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The Latest
Monday, October 17, 2016
Fox Daily Renewology for 2016-17
Note: You are viewing the Javascript-disabled version of this page, which updates less frequently. You may see more timely info on a Javascript-enabled browser.
This is a look at
Renewology
for all Fox scripted series in 2016-17, updating every day as new ratings come in. See below the table for an explanation of the numbers.
These numbers are up to date through
Saturday, October 15
. (Includes preliminary broadcast ratings for Friday, October 14 and Saturday, October 15.)
Name
R%
True
Proj
Target
Collapse
Resilient
Aired
Empire
100%
3.04
3.03
0.92
2.36
3.69
4
Family Guy
98%
1.51
1.45
0.84
1.04
1.86
2
The Simpsons
97%
1.34
1.34
0.84
1.01
1.67
3
Lethal Weapon
97%
1.64
1.47
0.92
1.09
1.85
4
New Girl
91%
1.13
1.13
0.84
0.88
1.39
4
Brooklyn Nine-Nine
88%
1.06
1.07
0.84
0.86
1.27
4
Gotham
86%
1.16
1.16
0.92
0.90
1.43
4
Bob's Burgers
83%
1.10
1.06
0.84
0.76
1.36
2
Son of Zorn
76%
1.08
1.00
0.84
0.71
1.28
3
The Last Man on Earth
66%
0.97
0.93
0.84
0.67
1.19
2
Lucifer
64%
1.02
0.99
0.92
0.80
1.19
3
Rosewood
51%
0.92
0.92
0.92
0.71
1.13
4
Pitch
40%
0.97
0.87
0.92
0.65
1.09
4
The Exorcist
34%
0.93
0.83
0.92
0.62
1.05
4
Scream Queens
19%
0.77
0.76
0.92
0.60
0.91
3
R%
- The renewal forecast based on the Renewology formula.
See here for many details on how it comes together.
True
- The show's rolling average in True, this site's timeslot-adjusted adults 18-49 rating. It is an average of
only the last one-third of the total episodes aired this season, rounded up
. This rolling average also used to make up the True Power Rankings from past seasons.
Proj
- A mean projection of where the True averages will end up in the future. These projections, rather than the raw True average, are what go into the Renewology formula.
Target
- The network/category-specific True average at which Renewology expects the R% to be exactly 50. (In other words, this is the formula's interpretation of the 'bubble.')
See here for much more detail on how these targets are derived.
Please note that on this page, every single R% is calculated with the most recent version of the target. That explains why some R% are different from what you see for the most recent episode in the SpotVault.
Collapse/Resilient
- The 5th and 95th percentile of the future True projections. The final True average should end up somewhere between Collapse and Resilient 90% of the time.
Aired
- How many episodes of the series have aired this season. This number is very important in turning the raw True average into the projection, because shows early in their orders (especially new shows) are expected to drop a lot.
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