tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post6875814721578068824..comments2023-09-30T09:11:03.048-04:00Comments on SpottedRatings.com: A18-49+ Update: The Network Race in 2013-14Spothttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comBlogger12125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-82862617296940137842014-06-03T18:03:11.473-04:002014-06-03T18:03:11.473-04:00By the way, next year predictions:
CBS- 103
NBC-...By the way, next year predictions:<br /><br /><br />CBS- 103<br />NBC- 100<br />ABC- 97<br /><br />FOX - 92<br />CW - 32Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-77985929837157264982014-06-03T17:58:08.618-04:002014-06-03T17:58:08.618-04:00Bob only deserves credit for Blacklist and the Chi...Bob only deserves credit for Blacklist and the Chicago franchise.<br /><br /><br />NBC thursdays were one of the only days where they used to be competitve, now it's laughable. NBC has had zero comedies that can be called at least solid since 2010.<br /><br /><br />He needs to build depth otherwise we'll see a repeat of FOX's current situation. Early summer ratings are at least a signal that casual viewers are starting to come back to the network which is good and proves that Voice has repeat the Idol effect of bringing the other shows up.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-296179945967563062014-06-03T13:33:32.351-04:002014-06-03T13:33:32.351-04:00Next season predictions: CBS 108 ; NBC 98; ABC 97;...Next season predictions: CBS 108 ; NBC 98; ABC 97; Fox 93 ; CW 32.<br /><br />NBC is most interesting. Their fall schedule is a mess. They'll improve only Thu 8 PM (but that's a lateral move, Tuesday should be about equally weaker with those low-rated comedies now there), and Fri 10 PM (irrelevant for A18-49+, but Constantine is much more expensive than Dracula was). Other returning series should go down for at least average league drop, because NBC left them without The Voice / The Blacklist help, and decided to support DOA shows instead. Based on that, I'd expect them to give back all they gained this season... but I see a gleam of hope in midseason. Not Thursday. Their revamped Thursday will go up something like 50% (to 1.5 in midseason 2015), but almost same amount they'll lose at Monday (and could lose even entire that half of point in case State of Affairs disappoints). But A. D. fueled Sunday should cut loses to half, I really can see them doing good at Sun.<br /><br />ABC - Black-ish should improve on Super Fun Night, and new Shonda show should improve a lot on OUATW. But I cannot see any other gains. In fact, I see all returning shows down for 10+% (maybe excluding Scandal and Goldbergs, but especially including Grey's), and other newbies doesn't look great, not at all. I think ABC will maintain roughly the same A18-49+. Which is pathetic, being down for average league drop compared to season 2013-14 when they had one of the weakest individual network rookie classes in the history of broadcast.<br /><br />CBS is similar to ABC, there's little doubt Mon 10 PM and Wed 10 PM will improve by more than a half of rating point. But that's it. I don't see any of those aging shows suddenly going up, and, except for Stalker, I can't see any new show being game changer (but I'll allow some could turn out to be solid players in a way POI or Elementary are). With many timeslots down in A18-49 next season, but some flat, and two mentioned slots significantly improved, I can see them down high single digits in A18-49, which would actually mean they're up in A18-49+.<br /><br />Fox - I have no idea, Fox is a wild card with bunch of new shows. Idol will drop again, sure, only question is if it will be at current pace (read: collapsing), or slower. Therefore it's hard to see them going up. But I think it could be offset by multiple new shows improving their timeslots. Not because I have high hopes for those newbies, but because Fox did awful in so many timeslots this season. In other words, I'm not saying they'll dig gold somewhere, I'm merely saying it goes against probability they'll dig turd everywhere again.<br /><br />CW - Flash should do good, but their other new shows look underwhelming, plus most of returning shows had big ratings drop in spring, plus Originals are taking one for the team with move to Monday... another up year seems mission impossible.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-77442813555482998862014-06-03T12:48:59.805-04:002014-06-03T12:48:59.805-04:00What? This Spot's post is about "Series r...What? This Spot's post is about "Series ratings". It excludes sports and (I think) specials. Exactly for the reason to remove effect of not-regularly-scheduled and/or very-expensive program distorting overall picture of networks' health.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-31200846093531736332014-06-03T12:25:59.214-04:002014-06-03T12:25:59.214-04:00I agree that excluding The Voice isn't a reaso...I agree that excluding The Voice isn't a reasonable way to measure NBC's strength as a whole. but it still provides a good assessment of Bob Greenblatt's tenure as network head (since he inherited The Voice, which was developed under the previous administration).<br /><br /><br />And, well, not great Bob.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-80782794640963153082014-06-03T10:32:38.844-04:002014-06-03T10:32:38.844-04:00NBC was good to have a good year on the surface be...NBC was good to have a good year on the surface because of sports. And even when you dig deeper into their scripted numbers, that fourth-place ranking obscures some advancement: The Blacklist sustained its strength throughout the season, Chicago Fire took a big step up thanks to its post-Voice Fall exposure, and SVU got a second wind in one of the toughest timeslots in the week. Yes, Thursday is still a disaster and their efforts on Sundays post-football didn't take off. Still, it's better than expected.<br /><br />Fox, on the other hand...yikes. Sleepy Hollow has to feel really good getting a second season and exiting the canvas in January before the network took this brutal turn. It's younger-skewing shows just can't help getting whammied by DST, Idol didn't stop the bleeding, the network went off the map on Fridays in the second-half of the season, and the second-tier cartoons got shoved to a punishing hour for Seth McFarland's passion project. It's not impossible for a network up against a wall to have a breakout season (see: ABC's dream 2004-2005 season) but it doesn't feel like that'll happen for Fox this time.<br /><br />CBS continues to be the tortoise to the Big Three's hares in the season-long race, but that dynamic figures to change somewhat next season with Thursday Night Football. The Big Bang Theory will at least super-charge the 8:00 hour on Mondays, then as the season goes on there will be weeks when the Eye has Thursdays to itself since football means there's 5 less weeks of reruns.<br /><br />It's an odd statement to make, but ABC took advantage of the Winter Olympics to try its split-season scheduling and essentially played dead against the event. It definitely worked, and they probably could have gained another point had Scandal not had an abbreviated season. Now they just need to better block schedule its sitcoms to create three clear block runs instead of sprinkling new eps post-February.<br /><br />Had The CW lost any ground this season, I would have argued to start turning off the lights. But Tuesday was an unqualified success on a year-to-year basis, and none of its new shows were out-and-out megabombs a la Cult or Emily Owens MD.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-71010460152044844222014-06-03T08:33:10.569-04:002014-06-03T08:33:10.569-04:00I agree on the last point, which is why I only wri...I agree on the last point, which is why I only write at length on this stuff like 2-3 times per year. (And much of that is motivated by the flaws in other coverage.) I think there's some passing interest in the bigger picture, but I can't imagine anyone really cares who wins on a daily/weekly basis.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-85344824342030134542014-06-03T05:41:26.247-04:002014-06-03T05:41:26.247-04:00Is the parity because almost every show rates betw...Is the parity because almost every show rates between 1.5 and 2.5 ?<br />What's a realistic estimate of the number of people outside the entertainment industry that actually care about network ratings rankings? A thousand?Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-21925311796707724472014-06-03T01:24:54.431-04:002014-06-03T01:24:54.431-04:00I agree with anyone but FOX. No Superbowl this yea...I agree with anyone but FOX. No Superbowl this year. No Championship game. CBS gets Championship game and NBC gets Superbowl. Football is pushing it for like CBS, NBC, ABC, FOX for meSpothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-14540553951455765212014-06-03T01:19:24.165-04:002014-06-03T01:19:24.165-04:00FOX has nothing really going for them. Family Guy ...FOX has nothing really going for them. Family Guy was the only full season show they had to never fall below a 2 this season. In contrast CBS has HIMYM, 2 Broke Girls, Survivor (Minus Reunions), Criminal Minds, The Big Bang Theory, NCIS, and NCIS: LA. NBC has The Voice, Voice Results, and The Blacklist. ABC has Modern Family, Grey's Anatomy, and Scandal. <br />.<br />In conclusion, total hours each network has always over a 2<br />CBS: 5.5 <br />NBC: 4.0<br />ABC: 2.0<br />FOX: .5Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-26031939612011045522014-06-02T16:38:30.720-04:002014-06-02T16:38:30.720-04:002014-15 Predictions:
CBS- 104
FOX- 101
NBC- 100
...2014-15 Predictions:<br /><br /><br />CBS- 104<br />FOX- 101<br />NBC- 100<br />ABC- 95<br /><br /><br />I think it could easily go any of four ways next year.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-72282050319731066242014-06-02T16:24:49.311-04:002014-06-02T16:24:49.311-04:00I've been saying for a while that NBC is resem...I've been saying for a while that NBC is resembling a weaker version of imperial-era FOX, racking up the ratings points with sports and singing whilst quietly building a drama framework elsewhere. NBC's comedies are still a dumpster fire of such huge proportions that there was a *ratings* case for #sixseasonsandamovie, but FOX live-action comedy didn't exactly contribute to their dominant late-oughts either. And post-imperial FOX may have essentially nothing outside of football worth anything ratings-wise - especially if their desperate straight-to-series drama orders are anything like NBC's from a few years back and Utopia is the disaster that the behind-the-scenes gossip implies it is. (I'm pretty sure at least one of those will come to pass, too. Probably the Utopia crash.)<br /><br /><br />ABC's problem, meanwhile, is that when they have struck out, they've struck out *spectacularly*. The trail of destruction in the Tuesday 10pm slot is staggering to behold, in addition to which you can add Wonderland in the Thursday zero hour (what if Grey's loses its pulse there?!?) and The Assets, which managed to 'top' the lot for ratings ineptitude. But they're way clear of anyone bar CBS in scripted originals *with* those megabombs, and with CBS messing with success for TNF and apparently facing a third consecutive year where half of their pilot season came up empty (comedies in 2012, dramas in 2013, comedies in 2014), I think ABC might even win next season in scripted shows. It's clearly reliant on the whole of the Shonda block working from top to bottom, and on CBS regressing, but again, I'd be surprised to see *neither* of those things happening.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.com