tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post3450668784714797887..comments2023-09-30T09:11:03.048-04:00Comments on SpottedRatings.com: CBS True Power Rankings, May 2013Spothttp://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comBlogger8125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-77185800545207570762013-05-04T00:00:30.124-04:002013-05-04T00:00:30.124-04:00If I were CBS, I would go Mother/NEW/Girls/NEW on ...If I were CBS, I would go Mother/NEW/Girls/NEW on Monday and 2 1/2/NEW/BBT/NEW on Thursday, which is pretty close to what you suggested last year. I understand that development cycles vary and that the suicide of Friend Me's creator couldn't have been predicted, but following up one of the best years for comedies with one debut is inexcusable. Now all of their vets are another year older and a little bit weaker (except BBT, of course) and launching a newbie will be that much harder. And CBS needs something new, because as Chris L said, they are definitely going to lose Mother next year and probably 2 1/2 as well. That means that CBS might have only 2 or 3 anchor-worthy comedies by Fall 2014, which is where ABC is right now, and that's not a particularly good place because they are having trouble expanding their comedy reach.<br /><br />On the drama side, I would probably do a lot of shuffling there as well. Some combination of H50, TGW and Mentalist should move to Fridays. It also appears that they are giving up on Sundays, so I would go withSpothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-24253676966479406172013-05-02T23:12:56.022-04:002013-05-02T23:12:56.022-04:00A Wednesday shake-up seems less likely to happen i...A Wednesday shake-up seems less likely to happen in my eyes because of the cascading domino effect it would cause. I think we are a year too early in calling for a change in Survivor's scheduling, so it feels ok as is. Dislodging Criminal Minds feels as likely to happen as moving NCIS. That leaves the least disruptive move being CSI to Fridays and POI to Wednesdays at 10:00. In that case, CBS falls "victim" to concentrating its strongest dramas on one night. Assuming POI would drop an above-average 20% in a 10:00 pm Monday slot, which I consider unlikely, it would still beat Castle and Revolution (at its 2013 numbers).<br /><br /><br />Basically, my logic in moving POI is that CBS Television Studios doesn't produce it. If they did, I think the network would be more inclined to keep it as is to ensure a long first-run life to sell into the syndication afterworld. Not having a back-end piece makes me think CBS could act more dispassionately towards it if the network has a promising development slate; I think that's the reason it got a second go-around for Thursdays at 9:00 this year.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-38719847422105397382013-05-02T20:40:17.171-04:002013-05-02T20:40:17.171-04:00Finally, I don't actually have a final schedul...Finally, I don't actually have a final schedule on CBS because I get too confused with their possible moves and the decision of whether or not to expand comedy hours just weights too much. Anyway, the current schedule assumes no comedy expansion and assumes that Mike and Molly is held until midseason:<br /><br />Monday<br />How I Met Your Mother<br />Friends with better Lives<br />2 Broke Girls<br />Mom<br />Beverly Hill Cops<br /><br /><br />Tuesday<br />NCIS<br />NCIS-LA<br />Hawaii Five-0<br /><br /><br />Wednesday<br />Criminal Minds<br />Hostages<br /><br />CSI<br /><br /><br />Thursday<br />The Big Bang Theory<br />Two and a Half Men<br />Person of Interest<br />Intelligence<br /><br /><br />Friday<br />The Good Wife<br />Elementary<br />Blue Bloods<br /><br /><br />Sunday<br />The Amazing Race<br />Survivor<br />The Mentalist<br /><br />[Before anyone bashes me for moving Elementary to friday but not 5-0, my reasoning is: 1)I think Elementary will do better on Friday than H50 and, most importantly, 2)I think POI is a better launching pad than NCIS-LA.] The Wednesday lineup is based on your suggestion of Hit-Show/New-Show/Old-Show.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-22692969613971334722013-05-02T20:30:23.806-04:002013-05-02T20:30:23.806-04:00I agree that I think Red will be picked up when al...I agree that I think Red will be picked up when all is said and done but I think a midseason pickup is getting more likely than a fall pickup now, which is great IMO (it would actually be a better midseason option than typical CBS entries).<br /><br />I have thought about POI to Mondays at 10pm but ultimately I agree with spot that the show is just too much of a big deal to be thrown at the 10pm wolves so soon. I would think that a POI move would involve a Wednesday lineup shake up, which, when all is said and done, is probably the biggest deal-breaker when it comes to the comedy expansion.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-73274828789765878532013-05-02T20:26:11.525-04:002013-05-02T20:26:11.525-04:00On to dramas:
1. Hawaii Five-0: 1.60
2. Blue Bloo...On to dramas:<br /><br />1. Hawaii Five-0: 1.60<br />2. Blue Bloods: 1.54<br />3. NCIS: LA: 1.42<br />4. Person of Interest: 1.26<br />5. Criminal Minds: 1.24<br />6. NCIS: 1.23<br />7. Elementary: 0.98<br />8. CSI: 0.87<br />9. The Good Wife: 0.84<br />10. The Mentalist: 0.78<br />11. CSI: NY: 0.74<br />12. Golden Boy: 0.54<br />13. Vegas: 0.53<br />14. Made in Jersey: 0.42<br /><br /><br />Nothing stands out to me. My model pretty much agrees with CBS renewals and although a CSI: NY wouldn't be a stretch, it would definitely be a reach renewal and I don't think it will happen at all at this point, especially with such a limited about of space. <br /><br />In terms of moves potential:<br />- Hawaii Five-0: I agree that it seems ripe to a move, but I have one argument that may prevent that move, which is the fact that if CBS does in fact decides to go for the route of holding MM to mid season, it would mean launching 2 new comedies on Monday (I don't think it is realistic to expect them to admit defeat and moving Men back to Mondays, it would be too awkward for them). If, on top of that, they still launch another show, I think it would be too much, because we would be talking about 2/3 of the night being new, which doesn't seem very CBS thing to do. Still, I agree the show is the most likely candidate to move and to Fridays, yes, although I think its audience would be a better fit to Sundays.<br />- NCIS: LA: I simply don't see this one moving unless it is to 10pm to give the spot to Red. However, as you, I am against Red, so I honestly hope they don't go down this route, as I think it would flop badly (even though they could simply move LA back an hour if that was the case)<br />- Elementary: I still insist this one belongs on Fridays or Sundays. There are two sides to this argument: 1)Yes, its ratings are good enough to warrant renewal and man, does CBS badly needs shows that have rating good enough to stabilize Sundays or Fridays! 2) Although good enough, its ratings do not merit a weekday spot on such a strong network. So, in my mind, sending it to Fridays or Sundays is not so much a dismerit to the show as in sending it to die, but a sending it in the hopes that it actually becomes a valuable player for them in there (they need a new blue bloods) - I think it is a much better strategy than trying yet a new show on one of these days.<br />- CSI: The only reason I see to move this show is if CM is somehow sent to a 10pm slot (I think CSI is completely lead-in dependent at this point, yesterday showed just that - it is lucky enough to have one of the most compatible lead-ins on TV, so your true scores somehow miss part of it IMO), which wouldn't totally shock me on an isolated context (it would do wonders for CBS in the tough Mondays at 10 spot for instance, or even Wednesdays at 10), but it would mean that CBS would have to love a new show to plug in Wednesdays at 9. Actually, a lineup of Person of Interest [Launch Show]/ Intelligence [New Show]/ Criminal Minds [Old Show] would fit just in your definition of a good lineup, right? Anyway, as I was saying, even though individually I could see it, it would involve too many moves for CBS, so I think CSI is staying put.<br /><br /><br />As for the remaining ones, I think at this point CBS Sundays = CBS Fridays, give or take a couple of tents (excluding reality). So unless CBS is serious about changing that, even though I would think that a show like H50 would fit better on Sundays and a show like TM would fit better on Fridays, I feel the marginal benefit is not worth the move, as it would be mostly rearranging chairs on the titanic. If CBS is serious about changing this, then I would be all for a lineup of TAR/Survivor/H50 on Sundays.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-8715655097047850432013-05-02T20:09:34.797-04:002013-05-02T20:09:34.797-04:00On to CBS Comedies, my numbers say:
1. The Big Ba...On to CBS Comedies, my numbers say:<br /><br />1. The Big Bang Theory: 1.60<br />2. Mike and Molly: 1.46<br />3.Two and a Half Men: 0.99<br />4.How I Met Your Mother: 0.92<br />5.2 Broke Girls: 0.92<br />6.Rules of Engagement: 0.60<br />7.Partners:0.51<br /><br />Ok, so basically what is there to say here:<br /><br />- TBBT is a monster of epic proportions as it gets top honours even over MM which is eying its fourth season<br />- I say Rules is done. Last year I had it at a much much more favorable 0.93 (above Rob, at 0.78, and below 2 Broke Girls, at 1).<br />- I know that pilot season is often misleading but I will say this: I don't remember seeing such a strong development season on a particular front (i.e. comedy or drama) on any network as I am seeing this year on CBS Comedy. I mean, isolated, I can think of about 6 of their pilots that, in other years, would be sure things. Therefore, I refuse to believe that only 1 makes the fall schedule (that one will be Mom by the way). So, I say that the choice is between holding Mike and Molly to midseason or premiering a 4th comedy hour in the fall.<br /><br /><br />As for the scheduling, I think we have been looking at this sort of the wrong way. We've been assuming that if CBS expands its comedy hours it would be on Thursday, meaning POI would have to move. This is mostly to take advantage of the colossal TBBT lead-in. However, the extensive interest in single cams might suggest that they are planning to launch them on their own elsewhere. However, it is not clear to me where. I would actually like to see them trying on Sundays but I don't think they are going there either. So, my point is sort of a hard point to make because I don't have a viable option (I suppose Fridays are fair game, but I have my reservations). Nevertheless, just because I am not seeing it, doesn't mean it won't happen. So I think we are looking at 4 distinct set of options here:<br />1) CBS premieres only Mom in the fall, leaving NBC about to have a heart attack seeing the amount of incredible pilots that were just passed on. A second comedy is picked to premiere come mid-season, even though the where is not crystal clear to me.<br />2) CBS holds Mike and Molly to midseason, premieres 2 new comedies in the fall and picks yet a third comedy for midseason. Again, I have no idea where would Mike and Molly and the third comedy air if the two new comedies work.<br />3) CBS moves POI and does premiere the comedy block on Thursday that we have been discussing for 2 years now. 3 new comedies are launched in the fall and I would still expect at least one more to be picked for midseason in case one of them fails<br />4) CBS premieres Mom on the Monday block and launches a pair of single cas (almost for sure Crazy Ones and Super Clyde) elsewhere on the schedule (not Thursdays). <br /><br />I think 1) is not likely to be honest, it seems too much of a stretch. I would go for 2) or 3) personally but somehow I have a feeling we shouldn't discount 4) just yet.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-91067659075911419212013-05-02T15:05:04.272-04:002013-05-02T15:05:04.272-04:00I guess my hope on Red was that CBS might have lea...I guess my hope on Red was that CBS might have learned something from the Suspect Behavior situation, especially if they have several strong alternatives in the drama pickup race. But I agree, they probably won't be able to resist simply because of the first four letters in the title.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3149153403168306818.post-14798419932668288182013-05-02T11:19:38.005-04:002013-05-02T11:19:38.005-04:00CBS needs to start the process of creating new sit...CBS needs to start the process of creating new sitcoms to find the new heir apparent to HIMYM. If Mom is picked up, then I can see Mike & Molly shifting to midseason since Chuck Lorre already has TBBT & 2.5 Men on the network.<br /><br />We won't know until next week, but perhaps CBS sees the folly of scheduling new dramas on Fridays. With a second tier this deep, one of them seems certain to move, and I agree that it should be Hawaii Five-O. If that happens, I wouldn't discount Person of Interest moving to Mondays at 10:00. That move then gives CBS the option of the added comedy hour or their highest-testing drama for Thursdays at 9:00.<br /><br />And negative chatter be damned, I see Red getting at least a midseason order; even the bad buzz didn't stop Criminal Minds: Suspect Behavior.Spothttps://www.blogger.com/profile/01222504847153680060noreply@blogger.com