Thursday, October 6, 2016

Spotted Ratings, Wednesday 10/5/16


FINALS UPDATE: Survivor (1.9) and Law and Order: SVU (1.4) and Chicago PD (1.4) and Empire (3.4) adjusted up while Black-ish (1.5) adjusted down.

RENEWOLOGY:
  • Speechless was definitely the winner of the night, rising to 92%, and the model's early Blindspot optimism continues to be validated. The CBS and NBC veterans all dropped a lot more than expected this week, and Criminal Minds in particular does not look like a complete lock based on this point. Code Black (33%) dropped less in True thanks to its lead-in's collapse, but it's still on the wrong side of the bubble. Renewology is down on Frequency (31%); while it had a higher True than the No Tomorrow premiere, the studio factor makes its chances lower.
WHAT MATTERS:
  • Premiere week continued on the CW with the return of Arrow (0.7) and the disappointing debut of new drama Frequency (0.4). For Arrow, it seemed like the show took a step down about midway through last season, and there's certainly no sign of a recovery with this return. Frequency can maybe make the argument this is better than No Tomorrow's 0.5 with a much bigger lead-in. But even if it is, it's not by much, and likely not by enough to put it ahead of NT after accounting for the network's CBS Studios bias. The network's hopes for improvement this season now pretty much hinge on Supergirl, which premieres on Monday.
  • Week three on ABC saw a strong third outing for Speechless (1.8), which was steady to match its downticking The Goldbergs (1.8) lead-in. The slippage continued at 10/9c for Designated Survivor (1.6), but it's still nothing alarming thus far. And in the 9/8c hour, Modern Family (2.2) preliminarily edged down, but Black-ish (1.6) matched last week.
  • It was not a good week for either party in the CBS vs. NBC crime drama duels, as cast-overhauled Criminal Minds (1.4) completely fell off a cliff in week two and brought Code Black (1.0) down with it. (Survivor (1.8) also had a rather sizable drop at 8/7c.) Meanwhile, Law and Order: SVU (1.3) and Chicago PD (1.3) took irregularly large week three drops at the same time. All of this seemingly continues to brighten the prospects for NBC's lead-off drama Blindspot, which managed yet another 1.3 at 8/7c.
  • Fox's Empire (3.3) was down a few more tenths in its third week, and this time it brought Lethal Weapon (1.7) with it. Still, Weapon continues to compare quite favorably with the year-ago Rosewood (which had a 1.8 rating with a 5.1 lead-out).
FULL TABLE (FINALS):

ShowTimeslotRenewology
Name
A18-49
Last
y2y
TLa
Ty2y
R%
Last
True
Last
The Goldbergs1.8
-0.1
-14%
-5%
-10%
100%+0%1.66-0.10
Speechless1.8
0.0
0%
-14%
92%+7%1.45-0.00
Modern Family2.2
-0.1
-19%
-4%
-19%
100%+0%1.95-0.15
Black-ish1.5
-0.1
-21%
-6%
-21%
96%0%1.31-0.10
Designated Survivor1.6
-0.2
-11%
+60%
96%+0%1.56-0.17
ABC:
-6%
-2%
Survivor Fall1.9
-0.2
-5%
-10%
-5%
1.79-0.12
Criminal Minds1.4
-0.5
-18%
-26%
-18%
77%-12%1.33-0.38
Code Black1.0
-0.2
-17%
-17%
-17%
34%-3%1.01-0.13
CBS:
-17%
-12%
Blindspot1.3
0.0
-46%
0%
+18%
89%+2%1.29-0.01
Law and Order: SVU1.4
-0.2
-13%
-13%
-13%
90%-4%1.37-0.22
Chicago PD1.4
-0.1
-7%
-7%
-7%
91%+0%1.37-0.08
NBC:
-7%
-2%
Lethal Weapon1.7
-0.3
-15%
-6%
95%-2%1.56-0.24
Empire3.4
-0.3
-33%
-8%
-33%
100%+0%3.00-0.27
Fox:
-11%
-26%
Arrow0.7
-36%
+133%
-36%
99%0.68
Frequency0.4
+14%
-56%
32%0.42
CW:
+69%
-45%
All:
-7%
-17%
American Horror Story1.43
-0.26
-11%
Queen Sugar0.40
-0.05
You're the Worst0.09
0.00
+12%

The full table can be sorted by clicking any of the category names at the top. Hover over 'Last', 'y2y' and timeslot numbers for more information on the previous episode(s) being compared.


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