tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post6102687137847227056..comments2023-09-30T09:11:03.048-04:00Comments on SpottedRatings.com: The Question, Wednesday 2/26/14: Does Mixology Have the Right Post-Modern Family Mix?Spothttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comBlogger19125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-80542604465983319012014-02-26T23:14:14.315-05:002014-02-26T23:14:14.315-05:00Over. It's easy to be a seller on ABC, but I c...Over. It's easy to be a seller on ABC, but I can't see Mixology premiere a point lower than How to Live or Don't Trust the B.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-87596194906550514332014-02-26T20:08:02.565-05:002014-02-26T20:08:02.565-05:00Under. 1.8Under. 1.8Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-43655351768992080582014-02-26T19:42:15.178-05:002014-02-26T19:42:15.178-05:00Even w/ this apocalyptically low (by timeslot stan...Even w/ this apocalyptically low (by timeslot standards) line, I don't see any reason why Mixology doesn't demonstrate the ultimate fecklessness of the Modern Family "lead-in" and immediately crater to "pull me now" numbers. Under.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-72314804463739462002014-02-26T18:31:49.770-05:002014-02-26T18:31:49.770-05:00It'll need sub-Neighbors-level retention of a ...It'll need sub-Neighbors-level retention of a much lower Modern Family to miss this one.<br /><br />But the lights have been off at ABC for weeks, so I think it actually pulls that off! Under!Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-85515255930804148322014-02-26T18:03:53.972-05:002014-02-26T18:03:53.972-05:00Over.
Betting on a 3.3 for MF and a 70% retentio...Over.<br /><br /><br />Betting on a 3.3 for MF and a 70% retention, Mixology premieres to a 2.3.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-69157657412309332562014-02-26T17:24:54.090-05:002014-02-26T17:24:54.090-05:00Over.Over.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-20814196580025664812014-02-26T16:51:30.816-05:002014-02-26T16:51:30.816-05:00I expect 50% retention. So I am guessing under. Th...I expect 50% retention. So I am guessing under. Though last time I expected 70% rentention of How I Live and Modern Family had previous had a 3.2, but it jumped up to a 4.2. That 2.9 was still around 70%, but made my guess way offSpothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-45183083569360856262014-02-26T16:50:48.419-05:002014-02-26T16:50:48.419-05:00Over.Over.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-16682345423765603442014-02-26T16:27:36.062-05:002014-02-26T16:27:36.062-05:002.5. Over.2.5. Over.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-46706363598629864692014-02-26T16:12:55.364-05:002014-02-26T16:12:55.364-05:00...if How To Live With Your Parents (And Whipping ......if How To Live With Your Parents (And Whipping Cords Will Learn You More Than Ropes Will Ever Do) can get a 2.9, yeah, this can at least come close. OVERSpothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-72820356008500694922014-02-26T15:55:45.065-05:002014-02-26T15:55:45.065-05:00Over. I'd be really surprised the other way.
...Over. I'd be really surprised the other way.<br /><br /><br />Of all of the ModFam leadout premieres, these are the retentions:<br />Cougar Town: 4.2/4.4, 104%<br />Mr. Sunshine (yay): 5.1/3.7, 73% <br />Happy Endings: 3.9/2.8, 72%<br />Neighbors: 5.5/3.2, 58%<br />H2LwyPftRoYL: 4.2/2.9, 69%<br />Apt 23: 4.2/2.9, 69%<br />SFN: 4.2/3.2, 76%<br /><br /><br />Excluding the outliers (Neighbors and CT), that 69-76% retention is remarkably consistent. Even if MF is at its season low (3.2), 69% of that is 2.2, still definitely over.<br /><br /><br />Even if Mixology has the same retention as Neighbors, if MF is at its 2014 average (3.4), 58% of that is 2.0, just barely under the line.<br /><br /><br />An Under answerer would be relying on both a low MF and some really low retention to get down to a 2.0. It sounds awful, but not *that* awful.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-62663772611529374332014-02-26T15:55:41.870-05:002014-02-26T15:55:41.870-05:00I'm going to go away from everyone else and sa...I'm going to go away from everyone else and say UNDER.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-63174252638229099812014-02-26T15:48:21.590-05:002014-02-26T15:48:21.590-05:00Over. Every post-MF sitcom premiered above 2.0, an...Over. Every post-MF sitcom premiered above 2.0, and it would have to fail HARD for that to happen.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-20792121890179847692014-02-26T15:44:41.668-05:002014-02-26T15:44:41.668-05:00Over.
You say: "Every single Modern Family le...Over.<br />You say: "Every single Modern Family lead-out premiere has done pretty well."<br />And then so low line. Where's the catch? If there's one, I don't see it.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-63356827389598187212014-02-26T15:27:04.054-05:002014-02-26T15:27:04.054-05:00I have to say over, which I wasn't expecting t...I have to say over, which I wasn't expecting to, but the line is just to low for me.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-6386234593563929632014-02-26T14:48:45.162-05:002014-02-26T14:48:45.162-05:00OveerOveerSpothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-7251655750409317842014-02-26T14:23:04.855-05:002014-02-26T14:23:04.855-05:00Over with a 2.1Over with a 2.1Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-91344685861479277392014-02-26T14:12:08.847-05:002014-02-26T14:12:08.847-05:00I don't see a new post-MF comedy sinking that ...I don't see a new post-MF comedy sinking that badly right out of the gate. Over on this oneSpothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-26536153215722775732014-02-26T14:04:00.814-05:002014-02-26T14:04:00.814-05:00I'll say slightly over with a 2.2, but this sh...I'll say slightly over with a 2.2, but this show is going to eventually hit the worst post-Modern Family numbers we've ever seen, I think. Wouldn't be surprised if it falls below a 1.4.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.com