Thursday, December 6, 2012

The True Top 25, Week Ending 12/2/12 (2012-13 Week Ten)

Sunday Night Football won this relatively full-strength week's True Top 25 by a decent margin. The Big Bang Theory was the top entertainment program, holding off Modern Family. Revolution was the only new show this week with Elementary posting a weak result, and nobody from Friday/Saturday sniffed the list.

An important note is that this is the last week before the "fall hype" adjustment kicks in on True2 scores, so there will be some funny-looking week-to-week upticks in these numbers next week. However, most of these shows are currently getting lower True2 scores than they were at the beginning of the season, so the December numbers shouldn't go well above everything before. Next summer I may work on smoothing the transition out somewhat so there isn't a tendency for the True2 scores to drop in November and then abruptly get uplifted in December.

Rank Name True2 A18-49 ARank
1Sunday Night Football5.707.41
2The Big Bang Theory4.405.52
3Modern Family4.064.73
4The Voice Mon3.474.24
5The Voice Tue3.233.87
62 Broke Girls3.204.15
8Mike and Molly3.063.68
9Two and a Half Men3.044.06
10Grey's Anatomy2.953.113
11The X Factor Wed2.672.916
12A Charlie Brown Christmas2.642.916
13Dancing with the Stars Tue2.583.015
14Criminal Minds2.562.916
15The Big Bang Theory (R)2.513.212
16The X Factor Thu2.492.722
18Saturday Night Live Christmas2.452.722
19How I Met Your Mother2.443.310
20Person of Interest2.322.916
22Once Upon a Time2.203.113
24Dancing with the Stars Mon2.192.722
25NCIS: Los Angeles2.142.916

Missing the True Top 25 but in the A18-49 list: The Amazing Race (t-#22 in A18-49, #31 in True2) and 60 Minutes (t-#10 in A18-49, #53 in True2).

For more on the True Top 25, click to expand.
I created the True Strength number so I could have an objective way of comparing shows across vastly different situations. One of the most fun comparisons to be made is among the biggest shows on TV. What's really the strongest show in a vacuum? Hence my new weekly feature the True Top 25. This will compare shows while accounting for everything so we can see who Truly comes out on top. I include both the A18-49 and the weekly ranking in A18-49 so you can see the changes within the rankings that True Strength makes.

The A18-49 rankings aren't based on Nielsen's "official" broadcast top 25. They're derived from my own spreadsheet just using the big-five networks, so none of the big players on Univision are included. I've also weeded out some weird programming like NFL overruns and sports pre-game shows. Most of that stuff airs largely out of primetime or is strangely split apart, so I don't want to muddle the list with that.

As mentioned on the sports SpotVault pages, True Strengths for sporting events are based on the primetime portion only. Perhaps in future editions I'll try to get the primetime portion only A18-49 into the A18-49 rankings so it'll be a totally fair comparison. 

Here's last week's True Top 25!

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