timeslot numbers for more information on the previous episode(s) being compared.


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