tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post3944713429044004374..comments2023-09-30T09:11:03.048-04:00Comments on SpottedRatings.com: CW True Power Rankings, February 2014Spothttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comBlogger5125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-42908574623959489472014-03-01T14:29:18.814-05:002014-03-01T14:29:18.814-05:00My prediction
Comedies
The Big Bang Theory - Will ...My prediction<br />Comedies<br />The Big Bang Theory - Will renew<br />The Millers - Will renew<br />Two and a Half Men - Will renew<br />The Crazy Ones - Will cancel<br />Mom - Will cancel<br />Mike and Molly - Will cancel<br />How I Met Your Mother - Ending<br />We are Men - Cancelled<br /><br /><br /><br /><br />TBBT is doing WAY to good in ratings to cancel, along with The Millers. They will both definitely renew. With HIMYM ending and WAM cancelled, CBS will likely be interested in bringing back TaaHM one more time. I don't see a second season for Mom and TCO, but who knows. Mike and Molly will also likely get pulled this year.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-44445324696173810882014-02-17T16:32:00.728-05:002014-02-17T16:32:00.728-05:00@Spot,
No Star Crossed question?@Spot,<br /><br /><br />No Star Crossed question?Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-78728656807682622222014-02-17T13:01:36.713-05:002014-02-17T13:01:36.713-05:00Of all the networks, I think The CW cares least ab...Of all the networks, I think The CW cares least about the traditional syndication package for its shows. If it did, then why did Nikita only get a 6 episode pickup and end with 73 episodes? The network (and sister studios) are more interested in selling their shows in other venues like online with Hulu or Netflix.<br /><br />With that said, Hart of Dixie is likely to beat out Beauty and the Beast for a Friday slot just by reading the scheduling tea leaves. Dixie is scheduled to finish up its season by May on Friday while Beauty and the Beast will still have a handful of episodes when it goes on hiatus in March. I wouldn't be surprised to see The CW rotate in ANTM, TCD, and HoD in 2014-2015 Fridays.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-26256022243028576702014-02-15T19:42:04.706-05:002014-02-15T19:42:04.706-05:00One more note about Reign renewal: It might put a ...One more note about Reign renewal: It might put a dent into my pet idea of keeping Originals / Supernatural pairing intact. Most likely, it's now race between The 100 and Reign for the last spot on Monday through Thursday schedule (theoretically Star-Crossed too, but...). Like, 4 big + 3 new dramas = only one spot left on Mon-Thu.<br /><br />But if Reign wins that race, then there's problem with compatibility. They would like Originals and TVD to lead into Reign and new soapy drama (Supernatural: Tribes, I assume), that would fit better. Then pairings would be something like:<br />Flash / Supernatural<br />Originals / Reign<br />Arrow / new genre drama<br />Vampire Diaries / new soapy drama<br /><br />They might leave Reign on Thursday, no biggie - TVD didn't launched any hits, so it might be good idea to try new soap leading out of Originals this time. Or put Flash/SPN on Tuesday if they're afraid of Monday Night Football, but that's basically that.<br /><br />However, I would like The 100 wins race. Because of my pet idea, of course. And because it would mean good news for CW if The 100 would be rated even better than solid Reign. Anyway, then Reign would go to Friday, and pairings would be like:<br />Flash / The 100<br />Originals / Supernatural<br />Arrow / new genre drama<br />Vampire Diaries / new soapy drama<br /><br />If The 100 totally flops, they're gonna simply pity renew least bad rated among The Tomorrow People, The Carrie Diaries, and Star-Crossed, and put it to Friday.<br /><br />About why I think it will be 3 new dramas, and not only 2:<br />The CW ordered only 6 pilots this year (2 less than in previous 2 cycles) , and it's logical to expect them picking 4 to series (1 less than in previous 2 seasons). But I think they'll still premiere 3 new dramas in the fall, because health of the netlet is not good, it's just better than it was year or two ago. Look no further from Spot's (correct) analysis showing The Carrie Diaries is still alive. Only a bit, because it needs The Tomorrow People to collapse on Monday, and both Star-Crossed and The 100 to flop - unlikely, but not impossible to happen.<br />Bench would be thin with only "Whose Line" and 1 rookie on it. But that would be OK for them if The 100 would have solid ratings, and 22 episodes renewal based on that. Otherwise, they might pick 5th new show after all. Or order 13 episodes spackle for least bad rated among The Tomorrow People, The Carrie Diaries and Star-Crossed.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-78933911319383312622014-02-14T14:40:15.151-05:002014-02-14T14:40:15.151-05:00Reign renewal didn't surprise me at all. After...Reign renewal didn't surprise me at all. After all, when it returned from hiatus on same 0.8ish W18-34 ratings where it left, I wrote something like "Reign is renewed more than ever." It is mildly surprising they announced it already together with "big 4." I suppose they didn't want to wait their midsesason shows to flop (Star-Crossed is sure bet to bomb, while The 100 might and might not flop), and then people to connect Reign renewal to that. I think their motivation was to point those are two completely separate things, to show us Reign renewal is legit, and not just pity renewed as least of the evils among rest of the pack.<br /><br />As to why Reign renewal is not surprise: show targets W18-34, and has nice 0.82 in that demo. For example, The Tomorrow People targets A18-49, and is currently at 0.62 in that demo, that's 25% gap. Reign is actually between two tiers - its ratings are almost 20% behind 4th strongest CW show, Arrow. But more than 20% ahead of 6th strongest, TTP, and whopping 35% ahead of 7th Hart of Dixie (0.54 W18-34). That's good enough for no-brainer renewal, but unlike for Originals (and Arrow before) 3rd season doesn't look as a lock.<br /><br />Speaking of, I'm seriously worried about Hart of Dixie now. It's down about 30% in A18-49 y2y, but with even worse 40% decline in its target demo W18-34. Is it sure to be renewed for 22-episodes order 4th season because of syndication reasons? Obviously not, or otherwise The CW would give it early renewal too. Is it cancelled? No, maybe studio has some syndication deal in sight, and now CW is simply mulling over if it will be 13 or 22 or whatever episodes order. So they first want to see how well it holds on problematic Friday. But it might be they're actually torn between cancellation and a short order. Because that 0.54 is almost identical to de facto cancelled The Carrie Diaries 0.50 W18-34. And TCD was on Friday, so I'd argue it actually performed better than Dixie. <br /><br />Bottom line, should they consider ratings only, then HoD is deader than disco. But remembering what Pedowitz did in similar situations, I guess it's fate is: somewhere between Nikita's 6 episodes order and Gossip Girl's 11 episodes, and those to air on Friday 8 PM, season and series finale to be in December at latest. But if it gets 13 or more episodes after all ... anything guaranteeing it to air in midseason too, then we'll know syndication gods requested so. Which for now we can't know about it, only insiders can.<br /><br />To The Carrie Diaries. Despite airing on Friday, it's only around tenth behind The Tomorrow People, and even less behind Hart of Dixie, while Star-Crossed should be DOA. If The 100 fails too, then Carrie might be back in contention. And if it gets renewal (it probably would be 13-episodes as a midseason spackle), then TCD not would be the most lucky show ever, but also I'll eat some crow for repeatedly claiming it being dead. I mean, last year both Beauty and the Beast and The Carrie Diaries were incredibly lucky: Gossip Girl was announced as a final season, both Emily Owens and 90210 ratings were bad, and Cult's terrible. In such a situation two grade D+ performers (TCD even maybe C- being in tough timeslot) got green light in by no means good CW season (only success was Arrow, Supernatural simply profited from being moved from Friday). BatB screwed second chance, it's 50% down from already not so great Season 1 ratings. No wonder they'll burn off remaining episodes in summer. TCD is 33% down, but taking in account Friday factor, that's not so awful. Not good either, but it's all about outracing others, and both TTB and HoD are going to less favorable timeslots, while Star-Crossed got awful one. All in all, I must agree with Spot it's not yet completely dead.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.com