Monday, January 25, 2016

Best Case/Worst Case: Lucifer

Best Case/Worst Case lays out possible scenarios for broadcast primetime TV seasons yet to premiere. Here's what's premiering tonight!

Lucifer (NEW!)

Timeslot OccupantsMinority Report
Avg Orig Avg
0.66 0.71 0.71 0.56

In a Nutshell: Fox hopes that The X-Files will deliver a nice lead-in to the newbie Lucifer tonight. It follows the devil as he leaves hell and starts helping the LAPD solve crimes.

Best Case: This show seems to have a good sense of humor, and it should be a nice match with The X-Files. Much like with Sleepy Hollow a couple years ago, it's based on something everyone has heard of. If X is going to be huge, as seems possible based on its early Sunday ratings, this can do solid retention and thus be dragged to relative hugeness. 2.25 and a renew.

Worst Case: Really? Another police-procedural-with-an-outside-consultant-and-a-genre-twist? Fox banked big on about a hundred of these shows, and at this point the verdict is decidedly in. This is a Minority Report-level disaster, except it doesn't have a direct movie connection and it's being protested by Christian groups. 0.71.

Likeliest: I mean, this premise is one of the stupidest things I've ever heard of, but it at least seems to have a little more personality than Second Chance. And the timeslot is gonna be a lot more favorable than what Minority Report got in the fall; The X-Files looks like it'll be an upgrade on Gotham, and there's no Voice (for now) and no football. I think it gets more initial sampling than Second Chance or Minority Report, but drops big and ultimately heads for the dustbin alongside the other genrecedruals. 1.05.

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