Sunday, April 6, 2014

The Question, Sunday 4/6/14: Will Game of Thrones Assume the Drama Throne?


The Walking Dead may have ended last week. But cable's lock on the #1 Sunday program seems almost certain to continue, because HBO's Game of Thrones is back in the mix. It's another genre drama that's been on the rise since its debut, and with a strong season it could well join TWD in regularly beating every broadcast drama. Will Game of Thrones assume the drama throne? That's The Question for Sunday, April 6, 2014.




Game of Thrones Last Season
2.4 (premiere, 4/1/12, +20% y2y)
2.62 (average, +36% y2y)
2.9 (finale, 6/3/12, +30% y2y)

The only thing really working against this show is that it's on HBO, a premium channel to which less than a third of US households subscribe. Does that limit its Live+SD ratings growth to some degree? I think it does. But the show still seems to be picking up steam in pop culture, including another series high to end last season. So I believe it has enough heat to get past last year's 2.9 high pretty easily. Keep in mind last year's premiere faced the finale of The Walking Dead, and TWD is out of the mix this year, the year-to-year comparisons vs. the 2.4 premiere should be more favorable than the season as a whole.

Over/Under: 3.35.

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14 comments:

Spot said...

Season 3 premiere earned a 2.39, which is ~108% of season 2 finale (2.22).


Season 3 finale earned a 2.89, following the same pattern, GOT premieres to a 3.12 today, so under.

Spot said...

Over!

Spot said...

Over

Spot said...

Over.
Just because it seems to me they're promoting hell out of it.

Spot said...

Over.

Spot said...

Under, reinforced by it being the minority position.

I half-expect to be wrong, though.

Spot said...

Under (3.2)

Spot said...

Over. Been hearing about it non-stop and if I'm wrong, it won't be the same mistake as with TWD last week.

Spot said...

Over

Spot said...

Over. I'm gonna bet on optimism, and that it can grow by that big chunk w/out Walking Dead in the slot this year.

Spot said...

Under. 3.2

Spot said...

Under

Spot said...

over

Spot said...

I don't know why I keep doing this to myself, but Under at 3.2.

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